{"id":6158,"date":"2024-06-16T22:00:04","date_gmt":"2024-06-17T03:00:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/?p=6158"},"modified":"2024-06-17T23:06:47","modified_gmt":"2024-06-18T04:06:47","slug":"6158","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/2024\/06\/16\/6158\/","title":{"rendered":""},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Thank you NYT for highlighting that no other country (a cause, not a country) uses hostage diplomacy as much as Iran.\u00a0 It is an enshrined strategy of dealing with other states.\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/06\/16\/world\/middleeast\/iran-hostage-swap-history.html\">\u201cA Brief History of Iran\u2019s Hostage Swapping,\u201d<\/a> NYT, 6-16-24.\u00a0\u00a0Quote of the Day:\u00a0 \u201cAnd on Saturday Iran gained the release of its most prized target: the first Iranian official to be convicted of crimes against humanity. In the exchange, Sweden released Hamid Nouri, a former judiciary official who was serving a life sentence in Sweden for his role in the mass execution of 5,000 dissidents in 1988. In return, Iran freed two Swedish citizens: Johan Floderus, a diplomat for the European Union, and Saeed Azizi, a dual-national Iranian. Left behind was a third, a Swedish scientist who is a dual citizen, Ahmadreza Djalali, who has been jailed in Iran and sentenced to execution on murky charges of treason. Since the 1979 revolution, Iran has made detaining foreigners and dual citizens a centerpiece of its foreign policy, trading them for money and people.\u201d\u00a0\u00a0There is only one thing the NYT leaves out\u2014the Supreme Leader timed these releases.\u00a0 If you put them on a timeline, you will see what I mean.\u00a0 They align with Iran\u2019s national interests, and are almost predictable when they might occur.\u00a0 Oh, there\u2019s another aspect the NYT doesn\u2019t cover\u2014there are employees in the Leader\u2019s bureaucracy (he has about 500 employees) whose job it is to keep track of all the hostages held in Iran\u2019s prisons from various states, and to advise the Leader on when it may be time to use the bait and not let it rot too long.<\/p>\n<p>This is about defending SA from Iran.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/middle-east\/article-806472\">\u201cAs November elections near in the US, Saudi Arabia works to finalize defense treaty,\u201d<\/a> JPost, 6-16-24.\u00a0 The U.S. would defend Saudi Arabia if attacked, and SA would allow the U.S. to use Saudi territory and airspace.\u00a0 There would be a civilian nuclear pact and weapons sales, and China could not build bases in SA.\u00a0 It sounds like the U.S.-SA deal will come first, then SA-Isr recognition will accompany a Palestinian Plan.<\/p>\n<p>The Supreme Leader, through the media, is pushing Ghalibaf, Pezeshkian and Jalili.\u00a0 It think (remember the Iranian President is a passive position, malleable to the IRI\u2019s wishes) that the Leader wants Ghalibaf\/Qalibaf.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iranintl.com\/en\/202406179310\">\u201cThree Candidates Dominate Iran\u2019s Presidential Elections,\u201d<\/a> Iran International, 6-16-24.<\/p>\n<p>More than 150,000 missiles, and well-trained\u00a0and real terrorist army.\u00a0 Only constrained by Iran.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/world\/hezbollah-bigger-challenge-than-hamas-to-israel-crown-jewel-iranian-empire-terror\">\u201cHezbollah bigger challenge than Hamas to Israel: \u2018Crown jewel in the Iranian empire of terror\u2019,\u201d<\/a> Fox, 6-16-24.<\/p>\n<p>This is so true.\u00a0 Iraq will not be Iraq until Iran is not Iran.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kurdistan24.net\/en\/story\/35422-U.S.-Ambassador-Nominee:-%E2%80%98Iran-aligned-Militias%E2%80%99-are-%E2%80%98Primary-Threat%E2%80%99-to-Iraq;-Will-Strengthen-U.S.-Partnership-with-Kurdistan-Region\">\u201cU.S. Ambassador Nominee: \u2018Iran-aligned Militias\u2019 are \u2018Primary Threat\u2019 to Iraq; Will Strengthen U.S. Partnership with Kurdistan Region,\u201d<\/a> Kurdistan24, 6-16-24.<\/p>\n<p>They have come to Lebanon from several countries.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.khaama.com\/israeli-media-taliban-assures-iran-of-sending-fighters-to-support-hezbollah\/\">\u201cIsraeli media: Taliban assures Iran of sending fighters to support Hezbollah,\u201d<\/a> Khaama Press, 6-16-24.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/ifpnews.com\/iran-contracts-worth-2bn-develop-oil-industry\/\">\u201cIran signs contracts worth $2bn to develop oil industry,\u201d<\/a> Iran Front Page, 6-16-24.<\/p>\n<p>Low-level criminals pardoned, an annual event about the time of hajj.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.middleeastmonitor.com\/20240616-iran-pardons-commutes-sentences-of-2654-prisoners-on-eid-al-adha\/\">\u201cIran pardons, commutes sentences of 2,654 prisoners on Eid al-Adha,\u201d<\/a> MEMO, 6-16-24.<\/p>\n<p>Said v. Lewis, again.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/jcpa.org\/article\/from-the-iranian-mullah-state-to-american-campuses-the-wokes-failed-history-lesson\/\">\u201cFrom the Iranian Mullah State to American Campuses: The Woke\u2019s Failed History Lesson,\u201d<\/a> Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs, 6-16-24.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Thank you NYT for highlighting that no other country (a cause, not a country) uses hostage diplomacy as much as Iran.\u00a0 It is an enshrined strategy of dealing with other states.\u00a0\u00a0\u201cA Brief History of Iran\u2019s Hostage Swapping,\u201d NYT, 6-16-24.\u00a0\u00a0Quote of the Day:\u00a0 \u201cAnd on Saturday Iran gained the release of its most prized target: the &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/2024\/06\/16\/6158\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2819,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2532],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6158","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-update"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6158","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2819"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6158"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6158\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6170,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6158\/revisions\/6170"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6158"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6158"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6158"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}