{"id":6495,"date":"2024-09-27T11:58:11","date_gmt":"2024-09-27T16:58:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/?p=6495"},"modified":"2024-10-01T08:04:48","modified_gmt":"2024-10-01T13:04:48","slug":"6495","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/2024\/09\/27\/6495\/","title":{"rendered":""},"content":{"rendered":"

Will Iran decide to take action directly?\u00a0 Now Israel is targeting Nasrallah.\u00a0 \u201cIsrael conducts massive strike targeting Hezbollah HQ in Beirut,\u201d<\/a> Axios, 9-27-24.\u00a0\u00a0\u201cIsrael conducted an air strike on Friday targeting Hezbollah’s central headquarters in Beirut in an apparent attempt to kill the group’s leadership. Why it matters: This was the biggest Israeli strike in Beirut since the 2006 war in Lebanon, and an Israeli source said the primary target was Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah. The strike also reportedly hit residential buildings, though there has been no word yet on civilian casualties. Driving the news: Israeli officials say senior Hezbollah officials were at the headquarters at the time of the attack. There has been no official response as yet from Hezbollah on the attack or on Nasrallah’s status. Hezbollah-affiliated al-Manar Television reported that four buildings in southern Beirut were hit in the attack. Israel Defense Forces spokesperson Adm. Daniel Hagari described the attack as a “precise strike on the central HQ of Hezbollah which was intentionally built under residential buildings in Beirut in order to use them as human shields.”\u201d<\/p>\n

Nasrallah isn\u2019t answering his phone.\u00a0 Oh wait, he hasn\u2019t been using a cell for some time anyway.\u00a0 \u201cIran\u2019s Supreme Leader Holds Emergency Meeting After Israel Attacks Lebanon,\u201d<\/a> NYT, 9-27-24.\u00a0\u00a0\u201cBut the initial assessment of Israeli intelligence agencies was that Mr. Nasrallah had been killed, officials said. \u2026 It was the first time that Mr. Khamenei had convened the Supreme National Council, the group that responds to national security threats, domestic and international and shapes foreign and national policy, for an emergency meeting since July 31, when Israel assassinated a top Hamas leader, Ismail Haniyeh, in Tehran. \u2026 As Iran assesses how to respond to Israel, it faces a familiar problem: how to establish deterrence without encouraging all-out war. Analysts said that targeting Mr. Nasrallah escalated the standoff between Israel and Iran and its proxy militias to a new, more dangerous level. Until now, Iran has refrained from letting Israel drag it into an open war, analysts said. That posture is likely to continue. \u201cIran\u2019s position seems to be that if Israel wants war, it\u2019ll get it at the time of Iran\u2019s choosing,\u201d said Ali Vaez, director of the Iran Project at the International Crisis Group. Mr. Vaez said that Israel had decapitated Iran\u2019s regional allies in the past, and instead of eliminating the threat, it has fed radicalization, enabling Iranian recruitment to continue.\u201d\u00a0 Well Dr. Vaez, Israel\u2019s actions in the present are not restrained.<\/p>\n

Street celebrations in Syria and Lebanon and Iran.\u00a0 Here are some.\u00a0 \u201cIsraeli media cites ‘growing confidence’ among officials that Nasrallah was killed in Beirut strike | LIVE BLOG,\u201d<\/a> I24, 9-27-24.<\/p>\n

\u201cFor Iran, shielding nuclear programme overrides commitment to Hezbollah,\u201d<\/a> Arab Weekly, 9-27-24.<\/p>\n

\u201cIsrael\u2019s attempt to kill Nasrallah throws down the gauntlet to Iran,\u201d<\/a> Telegraph, 9-27-24.<\/p>\n

\u201cHezbollah is pounded by Israel, but key ally Iran is reluctant to intervene,\u201d<\/a> WPost, 9-27-24.\u00a0\u00a0Where is the government of Lebanon in all of this?\u00a0 You\u2019d think that with Nasrallah eliminated from exercising control of the bureaucracy of government.<\/p>\n

Notably, the article says that after the U.S. election that normalization with Saudi Arabia will progress.\u00a0\u00a0\u201cMossad has stopped over 50 Iranian-backed terror attacks on Jews since Oct. 7 \u2013 sources,\u201d<\/a> JPost, 9-27-24.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Will Iran decide to take action directly?\u00a0 Now Israel is targeting Nasrallah.\u00a0 \u201cIsrael conducts massive strike targeting Hezbollah HQ in Beirut,\u201d Axios, 9-27-24.\u00a0\u00a0\u201cIsrael conducted an air strike on Friday targeting Hezbollah’s central headquarters in Beirut in an apparent attempt to kill the group’s leadership. Why it matters: This was the biggest Israeli strike in Beirut … <\/p>\n

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