{"id":9334,"date":"2026-06-18T21:30:05","date_gmt":"2026-06-19T02:30:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/?p=9334"},"modified":"2026-07-06T23:13:19","modified_gmt":"2026-07-07T04:13:19","slug":"9334","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/2026\/06\/18\/9334\/","title":{"rendered":""},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/video\/2026\/06\/19\/significant-number-of-irans-leaders-ready-to-give-up-on-khomeinism.html\">\u201cA significant number of Iran\u2019s leaders are ready to give-up on Khomeinism: Arash Azizi,\u201d<\/a> CNBC, 6-18-26.\u00a0\u00a0I\u2019ve been thinking about this, whether having a Supreme Leader (and the associated ideology) has run its course.\u00a0 Is the Regime ready to leave a cleric-led country?\u00a0 Could Shia beliefs be led by an inflential but not an all-powerful leader?\u00a0 (i.e., Sistani in Iraq).\u00a0\u00a0Has this run its course?\u00a0 Iran has grown more feared but not more economically sound.\u00a0 They people are worse off after 45 years.\u00a0 This interview also mentions the famous Kissinger quote, asking if Iran is ready to be normal or to remain a revolutionary cause?\u00a0 BTW, the interviewee is correct that Iran will want to charge for services in the Hormuz Strait, but after the 60 days the world (the U.S.) will not approve of such fees because Iran is not offering anything in exchange for the fee.\u00a0 \u00a0Protection?\u00a0 (that is blackmail).\u00a0 Safe passage through a narrow strait?\u00a0 The charts already provide underwater information.\u00a0 A toll to pass through is also not going to fly because other international straits do not have a passage fee.\u00a0 It is nothing more than the pirates of the Barbary Coast did.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/mail.google.com\/mail\/u\/0\/#inbox\/FMfcgzQgMVdmZjcphWwDZlKRNPnLZJfr?compose=GTvVlcSKjgCQnrPZSscLCkRSbsxlJvbhMcHhmxwmZJPBPnwKFlcshXpMDhsfCDSkLWHqWvSTCGnfg\">\u201cIran Won the War but May Lose the Peace,\u201d<\/a> Foreign Affairs, 6-18-26.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/articles\/cy8wdpq70yno\">\u201cNew arrest in Toronto US consulate shooting as authorities probe foreign ties of gunmen,\u201d<\/a> BBC, 6-18-26.\u00a0 I\u2019ll keep this posted until we are sure it is not Iran.\u00a0 It has fingerprints.<\/p>\n<p>They targeted civilians and where they live and work.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amnesty.org\/en\/latest\/news\/2026\/06\/iran-deadly-drone-strikes-on-bahrain-and-saudi-arabia-may-constitute-war-crimes-new-research\/\">\u201cIran: Deadly drone strikes on Bahrain and Saudi Arabia may constitute war crimes \u2013 new research,\u201d<\/a> Amnesty International, 6-18-26.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.arabnews.com\/node\/2647639\/saudi-arabia\">\u201cSaudi FM says Iran\u2019s attacks on the GCC resulted in a significant loss of trust in Tehran,\u201d<\/a> Arab News, 6-18-26.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/06\/18\/iran-deal-strait-hormuz-oil-tanker-saudi-arabia-traffic.html\">\u201cThree Saudi oil tankers carrying 6 million barrels cross Strait of Hormuz,\u201d<\/a> CNBC, 6-18-26.<\/p>\n<p>The history of international relations, and of war, is full of secret agreements.\u00a0 This is part of how things get accomplished, countries talking outside the glare of critics or those who could sabotage movement.\u00a0 See <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2026\/06\/18\/politics\/secret-us-iran-proposals\">\u201cSecret US-Iran proposals reveal fragile path toward broader nuclear deal,\u201d<\/a> CNN, 6-18-26.\u00a0\u00a0BTW, Trump is being repeatedly derided in the media at present for making an agreement just like Pres. Obama did with the JCPOA.\u00a0 No.\u00a0 I wrote six op-eds against the Obama deal, and lots of other persons complained also.\u00a0 There were many reasons to object, not the least was that at the end, after several years, Iran was free to produce nuclear weapons.<\/p>\n<p>He would be more persuasive if he did this in person.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iranintl.com\/en\/202606183505\">\u201cKhamenei shifts responsibility for MoU as Iran, US implement Hormuz terms,\u201d<\/a> Iran International, 6-18-26.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/news.usni.org\/2026\/06\/18\/u-s-ends-naval-blockade-of-iran\">\u201cU.S. Ends Naval Blockade of Iran,\u201d<\/a> USNI, 6-18-26.<\/p>\n<p>Comments typed on a social media channel are not proof.\u00a0 Why won\u2019t the media admit this?\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.axios.com\/2026\/06\/18\/iran-us-deal-supreme-leader-mojtaba-khamenei-talks\">\u201cIran&#8217;s supreme leader says he authorized deal, direct talks with U.S.,\u201d<\/a> Axios, 6-18-26.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cA significant number of Iran\u2019s leaders are ready to give-up on Khomeinism: Arash Azizi,\u201d CNBC, 6-18-26.\u00a0\u00a0I\u2019ve been thinking about this, whether having a Supreme Leader (and the associated ideology) has run its course.\u00a0 Is the Regime ready to leave a cleric-led country?\u00a0 Could Shia beliefs be led by an inflential but not an all-powerful leader?\u00a0 &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/2026\/06\/18\/9334\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2819,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2532],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9334","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-update"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9334","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2819"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9334"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9334\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9384,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9334\/revisions\/9384"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9334"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9334"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.acu.edu\/coatesn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9334"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}