{"id":8824,"date":"2026-03-12T03:01:45","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T08:01:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/?p=8824"},"modified":"2026-03-18T07:12:51","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T12:12:51","slug":"8824","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/2026\/03\/12\/8824\/","title":{"rendered":""},"content":{"rendered":"

Unless the Crown Prince and the NCRI and others hold outside conferences, along with Kurds and Azeris, there will not be the movement toward a new Iran.\u00a0 They have the opportunity but have to be willing to do what it takes to win independence.\u00a0 The Regime knows this too, they can see like the rest of us.\u00a0 The protesters have to be willing to protest, to organize, to rally.\u00a0 They have to distinguish themselves from Venezuela.\u00a0 So, two weeks in, this is an important news story.\u00a0 See \u201cDespite intense US\u2013Israel strikes, Iran\u2019s regime shows no signs of falling \u2013 report,\u201d<\/a> i24, 3-12-26.\u00a0\u00a0\u201cAmerican intelligence says Iran\u2019s leadership remains intact and is not at immediate risk of collapse despite nearly two weeks of US-Israeli strikes, according to sources cited by Reuters. \u2026 The resilience of the regime could complicate efforts to reach a diplomatic or military conclusion to the conflict. Officials in Israel have reportedly acknowledged in closed discussions that the ongoing conflict does not guarantee the collapse of Iran\u2019s religious leadership. A senior Israeli official told Reuters that while the campaign has weakened key elements of Iran\u2019s military and political apparatus, there is no certainty it will lead to regime change.\u201d<\/p>\n

Well argued by Yaroslav Trofimov.\u00a0 Iran not deterred, Hormuz becomes biggest hostage in the world, Gulf allies endangered, U.S. standing damaged, uranium stockpile remains, Russia oil richer, China stronger and threatens its neighbors.\u00a0 \u201cEnding Iran War Quickly Carries Big Risks for the U.S. and Allies,\u201d<\/a> WSJ, 3-12-26.<\/p>\n

\u201cSaudi Arabia intercepts 18 drones targeting country\u2019s eastern region,\u201d<\/a> AA, 3-12-26.<\/p>\n

Both of these from Iran International, 3-12-26.\u00a0 “Khamenei Jr calls for continued Hormuz pressure as shipping crisis deepens,”<\/a> and “No appearance, no voice: Iran\u2019s new leader issues first message in writing.”<\/a>\u00a0 Two weeks in, and his only appearance is a placard.<\/p>\n

\u201cIsrael is relying on information from Iranians on the ground for strike targets \u2013 report,\u201d<\/a> i24, 3-12-26.\u00a0\u00a0\u201cSecurity official says tips from civilians helped guide drone strike on Basij checkpoints in Tehran.\u201d\u00a0 A sign.<\/p>\n

\u201c16 and Counting: Oil and Cargo Ships Are Growing Targets in War With Iran,\u201d<\/a> NYT, 3-12-26.<\/p>\n

\u201cU.N. Security Council Condemns Iran\u2019s Retaliatory Strikes in the Middle East,\u201d<\/a> NYT, 3-12-26.\u00a0\u00a0\u201cThe United Nations Security Council on Wednesday decisively adopted a Bahraini-led resolution condemning Iran\u2019s regional attacks and rejected a Russian proposal seeking an end to the conflict in the Mideast. \u2026 Thirteen out of the 15 member countries of the Security Council, including the United States, Britain and France, supported Bahrain\u2019s resolution, proposed on behalf of six Gulf nations and Jordan. China and Russia abstained.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cThe two oil pipelines helping Saudi Arabia and UAE bypass the Strait of Hormuz,\u201d<\/a> CNBC, 3-12-26.<\/p>\n

“Tracking the wave of ship attacks that has choked off Strait of Hormuz,\u201d<\/a> BBC, 3-12-26.<\/p>\n

\u201cIran’s new supreme leader vows continued retaliation across Gulf and oil routes,\u201d<\/a> PBS, 3-12-26.\u00a0 PBS needs to explore whether Mojtaba Khamenei is alive if they are going to run statements from him such as \u201cYou can see for yourself, everything is damaged. The bathroom wall has fallen apart, the ceiling, the cabinets as well. Thank God we are safe ourselves.\u201d\u00a0 But he hasn\u2019t made any statement about his family being killed.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Unless the Crown Prince and the NCRI and others hold outside conferences, along with Kurds and Azeris, there will not be the movement toward a new Iran.\u00a0 They have the opportunity but have to be willing to do what it takes to win independence.\u00a0 The Regime knows this too, they can see like the rest … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2819,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2532],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8824","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-update"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8824","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2819"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8824"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8824\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8863,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8824\/revisions\/8863"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8824"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8824"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8824"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}