{"id":8995,"date":"2026-04-01T05:52:34","date_gmt":"2026-04-01T10:52:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/?p=8995"},"modified":"2026-04-03T08:14:53","modified_gmt":"2026-04-03T13:14:53","slug":"8995","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/2026\/04\/01\/8995\/","title":{"rendered":""},"content":{"rendered":"

Iran continues to be a revolutionary state, not a normal country.\u00a0 Even the supposed alive ayatollah (no April Fools joke) says so.\u00a0 \u201cLetter attributed to Khamenei posted on Telegram pledges support for Hezbollah,\u201d<\/a> Iran International, 4-1-26.\u00a0\u00a0\u201cA letter attributed to Iran\u2019s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei was posted on his Telegram channel, pledging continued support for Hezbollah and its leadership. The letter, dated two days ago, praised \u201cresistance and steadfastness\u201d against the United States and Israel and said Iran\u2019s policy \u201cis based on continuing support for the resistance.\u201d It also expressed confidence in Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem, saying he could \u201cdefeat the plans of the Zionist enemy\u201d and restore \u201cpeace and pride\u201d to Lebanon.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cThe Third Islamic Republic:\u00a0 A War\u2019s Unintended Consequences\u2014for Iran, the Middle East, and the Global Order,\u201d<\/a> Foreign Affairs, 4-1-26.\u00a0\u00a0Suzanne Maloney is an experienced hand in two administrations and good thinker.\u00a0 Her proposal that the current fighting will result in a Third Islamic Republic, though, I will disagree with.\u00a0 Here\u2019s why.\u00a0 Yes, the IRGC is asserting itself at the expense of the religious class and the bureaucracy.\u00a0 But that was happening anyway.\u00a0 The real reason is that she aligns the three republics with the three ayatollahs\u2014and we have no proof yet that there is a third ayatollah.\u00a0 In fact, the media of the world, and the countries of the world, should really demand that they won\u2019t deal with Iran unless they know who they are dealing with.\u00a0 And see for support of the argument that not much will change, \u201cKhameneism after Khamenei- why Mojtaba represents continuity, not change,\u201d<\/a> Iran International, 3-31-26.<\/p>\n

\u201cIran\u2019s President Suggests Diplomatic Engagement Possible in Letter to U.S. Public,\u201d<\/a> NYT, 4-1-26.<\/p>\n

\u201c5 Takeaways From Trump\u2019s Address on Iran,\u201d<\/a> 4-1-26.<\/p>\n

\u201c35 nations to meet to discuss Hormuz reopening,\u201d<\/a> SeaTrade Maritime, 4-1-26.<\/p>\n

Another great article from WSJ, this one in essence introducing international law into the equation of what to do with Iran\u2019s claimed islands in the Gulf.\u00a0 Remember, international law (and ownership) can change during war.\u00a0 Iran is also already claiming territory it does not have historical right to (talk to the UAE) and has acted in ways that the international community should not observe those claims.\u00a0 IL wins again!\u00a0 IL is made by sovereign states acting in their self interest.\u00a0 See \u201cThe Islands That Give Iran a Stranglehold on the Strait of Hormuz,\u201d<\/a> WSJ, 4-1-26.<\/p>\n

He has the long-range picture in mind.\u00a0 “The Axios Show”: Jamie Dimon defends Iran war as overdue,\u201d<\/a> Axios, 4-1-26.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Iran continues to be a revolutionary state, not a normal country.\u00a0 Even the supposed alive ayatollah (no April Fools joke) says so.\u00a0 \u201cLetter attributed to Khamenei posted on Telegram pledges support for Hezbollah,\u201d Iran International, 4-1-26.\u00a0\u00a0\u201cA letter attributed to Iran\u2019s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei was posted on his Telegram channel, pledging continued support for Hezbollah … <\/p>\n

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