{"id":2037,"date":"2020-11-09T07:21:08","date_gmt":"2020-11-09T13:21:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/?p=2037"},"modified":"2020-11-10T11:27:01","modified_gmt":"2020-11-10T17:27:01","slug":"2037","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/2020\/11\/09\/2037\/","title":{"rendered":""},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The threats have begun after the Trump loss.\u00a0 And notice the second story below, from Oman.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/middle-east\/iran-offers-arab-states-mafia-deal-of-security-or-punishment-after-trump-648489\">\u201cIran offers Arab states &#8216;mafia deal&#8217; of security or punishment after Trump,\u201d<\/a> Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, November 9, 2020.\u00a0\u00a0\u201cIran has sought to reach out to its Arab neighbors, with Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif warning them that Trump will be leaving in seventy days but that Iran\u2019s regime will remain \u201cforever.\u201d He urged them to realize that \u201cbetting on outsiders to provide security is never a good gamble.\u201d In Arabic and English he called for dialogue and to work together. The message was clearly aimed at Gulf states and others that are partnered with the US. Iran was offering them an opening, a message: Shift and join us or suffer in the future \u2013 the US will not protect you. This is a kind of carrot and stick approach, a mafia don offering security.\u201d\u00a0 And see <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tasnimnews.com\/en\/news\/2020\/11\/09\/2385556\/oman-resolved-to-broaden-ties-with-iran-sultan-haitham\">\u201cOman Resolved to Broaden Ties with Iran: Sultan Haitham,\u201d<\/a> Tasnim, November 9, 2020.\u00a0 And here&#8217;s another example involving UAE FM Anwar Gargash, speaking during a virtual Abu Dhabi Strategic Debate.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aa.com.tr\/en\/middle-east\/uae-says-doesnt-seek-confrontation-with-turkey-iran\/2037782\">\u201cUAE says doesn&#8217;t seek confrontation with Turkey, Iran,\u201d<\/a>\u00a0Mahmoud Barakat, AA, November 9, 2020.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.insidethegames.biz\/articles\/1100569\/chess\">\u201cIran warned boycott of matches against Israelis will lead to International Chess Federation ban,\u201d<\/a> Liam Morgan, Inside the Games, November 9, 2020.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/ifpnews.com\/over-10000-iranians-contract-covid-19-in-24-hours\">\u201cOver 10,000 Iranians Contract COVID-19 in 24 Hours,\u201d<\/a> IFP, November 9, 2020.\u00a0\u00a0\u201cIran\u2019s Health Ministry spokeswoman has confirmed 10,463 new cases of COVID-19 infection in the past 24 hours, the highest record since the beginning of the outbreak.In a press briefing on Monday, Sima-Sadat Lari said the new cases raise the total number of cases to 692949. She said the virus has also killed 458 patients since Sunday noon, increasing the overall death toll to 38,749.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/middle-east\/how-the-irgc-overtook-irans-intelligence-ministry-648542\">&#8220;How the IRGC overtook Iran\u2019s Intelligence Ministry,\u201d<\/a> Yonah Jeremy Bob, Jerusalem Post, November 9, 2020.<\/p>\n<p>It drags on and on.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/112.international\/politics\/date-for-negotiations-with-iran-over-ps752-crash-yet-to-be-agreed-mfa-56320.html\">\u201cDate for negotiations with Iran over PS752 crash yet to be agreed, &#8211; MFA,\u201d<\/a> 112 Ukraine, November 9, 2020.<\/p>\n<p>This Baha\u2019i land confiscation occurred about two weeks ago under claim by the Natural Resources Department of Mazandaran Province.\u00a0 It is fraudulent.\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/iranpresswatch.org\/post\/21498\/security-forces-confiscate-bahai-lands-citing-clerics\">\u201cSecurity Forces Confiscate Baha\u2019i Lands by Citing Clerics,\u201d<\/a> Amir Soltanzadeh, Iran Press Watch, November 9, 2020.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe net present value of Iran\u2019s supergiant South Pars natural gas field has jumped from an estimated US$116 billion at this point last year to US$135 billion now, a senior oil and gas industry source who works closely with Iran\u2019s Petroleum Ministry exclusively told OilPrice.com last week. The key reason behind this valuation boost is that progress across all areas of the development, including the controversial Phase 11, has picked up pace on the back of an increase in the involvement of various Chinese companies who operate under the U.S.\u2019s sanctions radar through individual contact-only projects, not as official field developers. Given this, it is now expected by Iran\u2019s Petroleum Ministry that the entire South Pars project will be producing at or near fully Phase 1 capacity well in advance of the March 2022 official completion date.\u201d\u00a0 For the CNPC (China) investment, they receive oil at an 8-12% discount.\u00a0 Thank you China.\u00a0 See <a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Energy\/Natural-Gas\/Irans-Mega-South-Pars-Gas-Field-Nears-Completion.html\">\u201cIran\u2019s Mega South Pars Gas Field Nears Completion,\u201d<\/a> Simon Watkins, OilPrice.com, November 9, 2020.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/uk.reuters.com\/article\/uk-usa-iran-sanctions-idUKKBN27P2SA\">\u201cU.S. plans sanctions on Iranians for violence against protesters \u2013 sources,\u201d<\/a> Humeyra Pamuk, Arshad Mohammed, Matt Spetalnick, Reuters, November 9, 2020.\u00a0\u00a0\u201cThe United States is expected to impose sanctions as early as next week on Iranians involved in a violent crackdown against anti-government demonstrations in Iran a year ago, three sources familiar with the matter said on Monday. The sources, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said the sanctions announcement was timed to the one-year anniversary of what may have been the bloodiest repression of protesters in Iran since the Islamic Revolution in 1979. One source said next week\u2019s designations would be a major action covering multiple individuals as well as several dozen Iranian entities. Neither the State Department nor the Iranian mission to the United Nations immediately responded to a request for comment on the sanctions likely to be imposed next week. Citing three Iranian Interior Ministry officials, Reuters previously reported about 1,500 people were killed during less than two weeks of unrest that started on Nov. 15, 2019. The toll included at least 17 teenagers and about 400 women as well as members of the Iranian security forces and police. Iran\u2019s Interior Ministry has said around 225 people were killed during the protests, which erupted after state media announced that gas prices would rise by as much as 200% and the revenue would be used to help needy families. The sources, who included one U.S. official and two people familiar with the matter, said the sanctions have been in the works for months and are the latest in a long series of U.S. penalties imposed on Iran by U.S. President Donald Trump.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Abrams makes a very good point about why Iran doesn\u2019t want to re-enter the JCPOA\u2014they\u2019d have to give up their arms trade.\u00a0 Under the terms which JCPOA was negotiated, in 2015, Iran lost the ability to import or export arms.\u00a0 This was just relaxed in October, and the Regime will not give this up.\u00a0 The embargo was scheduled to remain in place until 5 years after the JCPOA Adoption Day.\u00a0 See <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesofisrael.com\/trumps-iran-envoy-biden-would-have-difficulties-reviving-2015-nuclear-pact\">\u201cTrump\u2019s Iran envoy: Biden would have difficulties reviving 2015 nuclear pact,\u201d<\/a> Raphael Ahren, Times of Israel, November 9, 2020.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.al-monitor.com\/pulse\/originals\/2020\/11\/iran-biden-president-nuclear-deal-tehran-zanganeh-trump.html\">\u201cFollowing Biden win, Iran says nuclear deal not up for review,\u201d<\/a> Al Monitor, November 9, 2020.\u00a0\u00a0Despite president-elect Joe Biden expressing interest in rejoining the JCPOA, Iranian officials from the foreign ministry and judiciary say they will not.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Trump&#8217;s gone in 70 days. But we&#8217;ll remain here forever.\u201d\u00a0 These are the words of FM Zarif, and a point I\u2019ve been wanting to make, and he gives me opportunity.\u00a0 The Regime says it began in 1979, and disassociates itself with the Pahlavi reign over much of the 20th Century.\u00a0 The Regime in essence says it goes back to the time of Muhammad in the 600s.\u00a0 The Regime also does not associate with the ancient Persian Empire, including that of Cyrus the Great.\u00a0 So for Zarif to tie the country\u2019s current government to centuries prior, including to the 400 and 500 years before the Roman Empire when Persia reigned, we want to know what the Supreme Leader says about this?\u00a0 Does Iran today recognize that its current government is a descendant of the Persian Empire?\u00a0 See <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rferl.org\/a\/iran-calls-for-dialogue-with-neighbors-after-trump-s-election-defeat\/30938513.html\">\u201cIran Calls For Dialogue With Neighbors After Trump&#8217;s Election Defeat,&#8221;<\/a> RFE\/RL, November 9, 2020.<\/p>\n<p>A review of torture, execution, and other human rights repression during this past month.\u00a0 Alarming.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/irannewsupdate.com\/news\/human-rights\/summary-of-repression-and-human-rights-violations-in-iran-october-2020\">\u201cSummary of Repression and Human Rights Violations in Iran \u2013 October 2020,\u201d<\/a> Poorang Novak, Iran News Update, November 9, 2020.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/middle-east\/iran-says-it-will-not-reopen-iran-deal-discussions-with-biden-admin-648491\">\u201cIran says it will not reopen Iran Deal discussions with Biden admin,\u201d<\/a> Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, November 9, 2020.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/irannewsupdate.com\/news\/economy\/irans-steel-mafia-and-uncertain-fate-of-5-billion\">\u201cIran\u2019s Steel Mafia and Uncertain Fate of $5 Billion,\u201d<\/a> Iran News Update, November 9, 2020.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The threats have begun after the Trump loss.\u00a0 And notice the second story below, from Oman.\u00a0 \u201cIran offers Arab states &#8216;mafia deal&#8217; of security or punishment after Trump,\u201d Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, November 9, 2020.\u00a0\u00a0\u201cIran has sought to reach out to its Arab neighbors, with Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif warning them that Trump will &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/2020\/11\/09\/2037\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2819,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2532],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2037","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-update"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2037","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2819"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2037"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2037\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2050,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2037\/revisions\/2050"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2037"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2037"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2037"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}