{"id":7596,"date":"2025-06-19T01:55:56","date_gmt":"2025-06-19T06:55:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/?p=7596"},"modified":"2025-06-20T09:21:29","modified_gmt":"2025-06-20T14:21:29","slug":"7596","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/2025\/06\/19\/7596\/","title":{"rendered":""},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Let&#8217;s pick up where yesterday ended.\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/politics\/national-security\/trump-privately-approved-attack-plans-for-iran-but-has-withheld-final-order-4563c526\">\u201cTrump Privately Approved of Attack Plans for Iran but Has Withheld Final Order,\u201d<\/a> WSJ, 6-18-25.\u00a0\u00a0Pres. Trump is \u201cholding off on giving the final order to see if Tehran would abandon its nuclear program.\u201d\u00a0\u00a0I understand that Iran has sent its executive branch airplanes to Muscat, Oman, with diplomats.\u00a0 We\u2019ll see what they tell the U.S.\u00a0 One way this could end is if Iran publicly gives the U.S. permission to drop the bunker buster(s)(the\u00a0Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP))\u00a0into Fordo and destroy that facility.\u00a0 Israel and the U.S. would then go away.\u00a0 That seems reasonable.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.i24news.tv\/en\/news\/israel\/defense\/artc-shots-from-iran-at-least-7-hits-recorded-heavy-damage-to-be-er-sheva-hospital-live-blog\">&#8220;At Least 7 Iranian missiles hit Israel; heavy damage at Be&#8217;er Sheva hospital | LIVE BLOG,\u201d<\/a> i24, 6-19-25.\u00a0\u00a0\u201cIn Beersheba, the former surgical building of Soroka Hospital sustained heavy damage, and several people with minor injuries are being treated in the emergency room. \u2026 Health Minister Uriel Buso responded to the direct attack on Soroka Hospital by calling it &#8220;terrorism&#8221; and a &#8220;crossing of a red line.&#8221; He denounced it as a &#8220;war crime deliberately committed by the Iranian regime against innocent civilians and medical teams dedicated to saving lives.&#8221; He said the ministry had prepared in advance, preventing disaster.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>So, I\u2019m going to post this on June 19, when Pres. Trump is debating whether a B-2 will drop a bunker buster(s) on Fordo.\u00a0 So much has just recently focused on whether the U.S. will be dragged into another Middle East war if this act is seen as offensive.\u00a0 But if defensive, to prevent Iran from having a nuclear weapon, you can see the interest.\u00a0 Part of the argument by persons against \u201canother war\u201d is that we should all give Iran the chance for diplomacy.\u00a0 Will they?\u00a0 Or do they just want to delay more?\u00a0 Here is a German perspective that the Supreme Leader needs to make up his mind.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.eu\/article\/germany-friedrich-merz-says-us-weighing-participation-iran-strikes\/\">\u201cGermany\u2019s Merz says US weighing participation in Iran strikes,\u201d<\/a> Politico, 6-17-25.\u00a0\u00a0The German Chancellor says \u201cthe decision depends on whether the Iranian regime \u201cis prepared to return\u201d to the negotiating table.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Another option for the president and for Israel is to send drones into Fordow, perhaps with a commando team, to video and collect samples.\u00a0 Before destroying it.<\/p>\n<p>Been waiting for this attack at Arak.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.i24news.tv\/en\/news\/israel\/defense\/artc-israel-carries-out-major-airstrikes-targeting-iran-s-nuclear-reactor-in-arak\">\u201cIsrael carries out major airstrikes targeting Iran&#8217;s nuclear reactor in Arak,\u201d<\/a> i24, 6-19-25.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.i24news.tv\/en\/news\/israel\/defense\/artc-iranian-tv-hacked-protest-footage-aired-israel-blamed-for-cyber-offensive\">\u201cIranian TV hacked, protest footage aired; Israel blamed for cyber offensive,\u201d<\/a> i24, 6-19-25.<\/p>\n<p>Yes!\u00a0 The mass media and Left and MAGA should take notice.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/world\/middle-east\/iranian-jews-los-angeles-israel-conflict-e3cd3bde?mod=WSJ_home_mediumtopper_pos_4\">\u201cIn Los Angeles, Iranian Jews Dream of an Iran They Could One Day Visit,\u201d<\/a> WSJ, 6-19-25.<\/p>\n<p>What is the point, CNN?\u00a0 You\u2019ve sent a reporter inside the Regime media outlet IRIB.\u00a0 Are you there to protect press rights?\u00a0 What about government controlled and pro-Regime press?\u00a0 And then you say there \u201cis a lot of public anger that the Israelis attacked this site.\u201d\u00a0 Really?! \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2025\/06\/19\/world\/video\/iran-airstrike-tvstudio-intldesk\">\u201cSee inside Iranian TV studio hit by Israeli airstrike,\u201d<\/a> CNN, 6-19-25.<\/p>\n<p>A really surprising story from the NYT and its experts.\u00a0 First, it is not a matter of Iran\u2019s ballistics versus Israel\u2019s interceptors.\u00a0 The IDF air force continues to knock out Iran\u2019s launchers, they only have about 100 left.\u00a0 Second, Israel\u2019s stock of interceptors is not running low.\u00a0 And the number is not infinite, they continue to be produced.\u00a0 There is one wild card, Iran\u2019s specialized ballistic missiles that are cluster bombs and are opening 7 km above ground and are being used by Iran against Israel and its citizens.\u00a0 They began to use these Thursday.\u00a0 Those need more interceptors from Israel.\u00a0 But the bottom line, Israel has more supplies than the Regime has ballistics.\u00a0 See <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/06\/19\/world\/middleeast\/israel-interceptors-iran-missiles-war-length.html\">\u201cWill Israel\u2019s Interceptors Outlast Iran\u2019s Missiles? The Answer May Shape the War,\u201d<\/a> NYT, 6-19-25.\u00a0\u00a0Well, maybe I\u2019ll cut the NYT some slack because they wrote this story\u00a0 overnight and things are changing by the hour in the fast win by Israel.<\/p>\n<p>To say I\u2019m surprised, Yes.\u00a0 Two weeks is a long time.\u00a0 5 minutes is all it takes to hear from the Ayatollah.\u00a0 But extra time leaves no excuse for the Regime to not decide if it will give up its weapons program, and no can say the U.S. didn\u2019t give Iran a chance.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/livecoverage\/iran-israel-conflict-news?mod=WSJ_home_mediumtopper_pos_1\">\u201cTrump to Decide on Potential Iran Strikes Within Two Weeks,\u201d<\/a> WSJ, 6-19-25.<\/p>\n<p>Correct.\u00a0 But without a nuclear weapon on the shelf.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/world\/middle-east\/irans-islamic-revolutionary-guard-poised-for-more-power-7ed0ba63?mod=WSJ_home_mediumtopper_pos_3\">\u201cIran\u2019s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Poised for More Power,\u201d<\/a> WSJ, 6-19-25.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/news\/2025\/06\/19\/israel-threatens-irans-top-leader-after-missiles-damage-hospital-and-wound-more-than-200-00414195\">\u201cIsrael threatens Iran\u2019s top leader after missiles damage hospital and wound more than 200,\u201d<\/a> Politico, 6-19-25.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.i24news.tv\/en\/news\/middle-east\/iran-eastern-states\/artc-exclusive-iran-s-kurdish-faction-seeks-contact-with-idf\">\u201cExclusive: Iran\u2019s Kurdish faction seeks contact with IDF,\u201d<\/a> Politico, 6-19-25.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.i24news.tv\/en\/news\/middle-east\/iran-eastern-states\/artc-report-iran-us-envoys-hold-direct-talks-as-conflict-with-israel-continues\">\u201cReport: Iran-US envoys hold direct talks as conflict with Israel continues,\u201d<\/a> i24, 6-19-25.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/06\/19\/us\/politics\/trump-buys-time-iran-decision.html\">\u201cTrump Buys Himself Time, and Opens Up Some New Options,\u201d<\/a> NYT, 6-19-25.<\/p>\n<p>15 Days to a nuke once the Leader says Go.\u00a0 BTW, the fatwa against nuclear weapons doesn\u2019t exist, it has never been seen.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/06\/19\/us\/politics\/iran-nuclear-weapons-assessment.html\">\u201cU.S. Spy Agencies Assess Iran Remains Undecided on Building a Bomb,\u201d<\/a> NYT, 6-19-25.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/06\/19\/us\/politics\/iran-us-military-strait-of-hormuz.html\">\u201cIn Crisis With Iran, U.S. Military Officials Focus on Strait of Hormuz,\u201d<\/a> NYT, 6-19-25.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Let&#8217;s pick up where yesterday ended.\u00a0\u00a0\u201cTrump Privately Approved of Attack Plans for Iran but Has Withheld Final Order,\u201d WSJ, 6-18-25.\u00a0\u00a0Pres. Trump is \u201cholding off on giving the final order to see if Tehran would abandon its nuclear program.\u201d\u00a0\u00a0I understand that Iran has sent its executive branch airplanes to Muscat, Oman, with diplomats.\u00a0 We\u2019ll see what &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/2025\/06\/19\/7596\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2819,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2532],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7596","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-update"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7596","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2819"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7596"}],"version-history":[{"count":14,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7596\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7624,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7596\/revisions\/7624"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7596"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7596"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7596"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}