{"id":6514,"date":"2024-09-29T23:48:24","date_gmt":"2024-09-30T04:48:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/?p=6514"},"modified":"2025-01-20T18:52:20","modified_gmt":"2025-01-21T00:52:20","slug":"6514","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/2024\/09\/29\/6514\/","title":{"rendered":""},"content":{"rendered":"

\u201cIran\u2019s president seeks \u2018regional\u2019 response to Israel,\u201d<\/a> Politico, 9-29-24.\u00a0 Kudos to the NYT for getting this right\u2014Hamas attacked first.\u00a0 Hezbollah attacked first.\u00a0 Israel had to act in self defense to both.\u00a0 See this quote paragraph in the story:\u00a0 \u201cHezbollah, for decades a thorn in Israel\u2019s side, began launching rockets at Israel after the lethal incursion last Oct. 7 by Hamas from Gaza into Israel. That Oct. 7 incursion led also to an Israeli invasion of Gaza that has so far resulted in the death of tens of thousands of residents of Gaza, as well as widespread destruction.\u201d<\/p>\n

He\u2019s indecisive.\u00a0 He doesn\u2019t want to be blamed for mistakes.\u00a0 He has a long history of “triangulation” in which he figures out who to blame and who to side with–this is key to staying in power.\u00a0\u00a0And he\u2019s afraid he will die (and there is no absolute knowledge that one goes to Paradise in Islamic thinking).\u00a0 \u201cIran\u2019s leadership said deeply shaken, divided over response to Nasrallah\u2019s killing,\u201d<\/a> Times of Israel, 9-29-24.\u00a0\u00a0Read the below, widely agreed to across the Middle East and in the West, and then ask yourself if Iran controls Hezbollah.\u00a0\u00a0\u201cTwo IRGC officials, including a strategist who has been at meetings discussing the response to Nasrallah\u2019s killing, said Iran\u2019s first concern was to help Hezbollah recover from the series of devastating blows Israel has dealt to its leadership and infrastructure. That means appointing a new leader, putting in place a new command structure, and installing a new communications network. After that Hezbollah would be able to plan its retaliation against Israel. Iran will send a senior member of its elite Quds Forces to Beirut via Syria to advise Hezbollah, the two Guards members said.\u201d<\/p>\n

Iran has to decide whether it will be a normal nation-state or a revolutionary entity.\u00a0 \u201cIran\u2019s leadership said deeply shaken, divided over response to Nasrallah\u2019s killing,\u201d<\/a> Times of Israel, 9-29-24.<\/p>\n

Notice that it was a spy not with Lebanese citizenship.\u00a0 \u201c’Iran spy tipped off Israel about Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah’s location before airstrike,”<\/a> The Week, 9-29-24.<\/p>\n

\u201cIranian mole helped Israel kill Hezbollah leader \u2013 Le Parisien,\u201d<\/a> Iran International, 9-29-24.\u00a0\u00a0But the 80 tons of bombs are not mentioned.<\/p>\n

Notice that it was a spy not with Lebanese citizenship.\u00a0 \u201c’Iran spy tipped off Israel about Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah’s location before airstrike,\u201d<\/a> The Week, 9-29-24.<\/p>\n

\u201cIranian mole helped Israel kill Hezbollah leader \u2013 Le Parisien,\u201d<\/a> Iran International, 9-29-24.\u00a0\u00a0But the 80 tons of timed bombs are not mentioned.<\/p>\n

\u201cIran Is Losing. That May Matter More Than Israel\u2019s Mistakes,\u201d<\/a> NYT, 9-29-24.\u00a0 While French writes that military success (whether Iran\u2019s or Israel\u2019s) guarantees being the captain of a country\u2019s fate, his piece seems to indicate that our future is not in our control, nor are countries\u2019 futures the result of ideology, economic decisions, good governance, etc.\u00a0 Iran\u2019s losing is not surprising based on why it was created and how it has been run.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201cIran\u2019s president seeks \u2018regional\u2019 response to Israel,\u201d Politico, 9-29-24.\u00a0 Kudos to the NYT for getting this right\u2014Hamas attacked first.\u00a0 Hezbollah attacked first.\u00a0 Israel had to act in self defense to both.\u00a0 See this quote paragraph in the story:\u00a0 \u201cHezbollah, for decades a thorn in Israel\u2019s side, began launching rockets at Israel after the lethal incursion … <\/p>\n

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