{"id":7385,"date":"2025-05-01T11:19:53","date_gmt":"2025-05-01T16:19:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/?p=7385"},"modified":"2025-05-21T13:25:32","modified_gmt":"2025-05-21T18:25:32","slug":"7385","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/2025\/05\/01\/7385\/","title":{"rendered":""},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Not a bad article, but misses that Iran is desperately trying to figure out how to (short and long-term) rebuild is proxy forces.\u00a0 This is one of its biggest goals because it always wants to throw blame somewhere else if possible for terror\/violence.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mei.edu\/publications\/5-key-factors-shaping-irans-foreign-policy-calculus\">\u201c5 key factors shaping Iran\u2019s foreign policy calculus,\u201d<\/a> Middle East Institute, 5-1-25.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.jns.org\/trumps-choice-destroy-irans-nuclear-capabilities-or-negotiate-fruitlessly\/\">\u201cTrump\u2019s choice: Destroy Iran\u2019s nuclear capabilities or negotiate fruitlessly,\u201d<\/a> JNS, 5-1-25.<\/p>\n<p>Thanks to the Times of Israel reporter who included this for context:\u00a0 \u201cTehran claims the Houthis\u2014whose slogan calls for \u201cdeath to America, death to Israel, and a curse on the Jews\u201d \u2014 act independently.\u201d\u00a0 See <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesofisrael.com\/us-iran-nuclear-talks-postponed-iran-says-next-round-depends-on-us-approach\/\">\u201cUS-Iran nuclear talks postponed, Iran says next round \u2018depends on US approach\u2019,&#8221;<\/a> Reuters, Times of Israel, 5-1-25.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/investigations\/iran-had-imperial-ambitions-syria-secret-embassy-papers-show-why-it-failed-2025-05-01\/\">\u201cIran had imperial ambitions in Syria. Secret embassy papers show why it failed,\u201d<\/a> Reuters, 5-1-25.<\/p>\n<p>Thank you Associated Press for showing the timing here.\u00a0 Iran again (as it has historically) delays, so the U.S. threatens to penalize.\u00a0 It is not tit for tat, it is the possible penalizing bad action by Iran.\u00a0 If Iran says it will negotiate, it needs to negotiate.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/iran-us-nuclear-talks-oman-8121e584d9e6c63c5f3cd8e4b1654f81\">\u201cTrump threatens sanctions against buyers of Iranian oil after US-Iran nuclear talks are postponed,\u201d<\/a> AP, 5-1-25.<\/p>\n<p>Against the grain, but we post.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.clingendael.org\/publication\/misery-loves-company-iraq-and-irans-electricity-and-gas-dependencies\">\u201cMisery loves company: Iraq and Iran&#8217;s electricity and gas dependencies,\u201d<\/a> Clingendael, 5-1-25.<\/p>\n<p>Iran misread history\u2014the Marshall Plan was to save Europe, not make it dependent.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesofisrael.com\/document-shows-iran-had-imperial-plans-in-syria-that-were-foiled-by-assads-collapse\/\">\u201cDocument shows Iran had imperial plans in Syria that were foiled by Assad\u2019s collapse,\u201d<\/a> Times of Israel, 5-1-25.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Not a bad article, but misses that Iran is desperately trying to figure out how to (short and long-term) rebuild is proxy forces.\u00a0 This is one of its biggest goals because it always wants to throw blame somewhere else if possible for terror\/violence.\u00a0 \u201c5 key factors shaping Iran\u2019s foreign policy calculus,\u201d Middle East Institute, 5-1-25. &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/2025\/05\/01\/7385\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2819,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2532],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7385","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-update"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7385","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2819"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7385"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7385\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7447,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7385\/revisions\/7447"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7385"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7385"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7385"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}