2019 News through August

“Tehran Court Sentences May Day Demonstrators To Jail, Lashes,” Radio Farda, August 31, 2019.


August 31, 2019.  Told you.  The court in Gibraltar should never have believed Iran that it would not send its tanker to Syria.  “Iranian Tanker Headed to Lebanon, Not Turkey,” Jerusalem Post, Reuters, August 30, 2019.


August 30, 2019.  There’s nothing ‘moderate’ about the Iranian foreign minister, who is now threatening a U.S. think tank.  “Stop Indulging Javad Zarif,” Mark Dubowitz and Reuel Marc Gerecht, op-ed, Wall Street Journal, August 29, 2019.


“Israel: Iran, Hezbollah intensifying missile efforts,” Josef Federman, AP, Washington Post, August 29, 2019.

August 29, 2019.  Iranian civil rights activist Saba Kord Afshari has been sentenced to 24 years behind bars, including 15-years for taking off her hijab in public — an act that authorities say promoted “corruption and prostitution.”  See “Iranian civil rights activist gets prison for taking off hijab in public,” Amanda Woods, New York Post, August 29, 2019.


“The Israel-Iran Shadow War Escalates and Breaks Into the Open,” David Halbfinger, Ben Hubbard, and Ronen Bergman, New York Times, August 28, 2019.

August 28, 2019.  Corruption continues in the “justice” system.  The former mayor did not have to pay a blood price per the family of the murdered wife, and walks out of prison


August 27, 2019.  I guess it doesn’t matter that Instagram and Youtube are banned in the Islamic Republic.  “Zarif Invites Iranians To Watch His Ted Tal kOn Banned Youtube,” Tzvi Joffre, Jerusalem Post, August 28, 2019.

August 27, 2019.  Iran has set its demands—It wants to export a minimum of 700,000 barrels per day of its oil and ideally up to 1.5 million bpd if the West wants to negotiate with Tehran to save a 2015 nuclear deal, two Iranian officials and one diplomat told Reuters.  In addition, “Iran’s ballistic missile program cannot and will not be negotiated.”  Case closed.  They want their cake and to eat it, too, as the old saying goes.  “Exclusive: Iran says it will not negotiate missile work, wants to export more oil,” Reuters, August 25, 2019.



August 26, 2019.  So the bridge from Iran to Lebanon and its history are being discussed more, and publicly.  The Iranian Crescent continues, along with the strategy.  Iran continues to push the Revolution and control in the region.
“The Images and Maps Behind Iran’s ‘Land Bridge’,” Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, August 23, 2019.


“Tehran Orders Crackdown as Wealthy Use Ambulances to Beat Traffic,” Farnaz Fassihi, New York Times, August 26, 2019.

August 26, 2019.  There is some sort of a morality statement going on.  The IRGC’s ship, the Adrian Darya, formerly called Grace 1, is not going to a definite port and is drifting literally west of Crete—no country appears ready to embrace a terrorist-supporting vessel.  “Iranian tanker no longer has Turkey destination: shipping data,” Reuters, August 26, 2019.

August 26, 2019.  The head of Iran’s Quds force, Qassem Soleimani, in reacting to an Israeli air strike in Syria and the crash of two Israeli drones in a Beirut suburb this weekend, tweeted on Sunday with a picture of himself that, “These insane operations are absolutely last struggles of the Zionist Regime” in three languages.  So, let’s see if he’s correct?  There have been several hundred Israeli air attacks against Iranian assets for well over a year now, with analysts from various countries usually saying they were successful, in Syria and beyond.  Apparently Soleimani is not thinking of the immediate past—maybe he is just trying to rally the troops who keep on getting beat back by Israel.  “Israel Drawing Its Last Breaths, Says Iranian Commander Behind Foiled Drone Attack,” Reuters, August 26, 2019.

“Iran Seen Preparing For Space Launch,” Geoff Brumfiel, NPR, August 26, 2019.


August 26, 2019.  Another ironic story coming from Iran.  “Rejection of international law on the rise, Iran’s foreign minister says,” Reuters, August 26, 2019.



“Environmentalists filmed Iran’s vanishing cheetahs.  Now they could be executed for spying,” Erin Cunningham and Ben Guarino, The Washington Post, LMT, August 25, 2019.


“Iranian Official Makes Surprise Appearance on Sidelines of G7 Summit,” Peter Baker and Aurelien Breeden, New York Times, August 25, 2019.

August 26, 2019.  It doesn’t matter I suppose that the UN is not enforcing its travel ban against Iranian General Soleimani, right?!  Israel’s army chief says the Quds Force’s commander personally oversaw the attack planned in a Golan Heights base against Israel.  This immediately begs the question—did Israel target him when knocking out the planned suicide drone attack?  “Israel Says Iran’s Quds Force Team Arrived in Syria Months Ago to Prepare for Drone Attack,” Yaniv Kubovich, Haaretz, August 25, 2019.

“Iran Denies Targets Hit In Israel Syria Strike,” Jerusalem Post, Reuters, August 25, 2019.

August 25, 2019.  This news, this time from a different media outlet, deserves more comment.  “Iran Threatens Actions by ‘Security Institutions’ Against D.C. Think Tank,” Amir Tibon, Haaretz, August 25, 2019.  Dubowitz told Haaretz on Saturday that “the statement from the Iranian foreign ministry suggests that they have put FDD and me on a targets list, not just a sanctions list. According to the statement, they did this after consulting with the Quds Force, Iran’s extraterritorial terrorist group responsible for assassinations and terrorism around the world; the Ministry of Intelligence, which supports and sometimes conducts these assassinations and terrorist acts; as well as with judiciary, defense and central bank officials.”  Iran threatened on Saturday to take action against a Washington based think tank, The Foundation for Defense of Democracies, in response to the organization’s promotion of economic pressure against the Islamic Republic. The official Iranian announcement included a reference to actions by the country’s “security institutions,” drawing strong condemnation from current and former U.S. government officials.


August 25, 2019.  Iran’s Foreign Ministry says it has imposed sanctions on the Washington-based Foundation for Defense of Democracies and its CEO — saying the organization has promoted sanctions and “economic terrorism” against Iran.  “Iran Announces ‘Sanctions’ Against Washington-Based Think Tank,” RFE/RL, August 24, 2019.  But more than that, according to “Terror-sponsor Iran threatens Washington thinktank with actions by ‘security apparatuses’,” Joel Gehrke, Hunter Lovell, Washington Examiner, August 24, 2019, this is actually a physical threat.  Iran has threatened that any actions taken against it by “security apparatuses” will be “considered legitimate” by Tehran.  The ominous warning to the Foundation for Defense of Democracies and its staff was in state-controlled media, which cited a law titled “Countering America’s Human Rights Violation and Adventurous and Terrorist Actions” that was passed by the Iranian Parliament in 2017.  Iran’s FM said such actions were justified by FDD’s support for sanctions and advocating against the JCPOA.  “Accordingly, taking any actions by the judicial and security apparatuses against the FDD and their Iranian and non-Iranian accomplices will be considered legitimate as their actions are against the Iran’s national security and the interests of Iranian people and government,” the state-run Mehr news agency wrote.  FDD responded that, “The regime has a history of targeted assassinations on European soil, places in the Gulf, Latin America, Asia . . .  We’re treating it as a targets list, not a sanctions list.  I do think we have a sufficient profile with the U.S. administration, with Congress, and other allies that if the Iranians went after us, this would be a significant escalatory step.  But, I also don’t want to say that that necessarily will deter their behavior.  They tried to assassinate a Saudi ambassador in Cafe Milano right in the heart of Washington, D.C.”  In 2011, Iran’s plan to assassinate the Saudi Arabian ambassador to the U.S. at the Cafe Milano restaurant in Washington’s Georgetown district was thwarted, and one of the plotters sentenced to 25 years.  Two remain in Iran.  A number of U.S. academics have participated in FDD events, which are high quality educational events—this will not deter FDD or those who participate.

“Iran Test-Fires New Missile Amid Rising Tensions With US,” Forces Network, August 24, 2019.


August 24, 2019.  For those who don’t believe in the 12th Imam, or that Iran is trying to spread its Revolution, or that it is the desire of the Regime to bring back the Mahdi with an apocalyptic event, see if you can explain what Pres. Rouhani and his vice president and appointees are doing renewing their loyalty to a dead person, the first Supreme Ayatollah.  “Rouhani, cabinet team renew loyalty to Imam Khomeini,” Tehran Times, August 24, 2019.

August 24, 2019.  Ironic and funny at the same time.  “Today we have very accurate missiles which we have not publicized,” Iranian Deputy Defense Minister General Qassem Taqizadeh said to Fars news agency.  See “Iran has highly accurate missiles which it has not publicized:deputy defense minister,” WTV, Fars, August 23, 2019.

“Iran Is Building an AI Supercomputer With or Without U.S. Processors,” Dana  Miller, Interesting Engineering, August 24, 2019.

“Iran Issues Sanctions on Top Trump Admin Officials, Sen. Cruz,” Adam Kredo, Washington Free Beacon, August 24, 2019.





“Iran test fires new missile: Iran Revolutionary Guards commander,” Emma Beswick, Euronews, Reuters, August 24, 2019.

“Iran’s Regime Stokes More Antisemitism Amid Gulf Tensions, ADL Report,” Benjamin Weinthal, Jerusalem Post, August 24, 2019.


August 23, 2019.  Again, Iran shoots down a U.S. drone.  It is irresponsibly media-wise for CNN Barbara Starr to minimize this because she says it is pilot-less.  What penalty does Iran have to pay?  Can it shoot down multiple drones costing millions of dollars scot-free?  “US blames Iran after drone is downed in Yemen,” Barbara Starr and Zachary Cohen, CNN, August 21, 2019.



August 23, 2019.  So the bridge from Iran to Lebanon and its history are being discussed more, and publicly.  The Iranian Crescent continues, along with the strategy.  Iran continues to push the Revolution and control in the region.
“The Images and Maps Behind Iran’s ‘Land Bridge’,” Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, August 23, 2019.

“Released Iranian Oil Tanker Switches Direction, Heads for Turkey,” Will Hadfield, Catherine Traywick, Bloomberg, August 23, 2019.


August 22, 2019.  We are again reminded why the U.S. announced it was sanctioning the FM of Iran.  During his trip to Sweden, confronting repeated questions about the fate of an Iranian scientist who is a Swedish resident (Ahmad Reza Djalali (Jalali)), Zarif said that President Rouhani’s government “would do its best” to see if the death sentence on the Swedish-Iranian scientist can be delayed.  Zarif once again used his well-known excuse in such situations, declaring “In Iran the judiciary is independent.”  Every study of the Iranian judiciary says the opposite—it is not independent, it is controlled by the Supreme Leader and those he appoints, and these poor hostages will continue to be used as pawns.  Djalali is a medical doctor and researcher who has been in jail in Iran since 2016 on charges of “espionage” with a death sentence.  He was arrested by Iranian intelligence while visiting Iran to attend a scientific conference at the invitation of the University of Tehran.  See “Swedish-Iranians In Stockholm Protest Zarif’s Visit,” Radio Farda, August 22, 2019.


“Is Iranian Gen. Qasem Soleimani Iran’s Ultimate Negotiator?,” Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs, August 22, 2019.

“Israeli Airstrike Hits Weapons Depot in Iraq,” Alissa Rubin and Ronen Bergman, New York Times, August 22, 2019.



“The US-Iranian scuffle over a ship is a sideshow to events in the Gulf,” Simon Henderson, op-ed, The Hill, August 22, 2019.


August 21, 2019.  An Iranian administrative court has reaffirmed the continuing massive discrimination there against Baha’is.  The issue here was banning of Baha’is from university education, not just government employment or other issues.  The student appealed based on the violation of his human and civil rights because Iran is a treaty party to human rights agreements including the Universal Declaration of Human Rights and 18 of the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights.  “Appellate Branch of Administrative Justice Court Confirms: Iran’s Baha’is Not Entitled to University Education,” Iran Press Watch, August 17, 2019.
August 20, 2019.  If you want to be the next Supreme Leaders, don’t get into an argument with the head of the body who appoints the next Supreme Leader (Mohammad Yazdi oversees the Assembly of Experts).  Not smart by Larijani.  “The Battle For Succession In Iran Takes Its Toll,” Radio Farda, August 18, 2019.




August 20, 2019.  Makes our day!  AEO director Ali Akbar Salehi has told the Parliament that Iran plans to produce IR-8 centrifuges, which are 20 times more powerful than the first-generation equipment Iran has been using for uranium enrichment.  “Iran Planning Powerful, New Generation Centrifuges To Boost Enrichment,” Radio Farda, August 19, 2019.


“New Iranian Tanker Headed To Syria In Violation Of US Sanctions – Report,” Benjamin Weinthal, Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, August 20, 2019.


August 19, 2019.  Any thoughts of a Larijani being the next Supreme Leader had already passed some time ago.  But the news of this corruption case seems to be a significant spike against the five Larijani brothers and their respective positions in Iran’s leadership and politics.  They are Majles Speaker Ali Larijani, Former Deputy Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Larijani, Former Judiciary Chief Ayatollah Sadeq Amoli Larijani, former deputy Health Minister Baqer Larijani, and former diplomat turned businessman Fazel Larijani.  “What’s Happening In Iran? A Long-Time Khamenei Ally Under Fire,” Radio Farda, August 17, 2019.



“Iranian tanker sought by U.S. heading toward Greece,” AP, Los Angeles Times, August 19, 2019.




“Systemic corruption threatens Tehran regime’s future,” Mohammed Al-Sulami, Arab News, August 19, 2019.


“Gibraltar rejects U.S. request to seize Iranian oil tanker,” Liz Sly, Washington Post, August 18, 2019.

August 18, 2019.  Later in the day, I’m adding to my blog comments on this topic–“Iran has given no assurances over the Grace 1 not going to Syria to secure its release,” the state broadcaster’s youth website quoted foreign ministry spokesman Abbas Mousavi as saying Friday.  “The tanker’s destination was not Syria … and even if it was, it did not concern anyone else.”  So, whatever Iran’s lawyer told the court in Gibraltar is 180 degrees different than what Iran’s government is now saying through its foreign ministry.  See “Iran denies giving Gibraltar assurances for release of tanker,” Amir Havasi, ,AFP, August 16, 2019, and regarding Iran promising to not deliver to Syria, “Gibraltar releases Iranian oiltanker,” DW, August 16, 2019, and “Gibraltar releases Iran supertanker that US sought to seize,” AP, Times Free Press, AP, August 16, 2019.

August 18, 2019.  It is being reported that “Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesman Abbas Mousavi on Friday said the country had made no commitments to gain the release of its tanker, while the chief minister of Gibraltar insisted on the written assurances it had received.”  Iran is saying that it can take the oil to Syria.  So, just as I wrote on this blog recently, watch what Iran does—will it keep its word (agreed to and recorded in the Gibraltar court’s order)?  “Iranian oil tanker Grace 1 is free, but may not be leaving Gibraltar anytime soon,” CBS, August 16, 2019.





“How Israel Can Deter Iran,” Benny Morris, op-ed, Haaretz, August 17, 2019.

“Iran’s Aggression And The Shi’ite Apocalypse,” Lela Gilbert, op-ed, Jerusalem Post, August 17, 2019.


August 17, 2019.  Iran continues to attempt to divide Western allies such as the U.S. and the UK.  It also wants this oil to be sold to support the IRGC.  “Gibraltar releases Iranian tanker despite US move to block it,” Rebecca Kheel, The Hill, August 15, 2019.

“UN expert: Executions in Iran among the world’s highest,” Edith Lederer, AP, Star Tribune, August 16, 2019.




“What’s Happening In Iran? A Long-Time Khamenei Ally Under Fire,” Radio Farda, August 16, 2019.

August 16, 2019.  A rare glimpse into the opaque and corrupt judiciary system.  “Khamenei Orders Internal Cleansing Of Iran’s Judiciary – Intelligence Official,” Radio Farda, August 15, 2019.

“The real Iran – and the reasons why it’s one of the most paradoxical countries in the world,” Jack Straw, op-ed, i-news, August 15, 2019.


August 15, 2019.  Two things that jump out at everyone.  First, watch where the tanker goes.  Iran has promised it will not go to Syria.  This means that its oil can’t be unloaded (say, in Turkey) and then reloaded later to go to Syria.  Second, let’s watch to see if Iran will release the UK’s tanker held hostage in Bandar Abbas.  It was seized as collateral (really blackmail) to release the Gibraltar ship.  Will Iran keep its word?  “Gibraltar Releases Iran Supertanker That US Sought to Seize,” Jon Gambrell and Aritz Parra, AP, August 15, 2019.


“Iran Activists Criticize Tehran For Signing Controversial Caspian Legal Regime,” Radio Farda, August 15, 2019.




“Iran Says US Mission in Gulf Not Needed,” Adil Al-Salmi, Asharq Al-Awsat, August 15, 2019.

“Workers Prosecuted In Iran For Continuing Protests,” Radio Farda, August 15, 2019.


“Mystery $15m Iran shipment exposes Australian-owned firm to sanctions threat,” Christopher Knaus, The Guardian, August 15, 2019.


“Iran Arrests British-Iranian Academic Amid Tanker Standoff With U.K.,” Ceylan Yeginsu, New York Times, August 14, 2019.


August 14, 2019.  A significant story, the first I’ve seen (at least in recent memory) of the Ayatollah admitting support for the Houthis.  This has been financially, politically, and via military for several years now, attempting to spread the Revolution through chaos and pressure against neighboring states.  Remember the method of operation—spread fear and chaos through local support of an underground against the i.e. ruling power (say Bahrain or Lebanon, etc.) then call for dialogue because an open invasion is impossible.  That becomes a negotiated new reality, with a persons of power or a legislative minority that leans toward the Iranian Regime.  The influence in the region expands.  It is a years-long strategy to revise the Middle East and the Islamic World.  That is what we see in this story of Khamenei backing Yemen’s Houthis and now calling for dialogue several years in.  “Iran’s Khamenei backs Yemen’s Houthi movement, calls for dialogue,” Reuters, August 13, 2019.



“Swiss Intel Report: Iran Will Wait Trump Gov’t Out On Nuclear Pact,” Benjamin Weinthal, Jerusalem Post, August 14, 2019.





August 13, 2019.  It is not unusual for Iran’s media to be used to try to craft political realities.  Notice the promotion of a hoped-for reality without attributes by the Iranian spokesman.  “Gibraltar Denies It is Due to Release Seized Iranian Tanker,” VOA, August 13, 2019.

“Sanctioning Iran’s foreign minister isn’t as dire as it may sound,” Jason Brodsky, op-ed, The Hill, August 13, 2019.

August 12, 2019.  He is not the first, nor will he be the last (tortured to gain a “tortured” confession).  “‘Iran tortured me into confessing to be an Israeli spy’,” Jiyar Gol, BBC Persian, August 12, 2019.



“Iran detains freelance photographer and culture reporter Nooshin Jafari,” Committee to Protect Journalists, August 12, 2019.

August 11, 2019.  An enlightening article about Iran’s secretive oil business.  “U.S. Sanctions Turn Iran’s Oil Industry Into Spy vs. Spy,” Farnaz Fassihi, New York Times, August 8, 2019.

“Iran warns of war if Israeli warships enter Persian Gulf,” Nicholas Sakelaris, UPI, August 12, 2019.

“Russia, Iran, others debate how to split Caspian oil riches,” Alexander Vershinin, AP, August 12, 2019.


“Iran unveils ‘improved’ radar air defense system,” Reuters, Israel Hayom, August 11, 2019.

August 10, 2019.  In “U.S. Verdict Allowing Seizure of Iran-Linked Manhattan Skyscraper Is Overturned,” Reuters, New York Times, August 9, 2019, we read and communicate to Iran and others that the rule of law and due process are hallmarks of the American legal system, and we ask that the Iranian government does the same for its country.

“Iran’s Game of Drones: The Growing Threat from the Sky,” Ali Bakeer, National Interest, August 10, 2019.

August 9, 2019.  Just the other day someone commented to me, “When the old guard [1979 mullahs, etc.] die, the large younger generation will be able to make Iran right.”  My response—even with demographics changing, there is a growing thugocracy, a ruling class of religious figures with IRGC military might and corruption and crime that has taken over the government in the past 15 years especially.  “Iran’s Clerics Increasingly Worried As People Adopt Western Lifestyles,” Radio Farda, August 9, 2019.





“Wife of US student held in Iran says husband ‘not a spy’,” Eric Tucker, AP, Star Tribune, August 8, 2019.


“U.S. Intel Officials Eye Disinformation Campaign Targeting John Bolton’s Family,” Lachlan Markay, Adam Rawnsley, Daily Beast, August 8, 2019.



August 8, 2019.  The Ayatolllah has spoken—No Soccer Games for Women.  “Iran Prosecutor Defies FIFA On Stadium Entrance Ban For Women,” RFE/RL, August 8, 2019.

“Has Ebrahim Raisi Been Tagged As Iran’s Next Supreme Leader?,” Yonah Jeremy Bob, Jerusalem Post, August 8, 2019.


“Iran urges United Nations head to oppose U.S. sanctions on Foreign Minister,” Michelle Nichols, Reuters, The Globe and Mail, August 7, 2019.


“High-Level Cyber Intrusions Hit Bahrain Amid Tensions With Iran,” Bradley Hope, Warren Strobel, Dustin Volz, Wall Street Journal, August 7, 2019.



August 7, 2019.  Somebody contact Saddam Hussein and tell him someone is stealing his line from the Persian Gulf War.  “War with Iran is the mother of all wars: Iran president,” Reuters, August 6, 2019.



“Would China Sanction Iran To Stop An Israeli Attack? – Analysis,” Yonah Jeremy Bob, Jerusalem Post, August 6, 2019.




 August 6, 2019.  The entire article is educational about life in Iran under the Regime.  See “Amid Iran’s Envrionmental, Economic Crises, Kahamenei Urges Having More Babies,” Tzvi Joffre, Jerusalem Post, August 6, 2019.  “Amid an economic crisis, international sanctions and increasing tensions with the US, Iran’s Supreme Leader is urging Iranians to have more babies.  In a meeting with young newlywed couples, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei encouraged government officials to provide more support to families in order to increase the Islamic republic’s population, adding that “having more children should turn into a culture,” according to his website.  “When the population is large, righteous individuals will naturally be larger in number, capabilities will naturally be more and human resources will obviously be more advanced,” said Khamenei. The supreme leader presented China and India as examples of how countries with larger populations achieve more, neglecting to mention that both countries have implemented measures to restrict population growth.  The annual population growth rate in Iran was 3.7% in 1976 with a population of 33 million, but has plummeted to 1.25% since then with a current population of 82 million, according to Radio Farda. Prior to the 1979 revolution, Iranian officials were concerned about the high growth rate, but now Islamic republic leaders are unhappy with the slower rate.  The size of families has also decreased in Iran alongside a smaller birth rate and a higher age of marriage. In the 2016 census, about 10 million Iranians aged 20-39 were single.  The highest fertility rates are found in poorer countries in Africa, including Niger with a rate of 7.2 children per woman and Somalia with a rate of 6.2. Iran’s current total fertility rate is 2.5 children per woman.  Khamenei stressed that the people of Iran agree with his opinion, but “the officials who should pursue it in practice and prepare the ground are not doing what is necessary.”  In the 1990s, Iran offered free contraceptive services and issued “religious edicts in favor of vasectomies” due to fears of a population explosion, according to Farda.  Under direct orders issued by Khamenei to the conservative government of former president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, progressive laws on family planning were reversed, access to contraceptives was restricted and voluntary sterilization was outlawed.  Ahmadinejad promised a cash gift of about $1,000 for every child born, but the promise was never kept.  The supreme leader promotes the idea of an Iran with at least 150 million people and insisted in 2011 that “The country would face an aging population in the not-too-distant future if couples refuse to have more children.”  Critics at the time claimed that his concerns were unfounded, since 70% of the nation’s population were under the age of 35, but the budget for family planning was eliminated in any case.  The Islamic republic is also facing severe environmental issues, including a water shortage which would only be exacerbated by a larger population, according to Radio Farda.  “Stop repeating the shibboleth and saying our country is great. Our resources are limited,” said Isa Kalantari, the head of Iran’s Department of Environment, last year. “Without guaranteed imports, it will not be wise to increase the country’s population,” said Kalantari, adding that the nation will be left with no water in less than 50 years.”





“At What Cost? The Price for Media Access to Iran,” Michael Lipin, VOA, August 5, 2019.

August 5, 2019.  In exchange for a five-fold cash increase, Hamas has reportedly been asked to give Iran information on the location of Israel’s missile stockpiles.  “Iran said increasing Hamas funding to $30m per month, wants intel on Israel,” Michael Bachner, Toi Staff, Times of Israel, August 5, 2019.

“Hezbollah allies intensify hunt for main critic of Syrian regime,” Khaled Yacoub Oweis, The National, August 5, 2019.


“Iran: Jailed Environmentalists on Hunger Strike,” Human Rights Watch, August 5, 2019.

August 5, 2019.  We don’t know how this Canadian or the two hard rock musicians escaped Iran (they wisely didn’t tell the media), but they really wanted freedom.  “Resident of Canada Escapes From Jail in Iran, Returns Home,”
Asharq Al-Awsat, August 4, 2019.

August 5, 2019.  This article, “Iranian metalheads avoid prison, commence rocking Norway,” Justin Rohrlich, Quartz, August 3, 2019, has some interesting points, and along with the Canadian paroled hostage is instructive about the desire to flee Iran.  “But the men were already gone, and the sentencing symbolic. After their initial arrest and conviction in 2017, but before the appeals process began, Khosravi, who was under a state-imposed travel ban at the time, hired a smuggler to sneak him across the border into Turkey. Last December, Khosravi made his way to Harstad, a town of 25,000 in northern Norway.  Ilkhani, who had chosen to stay in Tehran for the appeals process, became extremely concerned after a contentious court hearing led him to believe he’d soon be jailed. In late February, he called Khosravi, who in turn contacted the International Cities of Refuge Network (ICORN), the Norway-based NGO that got him to Harstad, and asked for help.  Unlike Khosravi, the Iranian government hadn’t imposed a travel ban on Ilkhani. He too fled to Turkey, where Dyvik said there is “always a fear that Iranian agents are operating” within the country. In early March, Ilkhani arrived in Harstad, which ICORN designated an “official city of refuge for musicians” in 2014.  Iran’s theocratic leadership does not tolerate dissent, and human rights groups have long decried its record on restricting freedom of expression. Women are regularly jailed for dancing or not covering their heads in public, and hundreds of journalists have been arrested, some even executed, for doing their jobs.  “Nikan and Arash are very good examples of how people who express themselves through the arts are soft targets for oppressive regimes,” ICORN program director Elisabeth Dyvik, who helped resettle the band, told Quartz. “The main source of their persecution are their words, their ideas, that in a country like yours or mine would seem mainstream.”  There are some 70 “cities of refuge” in the global ICORN network where artists and musicians at risk in their home countries can do two-year residencies. Applicants cannot choose their destinations, and are placed wherever there is room. Khosravi and Ilhkani ended up in Norway, where there is a thriving heavy metal scene, “by coincidence,” according to Dyvik, who said the band members were relieved to have ended up there.  …  Second, when a year later Khosravi and Ilkhani stood trial they were found guilty of blasphemy but the pair avoided death sentences thanks to a legal technicality.  “If you insult the Prophet you will get executed, because he’s dead and he can’t defend himself,” Khosravi told online metal magazine Loudwire last year. “But if you blaspheme God and question His existence, He can forgive you. That was why we didn’t get executed.”  It was during the subsequent appeals process that Khosravi snuck out of Iran to Turkey. He applied for an ICORN residency online, and eventually found his way to Harstad, where Ilkhani later joined him. They have reportedly been granted political asylum by the Norwegian government.” 



“Iran captures another foreign oil tanker on Persian Gulf: report,” Bjarke Smith-Meyer, Politico, August 4, 2019.

“Iran Says It Has Seized Another Oil Tanker in Persian Gulf,” Vivian Yee, Yonette Joseph and Iliana Magra, New York Times, August 4, 2019.

August 4, 2019.  Iran simply must change the law, and enforce it.  “Many Under-Thirteen Child Brides Becoming Mothers In Iran,” Radio Farda, August 4, 2019.



August 4, 2019.  Persons in Iran can see this “Iran Nation or Cause” blog, but only if they use a proxy server.  All blogs hosted on Blogspot (like this one) are blocked in Iran.  Most social networks like Facebook and Twitter are blocked, and WordPress is blocked.  Iran is “Not Free” per the Freedom on the Net 2018.



“Iran Watch: Should Trump Fear Tehran’s Last Missile Test?,” National Interest, Stratfor, August 3, 2019.



August 3, 2019.  So, about four fifths of Iran’s oil has been cut.  But certain actors including the PRC are still buying and displaying to the world they support Iran and its Regime.  After all, China can buy their oil elsewhere.  Thanks to the New York Times for this story and the graphic details (excuse the pun).  “Defying U.S. Sanctions, China and Others Take Oil From 12 Iranian Tankers,” Anjali Singhvi, Edward Wong and Denise Lu, New York Times, August 3, 2019.

August 3, 2019.  Velayati is the real FM, not Zarif, at least in giving foreign policy advice to the Supreme Leader.  But also in Velayati communications with other countries that are Iran’s allies.  Zarif is for “Western consumption.”  “Iran’s Embattled Foreign Minister; What Next For Zarif?,” Radio Farda, August 1, 2019.

“Canadian resident freed from Iranian prison,” David Herszenhorn, Politico, August 3, 2019.





“From Lebanon to Latin America, Hezbollah helps Iran spread global terrorism,” Israel Kasnett , JNS , Israel Hayom, August 2, 2019.





August 2, 2019.  Very important in the context of the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.  Iran’s PMUs in Iraq are putting pressure on Israel to remove their missiles (remember, we are already in a missile and defensive war between Iran and Israel).  “According to Israeli intelligence, Iran is currently providing Iraqi militias with missiles that have ranges of 200 to 700 kilometers and are capable of hitting anywhere in Israel. These missiles are more accurate than the ones in Hezbollah’s arsenal. Iran may use them either to hit Israel directly from northern Iraq or to transfer them as needed to Syria and Lebanon. Iran’s regional deployment is largely based on missiles because it doesn’t think its aerial and ground forces are capable of standing up to Western armies. Consequently, it has focused on improving both the range and accuracy of its missiles in recent years.”  “With Missiles More Accurate Than Hezbollah’s, Iran Entrenchment in Iraq Threatens Israel,” Yaniv Kubovich, Haaretz, August 1, 2019.




“Traveling to Discover the Real Iran,” Kourosh Ziabari and Stephan Orth, Fair Observer, August 1, 2019.






“Iran Owns the Persian Gulf Now,” Steven Cook, FP, August 1, 2019.

“What Iran Will Do Next, and How to Stop It,” James Stavridis, Bloomberg, op-ed, August 1, 2019.

August 1, 2019.  Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif said Wednesday Tehran is ready to engage in dialogue with Saudi Arabia if Riyadh “is ready for talks”.   “If Saudi Arabia is ready for talks, Iran is always ready for negotiation with neighbors,” Zarif said in statements carried by the official IRNA news agency.  But what AA News does not say is that whether Saudi Arabia is “ready for talks” is judged solely by Iran.  And Iran has no interest in sitting down with its Persian Gulf foe.  This statement by the FM is a smokescreen.  “Iran says ready for talks with Saudi Arabia,” Abdul Jabbar Abu Ras, AA News, July 31, 2019.




“Trump Administration Imposes Sanctions on Iran’s Top Diplomat,” David Sanger and Michael Crowley, New York Times, July 31, 2019.


July 31, 2019.  The question of veracity appears again regarding Iran, this time with whether they gave warnings to the U.S. Global Hawk drone shot down over the Strait of Hormuz.  In the only detailed reporting on this question (Iran certainly didn’t provide such from its military), this is what we are informed of.  “While more than a dozen U.S. military aircraft flew in international airspace near Iran’s borders the day the country downed an RQ-4 Global Hawk drone over the Strait of Hormuz last month, officials with U.S. Central Command say the U.S. was never “warned” before Iran took out the drone, contrary to the regime’s statements.  After analysis, CENTCOM officials concluded there were “six different occasions where Iranian air defense stations queried or warned U.S. aircraft and [unmanned aerial vehicles] on the international guard radio channel” in the 12 hours prior to and following the shootdown, CENTCOM spokesman Navy Capt. Bill Urban said.  “None were recorded or reported by the RQ-4 that was shot down in international airspace in the vicinity of the Strait of Hormuz, and none were received, reported or recorded by any other aircraft at the time of the shoot down,” Urban said in an email response to Military.com Tuesday. “We are not aware of any Iranian attempt to warn any U.S. forces or headquarters before they executed the shoot down of the RQ-4.”  Last month, Iranian Brig. Gen. Qader Rahimzadeh, the deputy commander of Khatam al-Anbia Air Defense Base, said the Iranian military had sent the Navy-operated Global Hawk “several warnings” before ultimately downing the drone, news site Tasnim reported.  Brig. Gen. Amir Ali Hajizadeh, commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards aerospace force, said separately that forces refrained from shooting down a P-8 Poseidon surveillance aircraft flying in the region, and instead shot down the RQ-4, claiming the drone violated its airspace.  U.S. Central Command officials have maintained neither the RQ-4 nor P-8 — which were on two different flight paths — entered Iranian airspace that day, but added that U.S. aircraft routinely operate in the region.  The Global Hawk is an unmanned system used by the Air Force and Navy that’s capable of flying intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance missions at high altitudes, upward of 60,000 feet.  Following the incident, Air Force Chief of Staff Gen. David Goldfein said U.S. intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance flights hadn’t stopped or been scaled back even amid uncertainty surrounding Iran’s intentions.  “Yes, we’re continuing to fly,” Goldfein said during a breakfast hosted by the Mitchell Institute in Washington, D.C. June 26. “We continue to fly where we need to, when we need to be there and as we do in all scenarios.”  Urban on Tuesday said Iran and the U.S. do not have a deconfliction line of communications even as operations continue.  “There is no deconfliction hotline nor any direct communications between the U.S. military and Iran, except for safety of operation radio calls on guard at the tactical level,” he said.  “CENTCOM: Iran Never Warned RQ-4 Drone Before Shootdown,” Oriana Pawlyk, Military.com, July 30, 2019.



“Volume Of Iran’s Unsold Stockpiled Oil Skyrockets – Report,” Dalga Khatinoglu, Radio Farda, July 31, 2019.


“Former Mayor of Tehran Is Sentenced to Death in Wife’s Killing,” Megan Specia and Farnaz Fassihi, New York Times, July 31, 2019.




“Iran building military front against Israel,” Dalit Halevi, Arutz Sheva, July 30, 2019.


“Trump to disappoint Iran hawks with more nuclear waivers,” Eliana Johnson, Politico, July 30, 2019.

“Is Israel Flying F-35s In Iraq To Hit Iranian Missile Shipments?,” Arie Egozi, Paul McLeary, Breaking Defense, July 30, 2019.


July 30, 2019.  Could not have said it better myself.  “Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khameini last week touted Iran’s support for the Palestinian terrorist group Hamas. He said the way to counter the so-called “deal of the century” peace plan of the Trump administration would be to give Palestinians a “feeling of progress,” offering that “not many years ago, the Palestinians were fighting with stones, but today … they are equipped with precision rockets, and this means a feeling of progress.”  This was yet another example of Iran’s warped vision for the Palestinian people – one that offers nothing but increased violence, devastation and despair.”  “Greenblatt and Hook: Israeli-Palestinian peace would be Iran’s worst nightmare,” Jason Greenblatt, Brian Hook op-ed, Fox, July 30, 2019.
“Iran warns will reduce commitment to nuclear deal,” Middle East Monitor, July 30, 2019.









“GitHub confirms it has blocked developers in Iran, Syria and Crimea,” Rita Liao, Manish Singh, Tech Crunch, July 29, 2019.





“How to Stop Iran’s Maritime Misadventures,” Editorial Board, Bloomberg, July 29, 2019.



July 29, 2019.  Interesting article about how Iran tries to hide true ownership of some of its ships.  “Flags of inconvenience: noose tightens around Iranian shipping,” Jonathan Saul, Parisa Hafezi, Marianna Parraga, Reuters, July 26, 2019.




“Iran Condemns UK During Meeting With Oman’s Foreign Minister,” Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, July 28, 2019.


July 28, 2019.  Do sanctions work?  They can produce the desired economic effect.  But will they change policy?  “The point-to-point inflation that reflects the increase in prices in Iran in comparison with the same time in the previous year has reached 48 percent, the Iranian Statistical Center reported on July 24. Meanwhile, the inflation rate in the 12-month period ending in July 2019 has reached 40.4 percent, the report said.  The point-to-point inflation rate is indicative of the momentum of rise in prices by comparing the prices of various commodities to prices during the similar period in the previous year.  On the other hand, the 12-month inflation rate shows the average increase in prices during the past 12 months.  In the current situation of Iran’s economy, the point-to-point inflation can indicate the depth of the country’s economic crisis in a more transparent way.  The report by the Iranian Statistical Center about the price of goods and services in Iran further shows that the trend of increasing prices has slowed down in July compared with previous months.”  See “Iran Inflation Rate Hits Record High,” Dalga Khatinoglu, Radio Farda, July 25, 2019.




July 27, 2019.  Not just a random story, or a story with the ironic “Safety First” sign prominent on the ship that is sinking.  Instead, mismanagement and refusal to spend resources on important things (instead of weapons, terrorism, nuclear program, etc.) results in deadly and costly accidents.  “Iranian cargo ship sinks in Caspian Sea,” Sara Mazloumsaki, CNN, July 26, 2019.

July 26, 2019.  “Iran test-fired a medium-range ballistic missile late Wednesday that traveled 1,000 kilometers from its southern launch point into northern Iran, according to a US official with direct knowledge of the event.  The launch of the Shahab-3 missile did not pose a threat to shipping or US bases, the official said, and remained inside Iran for the duration of its flight. Nevertheless, it served as a signal to the US and Europe and could serve to further increase tensions in the region. The missile was launched from Iran’s southeastern coastline along the Gulf of Oman and landed in northern Iran, the official said. While analysts said Iran’s missile test might be destabilizing given the volatile situation in the Persian Gulf, it doesn’t violate any United Nations resolutions — which has been a source of frustration to critics of the Iran deal. UN Security Council Resolution 2231, which endorsed the Iran nuclear deal, “called upon” Iran to refrain from activities related to ballistic missiles designed to be capable of delivering nuclear weapons. “The missile test is inconsistent with the Security Council resolution, and certainly destabilizing, but not a violation,” said Mary Kaszynski, deputy policy director of the Ploughshares Fund, an anti-nuclear foundation. Kaszynski said that “unless the specific test is a significant technological advancement, this is really more about political messaging and part of the cycle of escalation between the Iranian regime and the Trump administration.” Wednesday’s test follows a pointed exchange between Iran and the US over missiles and may be meant to underscore that Iran will not negotiate over its missile program. Secretary of State Michael Pompeo has said that Iran must end missile testing as one of 12 conditions he has laid out for an end to the maximum pressure campaign the Trump administration implemented after it left the Iran nuclear deal in May 2018. Trump administration officials have repeatedly criticized the 2015 Iran nuclear deal because it did not include Tehran’s missile program or what it calls Iran’s malign activity in the region. They say they want both included in a future agreement.”  See “Iran test-fires medium-range ballistic missile, US official says,” Barbara Starr, Nicole Gaouette and Veronica Stracqualursi, CNN, July 26, 2019.



July 26, 2019.  We are reminded again that Iran does not allow its democratically (mostly) elected president make policy, but the Supreme Leader is supreme.  “Khamenei Aide:  No Talks With U.S. Under Any Circumstances,” Jerusalem Post, Reuters, July 24, 2019.



“Iran’s Spy Scandal Exposes the Regime’s Insecurity,” Irina Tsukerman, Fair Observer, July 25, 2019.

July 25, 2019.  Now, blackmail against Brazil.  “Iran Warns Brazil Over Stranded Ship Barred From Refueling,” Samy Adghirni  and Sabrina Valle, Bloomberg, July 23, 2019.

July 25, 2019.  Not fake news.  But old news.  Iran has been doing this a long time (as much as possible), and so has the U.S.–and not just by air/drones.  “Iranian Drones Surveil All U.S. Ships in the Gulf, Navy Head Says,” Haaretz, July 23, 2019.



July 25, 2019.  Ah ha, back to the theme of this blog.  “Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said Saturday that Iran has to decide if it wants to act like a “normal nation” but that it showed “no indications” of changing direction amid increasing tensions. “The Iranian regime has to make a decision that it wants to behave like a normal nation,” Pompeo said at a news conference with Ecuadorian President Lenín Moreno, according to a video of his remarks published by Reuters. Pompeo said that if the Iranians do that, The U.S. is “prepared to negotiate across a broad spectrum of issues with no preconditions,” but said there were “no indications that the Iranians are prepared to fundamentally change the direction of their nation.” “If they do the things we’ve asked them to do on their nuclear program, their missile program, their malign behavior around the world — I mean, you can just watch their actions. These are actions that threaten,” Pompeo said.”  See “Pompeo: There’s ‘no indication’ Iran will change direction,” Rachel Frazin, The Hill, July 20, 2019.



“Suggesting a Tanker Swap, Iran Hints at a Compromise,” David Kirkpatrick, New York Times, July 24, 2019.


“Award-Winning Iranian Filmmaker Rasoulof Sentenced To Prison, Travel Ban,” Kianoush Farid, Golnaz Esfandiari, RFE/RL, July 24, 2019.






July 24, 2019.  Take this with the respect (for the dead) with which it is written.  I am surprised that outside of just one news cycle (a few days ago) that the IAEA director would be stepping down early, that no reporters knew and then reported on how ill Yukiya Amano was.  This is the UN representative most responsible for ensuring Iran was complying with the JCPOA, and it turns out he was gravely ill.  Why was this not in the news?  This is relevant to how the IAEA was supposed to be monitoring Iran, including pressing it for inspections anytime anywhere anyone.  “Yukiya Amano, Head of the I.A.E.A. Nuclear Watchdog Group, Dies at 72,” Megan Specia and David Sanger, New York Times, July 22, 2019.


“U.S. Warns of Dealing With Iranian Airlines,” Mengqi Sun, Wall Street Journal, July 23, 2019.



July 23, 2019.  Once again, we see the terror connection directly between the Supreme Leader and Hamas, in their own words publicly no less.  Hamas is the agent of Iran to deliver missiles and mayhem against Israel.  Read for yourself.  “Hamas’ rapprochement with Iran endangers deal with Israel,” Shlomi Eldar, Al Monitor, July 23, 2019.

July 23, 2019.  Quote of the Day, by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, “the Iranian regime has a long history of lying” and “It is part of the nature of the ayatollah to lie to the world,” referring to the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. He attributed the Iranian seizure of the ship to the fundamental character of the Iranian government.  Iran’s retaliation against the West “isn’t because of the American sanctions,” he said. “This is because the theocracy, the leadership in Iran, their revolutionary zeal to conduct terror around the world for now four decades continues.  This is a bad regime. They have now conducted national piracy, right? A nation state taking over a ship that is traveling in international waters.”  See “Iran Claims to Have Arrested and Executed U.S. Spies,” David Kirkpatrick, New York Times, July 22, 2019.


“Iran Working to Arm Syria and Hezbollah by Sea,” Yaniv Kubovich, Haaretz, July 22, 2019.


“Seized Ship Riah’s Charterer Denies Iran Fuel-Smuggling Rap,” Verity Ratcliffe, Bloomberg, July 22, 2019.

July 23, 2019.  There is no “reciprocal action” in international law.  The IRGC and Iranian FM may be referring to international relations—and what leads to force being taken by others.  But to be clear, there is NOTHING in international law that authorizes tit-for-tat state actions.  In fact, international law is designed for peaceful settlement of disputes, not escalating actions.  Note also that Iran (and some in the media are falsely reporting) a scenario of “A then B”, that the Gibraltar seizure of the Iranian tanker should logically be followed by the next news—the seizer of a British tanker.  That is a logical and legal fallacy.  The Syrian War sanctions by the EU against Iran for its actions in the Syrian Civil War are the “A”, leading to the “B” stopping of the Iranian tanker off the coast of Gibraltar as it was taking oil to Syria in violation of those sanctions.  We call on the media to emphasize this fact and not let Iran get away with revisionist history.  “Iran calls seizure of British tanker a ‘reciprocal action’,” Rachel Frazin, The Hill, July 20, 2019.  Here is the verbatim story—“Iran reportedly called its seizure of a British oil tanker a “reciprocal action” after British assistance in the impounding an Iranian supertanker.  Iran’s Guardian Council spokesman Abbas Ali Kadkhodaei told the semi-official Fars news agency that the Friday seizure of the British tanker was a legal “reciprocal action,” according to The Associated Press.  Guardian Council comments are often seen as Iranian supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s views, according to the wire service.  Mohammad Javad Zarif, Iran’s foreign minister, said Saturday on Twitter that the July 4 seizure of the Iranian supertanker was “piracy” and that Iran’s action was done “to uphold [international] maritime rules.””



“Pompeo denies Iran claims it broke up U.S. ‘spy ring’,” Erin Cunningham, Washington Post, July 22, 2019.


July 22, 2019.  With each of these incidents, it is important that the international media call out Iran when it issues statements that are patently untrue, such as that the UK tanker rammed an Iranian fishing boat, ignoring the emergency call.  There was no fishing boat, and the IRGC’s own videos show how the tanker seizure instead occurred.  Or (this would be hilarious if not such an outright mistruth) British ship entered Hormuz Strait going the wrong direction!  Wrong way?!  Media, do your job!  When a state falsifies information, tell the world!  “Iran says British-flagged tanker was in accident with fishing boat,” Reuters, July 20, 2019.  See also “Britain calls ship seizure ‘hostile act’ as Iran releases video of capture,” Babak Dehghanpisheh, William Schomberg, Reuters, July 20, 2019.  See also “‘Alter your course,’ Iranians warned before seizing UK-flagged ship,” Eliza Mackintosh, CNN, July 21, 2019.  See also “Iran Guards Say British Tanker Entered Strait From the Wrong Direction,” Ladane Nasseri  and Golnar Motevalli, Bloomberg, July 20, 2019.

“Iran Says Fate of Seized Ship Depends on Crew ‘Cooperation’,” Amir Havasi, Agence France Presse, Military.com, July 21, 2019.

“There would be no Al-Qaeda without Iranian support,” Rami Dabbas, The Times of Israel, July 21, 2019.




July 21, 2019.  Released again by Foreign Affairs, part of its “What Really Happened” historical review (part educational effort regarding Cold War “hot spots” in Congo, Iran, Chile, and Pakistan.  “What Really Happened in Iran:  The CIA, the Ouster of Mosaddeq, and the Restoration of the Shah,” Ray Takeyh, Foreign Affairs, July/August 2014.

July 20, 2019.  Released again by Foreign Affairs, part of its “What Really Happened” historical review (part of the educational effort regarding Cold War “hot spots” in Congo, Iran, Chile, and Pakistan).  “What Really Happened in Iran:  The CIA, the Ouster of Mosaddeq, and the Restoration of the Shah,” Ray Takeyh, Foreign Affairs, July/August 2014.  And here is some additional information, added July 22–This myth, that the United States put its puppet the Shah on the throne in 1953, is perpetuated by incorrect/incomplete/negligent reporting such as this recent instance by David Kirkpatrick of the New York Times.  “The Iranian fear of American spies is founded in history. American intelligence agencies have used cyberweapons to disrupt Iran’s nuclear program. And all Iranians know that in 1953, the C.I.A. orchestrated a military coup that removed an elected prime minister.”  “Iran Claims to Have Arrested and Executed U.S. Spies,” David Kirkpatrick, New York Times, July 22, 2019.

“Iranian ship repaired in Saudi Arabia heads back to Iran,” Reuters, July 20, 2019.



July 20, 2019.  I really want to speak to this piece of news.  Anyone who looks at a NYC map will quickly disagree with FM Zarif—restricting Iranian diplomats to just part of New York City (New York City!) is not “inhuman” at all.  Instead, everything a person could want is in the “city that never sleeps.”  Want to know what is inhuman?  Hostages being locked up in Evin Prison in areas only as large as their body, tortured, and held for years.  That’s inhuman.  See “Iran’s Zarif says U.S. travel curbs on Iranian diplomats ‘inhuman’,” Michelle Nichols, Reuters, July 17, 2019.


“Panama says withdrawing flag from tanker towed to Iran, cites violations,” Elida Moreno, Reuters, July 20, 2019.


“U.S. Wants to Hear From Top Iran Leaders After Downing of Drone,” Margaret Talev and Alyza Sebenius, Bloomberg, July 19, 2019.



July 19, 2019.  This story showed a glimpse of promise—would Iran act as a normal country?  If you are a regular reader of this blog or Iran news, you know the Supreme Leader closed this door immediately, and certainly reprimanded the Foreign Minister.  But for the FM to offer to possibly negotiate on ballistic missiles shows the sanctions are starting to have real affect.  “Iran’s foreign minister says talks on ballistic missiles with US possible,” Jon Gambrell, AP, July 16, 2019.  

“Iran captures UK tanker: Timeline of political tensions in Persian Gulf before seizure,” Henry Austin, The Independent, July 19, 2019.


July 18, 2019.  And besides the concern about Iran taking female hostages, they take ships hostage also.  “Concern grows over UAE-based oil tanker in Strait of Hormuz,” Jon Gambrell, AP, July 16, 2019, and “UAE oil tanker disappears in Iranian waters in the Strait of Hormuz,” Erin Cunningham, Stars and Stripes, Washington Post, July 16, 2019.




“Iran Says It Seized Foreign Tanker, Escalating Regional Tensions,” Richard Perez-Pena, New York Times, July 18, 2019.

“The Three Myths of the Iran Deal,” Michael Oren, The Atlantic, July 18, 2019.


July 17, 2019.  I will comment on another noteworthy development, and from the same AP story as the UAE tanker disappearing into Iranian waters.  Quoting from the story, “Meanwhile, Iran’s Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif suggested for the first time that the Islamic Republic’s ballistic missile program could be up for negotiations with the U.S., a possible opening for talks as tensions remain high between Tehran and Washington.  Zarif offered an initially high price for such negotiations — the halt of American arms sales to both Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, two key U.S. allies in the Persian Gulf.  But the fact that he mentioned it at all potentially represents a change in policy. The country’s ballistic missile program remains under control of the Iranian paramilitary Revolutionary Guard, which answers only to Khamenei.  Zarif brought up the ballistic missile offer during an interview with NBC News that aired Monday night as he’s in New York for meetings at the United Nations. He mentioned the UAE spending $22 billion and Saudi Arabia spending $67 billion on weapons last year, many of them American-made, while Iran spent only $16 billion in comparison.”  “Iran FM denies its missile program is up for negotiation,” Jeff Mason, Parisa Hafezi, Reuters, July 16, 2019.


“Iran Knows It Can’t Bet on Trump 2020 Defeat as Sanctions Bite,” Margaret Talev  and David Wainer, Bloomberg, July 17, 2019.






July 17, 2019.  Another hostage taken by Iran, this time a 60-year-old female anthropologist from France.  And France has been trying hard in the past three weeks to defuse tensions with Iran and its nuclear program.  Given that the Ayatollah or the IRGC has the power to release her (Fariba Adelkhah), even if they didn’t originally order her taken prisoner, can release her now.  But they won’t.  If true to form, she has at least 6 months of her life now she will lose in Evin Prison, but probably a full year.  Let’s hope they don’t abuse and torture her, but some amount of nightmare has started.  “Iran confirms arrest of French-Iranian scholar, gives no details,” Reuters, July 16, 2019.

July 16, 2019.  This is one of the few stories that has made an estimate of these shows of freedom by Iranian women.  “An Associated Press reporter spotted about two dozen women in the streets without a hijab over the course of nine days, mainly in well-to-do areas of Tehran — a mall, a lakeside park, a hotel lobby. Many other women, while stopping short of outright defiance, opted for loosely draped colorful scarves that show as much hair as they cover. Even in Tehran’s Grand Bazaar, frequented by many traditional women, most female shoppers wore these casual hijabs. Still, a sizeable minority of women was covered head-to-toe in black robes and tightly pulled headscarves, the so-called chador.”  See “Some Iranian women takeoff hijabs as hard-liners push back,” Karin Laub and Mohammad Nasiri, AP, July 15, 2019.

“Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe moved to mental health ward in Iran,” Kevin Rawlinson, The Guardian, July 16, 2019.





“Protests planned against Iranian American council accused of lobbying for Tehran,” Rebal Abdulrahim and Ismaeel Naar, Al Arabiya, July 16, 2019.









July 15, 2019.  We’ve said it before, we’ll say it again.  You can tell a lot about a person/country by the company they keep.  Iranian FM Javad Zarif is traveling to NYC to attend the annual session of the UN Economic and Social Counci.  He then goes to Venezuela for a meeting with the Non-Aligned Movement, where he will hold bilateral meetings with Venezuelan government leaders before traveling to Nicaragua and Bolivia.  “Iranian FM Heads To New York For UN Conference Before Visit To Venezuela,” RFE/RL, July 14, 2019.

July 14, 2019.  Last year Iran used precision ballistic missiles; now it has used drones against Kurds.  That is the message, that Iran through the Tasnim News Agency reports about it advancing military technology, and that it is not afraid to use it.  “Iran Says It Used New IRGC Drone Unit To Attack Kurdish Dissidents,” Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, July 13, 2019.

July 13, 2019.  Why should news of Argentina be related to whether Iran will act as a normal country?  Because Argentina suffered a terrible terror attack at the hands of Iran, and Argentina is still coming to grips with that event.  See “Argentina To Designate Hezbollah As Terror Group—Report,” Rossella Tercatin, Jerusalem Post, July 12, 2019.  The Post reports, “Argentina’s government is planning on designating the Lebanese-based Hezbollah group as a terror organization for its role in the terror attacks against the Israeli embassy and the AMIA Jewish community center in Buenos Aires, Argentinian newspaper La Nacion reported on Tuesday.  “We are evaluating different possibilities. One of them is to pass a decree,” sources in the Ministry of Security and the Financial Intelligence Unit told the newspaper. The two entities have been tasked by President Mauricio Macri to find the “most rapid” solution to achieve the goal of including the Iranian-backed group in the list of terror organizations.  “We do not have a majority in Parliament, and it would take too long to pass a law there,” highly-placed sources in the Argentinian government explained to La Nacion.  July 18, 2019, will mark the 25th anniversary of the bombing of the Argentine Israelite Mutual Association in the country’s capital. The attack left 85 people killed and 300 injured.  The report added that on that day Macri would pay tribute to the victims with US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, who is scheduled to visit the country next week.  Pompeo will participate in the Western Hemisphere Ministerial anti-terrorism summit that the government of Argentina will host commemorating the bombing on July 19.  The United States and Argentina already held a workshop on countering Hezbollah’s terrorist activities in the western hemisphere in Buenos Aires in June.”  More on the same theme, with more details—“It’s time to hold Iran accountable for terrorism in Argentina,” Benjamin Gedan and Toby Dershowitz, op-ed, The Hill, July 11, 2019.


July 13, 2019.  Ah, more blackmail threats.  “Commander Says Iran Won’t Stop Flow of Drugs To Europe If Sanctions Continue,” Radio Farda, July 11, 2019.
July 12, 2019.  Iran has now attacked 7 ships.  This is piracy.  The U.S. video about the latest incident yesterday (if the video is released) will be the aerial footage of Iran threatening the BP tanker to Iranian waters.  Iran said it did not make such an order, but the tanker and other channels will have recorded this transmission.  CNN and many other outlets are reporting the following.  “Armed Iranian boats unsuccessfully tried to seize a British oil tanker in the Persian Gulf Wednesday, according to two US officials with direct knowledge of the incident.  The British Heritage tanker was sailing out of the Persian Gulf and was crossing into the Strait of Hormuz area when it was approached by boats from the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.  The Iranians ordered the tanker to change course and stop in nearby Iranian territorial waters, according to the officials. A US aircraft was overhead and recorded video of the incident, though CNN has not seen the footage.  A British Ministry of Defense source told CNN that it “appeared that the Iranian vessels were trying to divert the Heritage from international to Iranian waters” before the British Navy ship HMS Montrose “got between them and issued a verbal warning to withdraw.”  The UK’s Royal Navy frigate HMS Montrose had been escorting the tanker from the rear. It trained its deck guns on the Iranians and gave them a verbal warning to back away, which they did, according to the UK source.  “Iranian boats attempted to seize a British tanker in the Strait of Hormuz,” Barbara Starr, CNN, July 11, 2019.
July 11, 2019.  Good.  Hezbollah is Iran, and Iran is Hezbollah.  The U.S. has announced its first sanctions to directly target members of Lebanon’s Parliament that have ties to Hezbollah.  The U.S. considers Hezbollah a terrorist organization, and members of the group have embedded into legitimate parts of the Lebanese government. Amin Sherri and Muhammad Hasan Ra’d, who are members of Parliament, and Wafiq Safa, a senior Hezbollah security official in Lebanon, were added to the Treasury Department’s sanctions list.  “Hezbollah uses its operatives in Lebanon’s Parliament to manipulate institutions in support of the terrorist group’s financial and security interests, and to bolster Iran’s malign activities,” Sigal Mandelker, the Treasury Department’s under secretary for terrorism and financial intelligence, said in a statement.  “U.S. Imposes Sanctions on Hezbollah Officials Accused of Supporting Iran,” Alan Rappeport, New York Times, July 9, 2019.

July 11, 2019.  “AP Interview: Rising Iran politician has intelligence ties,” Jon Gambrel, AP, July 11, 2019.  Interesting read about Mohammad Javad Azari Jahromi, a groomed minister born who used to work for the Intelligence Ministry.  In his current job as information and communications technology minister, Jahromi oversees Iran’s tightly controlled internet and a satellite program the U.S. alleges serves as a cover for experiments on intercontinental ballistic missiles capable of carrying nuclear warheads.  European nations and Iranian exile groups accuse the Intelligence Ministry of involvement in assassinations abroad and spying campaigns since its founding.


“Iran can break the cycle of violence with a just peace framework,” Eli McCarthy, op-ed, The Hill, July 11, 2019.

“Iran Jails Outspoken Khamenei Critic,” Radio Farda, July 11, 2019.



“Exclusive: U.S. will not blacklist Iran’s foreign minister, for now,” Jonathan Landay, Lesley Wroughton, Arshad Mohammed, Reuters, July 11, 2019.


July 10, 2019.  But who are the Americans?  Secret meetings between United States officials and Iranian representatives were conducted in a hotel in Erbil, Iraq, i24News reported Tuesday evening. The Iranian representatives are led by Hassan Khomenei, the grandson of the founder of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomenei.  The Iranian delegation also included two officials from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and Iraj Masjedi, Iran’s special envoy to Iraq, according to the report.  Obviously, you can’t hide Khomenei and Masjedi, the are seen often.  But to know whether this is an accurate report, who are the Americans?  I know that is the second time I have typed that question–makes you wonder if this was an accurate story.  See “Secret Meetings Between U.S., Iran Officials In Iraq—Report,” Tzvi Joffre, Jerusalem Post, July 9, 2019.

“Exclusive: Iran’s release of Lebanese prisoner was failed overture to U.S.,” Lesley Wroughton, Jonathan Landay, Arshad Mohammed, Reuters, July 10, 2019.


“Substance-Use Disorder Proliferates In Iran,” Tara Kavaler, Jerusalem Post, July 10, 2019.
“Is Iran’s influence in Iraq waning?”, Hamidreza Azizi, Iran Monitor, July 10, 2019.



July 9, 2019.  And because Iran has almost 83 million residents, 10% cannot read at all, based on this news.  It seems irresponsible for a country with so much oil and gas wealth to have this low of an education marker.  “Absolute Illiteracy Affects 8-11 Million People In Iran,” Radio Farda, July 9, 2019.

July 9, 2019.  Notice that Iran complains about the Gibraltar/UK seizure, but not the Egyptian seizure.  Egypt seized a Ukrainian oil tanker carrying Iranian crude while it was crossing the Suez Canal at the end of June, according to a report from Arab news outlet Al-Araby Al-Jadeed carried by Middle East Monitor.  This would be the second detention of a tanker carrying Iranian oil to Syria over the past two weeks (including the supertanker stopped at Gibraltar).  Both were detained for violating European Union sanctions against Syria.  “Egypt detains Iran oil tanker, arrests 6 for espionage,” Middle East Monitor, July 9, 2019.

“Iran’s Reform Movement Died 20 Years Ago,” Eli Lake, op-ed, Bloomberg, July 9, 2019.

July 8, 2019.  Very unconvincing position he takes.  The world knows that Iran is not pursuing a nuclear weapon, the head of the elite Revolutionary Guards, Major General Hossein Salami, said on Monday, according to the Tasnim news agency.  Iran threatened on Monday to restart deactivated centrifuges and ramp up enrichment of uranium to 20 percent purity as its next potential big moves away from a 2015 nuclear agreement that Washington abandoned last year.  He said, “Why do they globally sanction us about the nuclear issue when the world knows that we are not pursuing a weapon?  In reality they are sanctioning us because of knowledge,” he said.  “Nuclear weapons have no place in Islam.  Islam never approves of weapons of mass destruction.”  So, why does Iran cooperate with North Korea?  Does Islam allow assisting other states with their WMD, but prohibit your own?  “The world knows Iran is not pursuing nuclear weapon: Guards chief,” Babak Dehghanpisheh, Reuters, July 8, 2019.

“The Godfather of the Islamic Republic of Iran,” The National Interest, July 8, 2019.


“Iran Threatens to Enrich Uranium to 20% Purity as Tensions Rise,” Ladane Nasseri and Gregory Viscusi, Bloomberg, July 8, 2019.



July 8, 2019.  The friends you keep ….  One thing (among many) interesting things about watching daily news about Iran’s Regime for more than year now is what county Iran sends greetings to on special days (felicitates is the term they use).  Take a look for yourself by searching the news—are these good actors, countries who are improving their human development indicators, defenders of freedom?  The most recent of these is “Rouhani felicitates Venezuela on Independence Day,” Tehran Times, July 6, 2019. 

July 7, 2019.  Here’s an item that is just one of those things you need to think about before saying “that is a good idea.”  In “Rouhani Tells Macron If US Sanctions Are Halted Talks Can Begin,” Radio Farda, July 6, 2019, we read “In a telephone conversation with French President Emmanuel Macron on Saturday July 6, Rouhani has said that if all U.S. sanctions are suspended it could open the way for negotiations to take place.”  Just think about what that statement means.  First, it means that B now comes before A, not A comes before B.  By that I mean the malign Iranian activity came first, then the sanctions.  If the sanctions are removed, what deters Iran from continuing its bad actions?  Second, another practical affect—notice that Rouhani says that negotiations could take place.  Put aside that he doesn’t have authority to make that declaration (the Supreme Leader does), and that the Ayatollah has said no negotiations.  What I’m pointing at here is that negotiations would start, and then continue, and then drag on, etc.  For months, even a year or two.  We are reminded that the sanctions need to stay in place.


July 7, 2019.  In the story, “Civic Activist Attacked After Statement Demanding Khamenei’s Resignation,” Radio Farda, July 7, 2019, we read about the courage of Reza Mehregan, one of the 14 civic-political activists who in June demanded the resignation of Ayatollah Khamenei and the overhaul of Iran’s constitution.  He was then assaulted by a taser and beaten by three plainclothes individuals on July 5.  Two other signatories of the statement have also been harassed.  Javad La’al Mohammadi a member of the teachers’ union in Mashhad, has received numerous threatening phone calls and messages.  Another activist was visited by a man wielding a knife and when his wife called the police they refused to come to investigate.  In the past two years, several well-known dissidents in Iran have called for Khamenei’s resignation and changing the constitution.

“Iran announces increase in uranium enrichment,” Rebecca Klar, The Hill, July 7, 2019.



“Explained: Iran’s Nuclear Program as 2015 Deal Unravels,” Jon Gambrell, AP, NBC 4 Washington, July 7, 2019.



“Top official says Iran ready for higher uranium enrichment,” Jon Gambrell, AP, The Mercury News, July 6, 2019.


July 6, 2019.  Many persons in the West don’t know that Iran isn’t bound by any rules regarding torture.  We should demand that Iran join the anti-torture treaty, the UN Convention against Torture.  For imprisoned Iranians and hostages of other countries including American, every day is one of torture by the country’s repressive regime, which has never signed the Convention.  As this story says, “The Iranian authorities employ a grotesque menagerie of physical and psychological torture methods. They inflict bodily harm through beating; burning; cutting; electrocution; placement into stress positions; sleep deprivation; denial of medical care; and rape, including “virginity” and “sodomy” tests. And they torment victims’ minds through prolonged solitary confinement, mock executions, threats of rape, and claims that family members are being tortured nearby.”  “Want to support victims of torture? Put the squeeze on Iran,” Alan Goldsmith, op-ed, The Hill, July 6, 2019.



July 5, 2019.  Mindful of our Christians brothers and sisters inside Iran.  While the exact numbers of adherents are unknown (250,000?, 500,000?), the threat of arrest and worse is known.  “Iran’s Regime Arrests 8 Christians, Sending Them To Solitary Confinement,” Benjamin Weinthal, Jerusalem Post, July 5, 2019.





July 4, 2019.  “To Evade Sanctions on Iran, Ships Vanish in Plain Sight,” Michael Forsythe and Ronen Bergman, New York Times, July 2, 2019.  This is a good story about how ships carrying Iranian oil are turning off their transponders and are violating international law.  The International Maritime Organization, operating pursuant to the International Convention for the Safety of Life at Sea (SOLAS)(an international maritime treaty which sets minimum safety standards in the construction, equipment and operation of merchant ships), requires that ships fitted with automatic identification systems to maintain AIS in operation at all times.  This is the requirement laid out in the treaty.  Iran is a member of this treaty.  But as an additional point, notice what the NYT does NOT say.  Here is the story’s quote I noticed–“A maritime treaty overseen by a United Nations agency requires ships of 300 tons or more that travel international routes to have an automatic identification system.  The gear helps avoid collisions and aids in search-and-rescue operations.  It also allows countries to monitor shipping traffic.  It is not illegal under international law to buy and haul Iranian oil or related products.  The Trump administration’s sanctions, which went into effect last November after the United States pulled out of the Iran nuclear agreement, are unilateral.”  There is no reason for the Times to protect Iran.  Go ahead and say it—the Iranian transponders are being turned off in violation of international law.  Include that fact in the story.  Does the NYT really think they need to appease the Regime?

“Gibraltar Seizes Syria-Bound Tanker Thought to Be Carrying Iranian Oil,” Palko Karasz and Raphael Minder, New York Times, July 4, 2019.


July 3, 2019.  “Reuters: Iran amasses more enriched uranium than allowed by nuclear deal,” Kyiv Post, July 1, 2019.  There are now many news stories about Iran violating the nuclear deal by producing LEU in amounts exceeding its agreement.  What will it do with this extra material?  Will it further enrich?  The JCPOA was flawed for several reasons, one of which was it in essence allowed Iran’s eventual producing nuclear material and joining the club through a schedule over several years.  Never did Iran take the steps another country would have taken to prepare for more electricity lines or cancer treatments in how it set up its nuclear program over the past years.  Nor is it doing so now.  The JCPOA agreement has always been that Iran be bought off (blackmail) so it won’t produce nuclear materials (for weapons).  The U.S. was right to back out of the JCPOA and find a better solution.  See also press releases from UANI in the last couple of days, “Iran Nuclear Deal’s Sunset Provisions Begin Expiring in 2020” and “Iran’s Breaching of Uranium Limit Demonstrates Inherent Weakness of Nuclear Deal.”


“Iran says it will increase uranium enhancement,” Quint Forgey, Politico, July 3, 2019.


July 2, 2019.  Oh great.  Well, this is not new news.  Iran has been working on this for several years.  Here it is in open sources.  “Iran Currently Setting Up Terror Cells In Africa To Attack U.S., Others,” Benjamin Weinthal, Jerusalem Post, June 26, 2019.  So a word to the wise—be careful in the countries quoted below in the story.  Note also the Suleimani himself has ordered this.  Note also THE JCPOA DID NOT STOP IRAN FROM DEVELOPING TERROR.  “Iran is setting up a network of terror cells in Africa to attack US and other Western targets in retaliation for Washington’s decision to impose sanctions against Tehran, according to Western security officials,” according to the newspaper.The article by veteran defense and security journalist Con Coughlin said that the “new terror network has been established on the orders of Qassem Suleimani, the head of the Quds Force, the elite section of Iran’s Republican Guard Corps that has responsibility for overseas operations.”  The United States government classifies Iran’s regime as the leading international state-sponsor of terrorism.  According to the Telegraph, “The aim of the new terror cell is to target US and other Western military bases on the continent, as well as embassies and officials. The Iranian cells are said to be active in a number of African countries including Sudan, Chad, Ghana, Niger, Gambia and the Central African Republic.”  “Iran is setting up a new terrorist infrastructure in Africa with the aim of attacking Western targets,” a senior Western security source told The Daily Telegraph, adding, “It is all part of Tehran’s attempts to expand its terrorist operations across the globe.”  The report noted “Intelligence officials say Iran has been working on the new terror network for the past three years since signing the nuclear deal on freezing its uranium enrichment activities with the US and other major world powers in 2015.”  Coughlin wrote that “The operation is being organized by Unit 400, a highly specialized section of the Quds Force which is run by Hamed Abdollahi, a veteran Republican Guard officer who was designated by the US as supporting terrorist activity in 2012.”  The African cell is said to be run by Ali Parhoon, another senior Iranian officer in Unit 400. Details of the terror cell’s existence were uncovered following a series of arrests in Chad in April.  “Investigators found that Iran was behind the recruitment and training of men between the ages of 25-35 with the aim of committing terror attacks against Western targets on the continent,” The Telegraph reported. “There are estimated to be around 300 militants who have been recruited by the Revolutionary Guard and have undergone rigorous training at Iranian-run training camps in Syria and Iraq.”  According to the article, “The last batch of recruits were trained at an Iranian base in the southern Iraqi city of Najaf. Iran’s attempts to establish a new terror operation in Africa follow revelations in The Telegraph earlier this month that British security officials caught terrorists linked to Iran stockpiling tons of explosives on the outskirts of London.  “The British authorities believe this cell was also set up in 2015 after Iran signed the nuclear deal.  “US diplomatic officials say a warning has been circulated to American diplomatic and military missions in the countries where Iranian militants are said to be operating, as well as missions of other Western countries, including Britain, France and Italy,” The Telegraph reported.”





“Iran helping dig tunnels in Gaza,” Dalit Halevi, Arutz Sheva, July 1, 2019.


July 1, 2019.  Here is an important story flying below radar.  “Iran’s withdrawal from NPT to harm global security—senior Russian diplomat,” TASS Russian News Agency, June 12, 2019.  “Russia’s Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov told reporters following the consultations with the US State Department’s Under Secretary for Arms Control and International Security Andrea Thompson that, “We have made and make little secret of the fact that we would not consider the implementation of the idea of Iran’s withdrawal from the Non-Proliferation Treaty right.  That would deal a very heavy blow not only to the non-proliferation mechanism, but generally to the global, not to speak about regional, security as well.”  Iran has said it is mulling the withdrawal from the Non-Proliferation Treaty as one of the options to respond to the US’ tightening of sanctions against the Islamic Republic.  The NPT is a multilateral UN treaty with the aim of preventing the expansion of the list of countries possessing nuclear weapons and easing the risk of a nuclear conflict.  The treaty was approved in 1968; currently, 190 countries are parties to the NPT.

June 30, 2019.  Ari Takeyh’s got it right.  He is with the Council on Foreign Relations, and he served as a senior adviser on Iran at the Department of State in the Obama administration.  “A Look At The Diplomatic Options That Remain For Iran As Tensions With The U.S. Rise,” Ari Shapiro, NPR All Things Considered, June 25, 2019.
SHAPIRO: President Trump has been using strong words about Iran for some time now. He says his administration’s goal is to get Iran to the negotiating table. Iran’s Foreign Ministry says this last round of sanctions permanently closes the path of diplomacy. Do you take that as the final word?
TAKEYH: No. The Foreign Ministry spokesperson is not the final arbiter of all this. I think both countries do want to negotiate. The United States certainly does. And there are important actors within the Iranian political system that also do, including President Rouhani himself, who’s been intrigued by the idea of negotiations with President Trump. Ultimately if they want to get out from under the sanctions, the only path out of that particular predicament is some kind of a negotiations between the two sides.
SHAPIRO: Do you think that the Trump administration is on to something when they say that a maximum pressure campaign will force Iran to the negotiating table? I mean, if you’re saying Iran wants out from under these sanctions and negotiation’s the way to get there, does that suggest the Trump administration is on the right track?
TAKEYH: The maximum strategy of pressure has been tactically successful. It has put enormous pressure on Iran. It has even managed to slice Iran’s oil exports – unlikely to get down to zero, but it will be close to zero. So at a tactical level, this certainly has been successful. And I think at the end of the day, it will probably press the Iranian government toward the negotiations. Now, what happens at those negotiations of course remains to be seen.
SHAPIRO: The other option is that it presses both sides to war, intentionally or unintentionally. Both sides say they don’t want this. Iran’s president restated that today. Do you think that war is a real risk here?
TAKEYH: Confrontation between the two sides is always a risk. And there has been military confrontation between the United States and the Islamic Republic since the conception of the Islamic Republic, whether it was takeover of the American embassy, whether it was the bombing of the Marine barracks in Lebanon and, most recently, of course in terms of targeting American military personnel in Iraq. So that’s the reality of the situation – that United States and Iran have always coexisted in a measure of a low-intensity conflict. However, both sides have always walked back from the brink in terms of total war, and I suspect it will be that way in this case as well.
June 29, 2019.  Thank you Sec. Mnuchin, for again reminding us that the issue is Iran’s behavior (this blog is tracking public sources to watch if Iran will change its behavior for the better and act like other countries).  “Our issue is that there is really bad behavior.  They are sponsoring terrorism throughout the region, they are creating instability in this region, they are endangering our partners and our allies and our interests.  We will not stand for that.”  See “Treasury Secretary Mnuchin says sanctions must be working for Iran leadership to be so upset,” Sam Meredith, CNBC, June 26, 2019.

June 28, 2019.  Three things—First, this NYT story immediately makes it clear why this particular country, Iran, cannot be allowed to acquire a nuclear weapon.  We’ve already seen this in North Korea, but NK doesn’t have the magnitude of track record of malicious behavior against other states.  Second, remember, it is not Iran President Rouhani who runs the government and its foreign policy.  It is the Supreme Leader, and he says no negotiation ever.  This does not mean that Iran won’t negotiate, it just means that Iran will have to save face, to declare somehow they have withstood pressure and have made the U.S. come to the table.  Of course, the U.S. has already said it will negotiate.  Where the line comes for Iran will be if the Leader thinks it is needed for survival of the Regime, or to keep people off the streets in massive protests.  Third, the NYT needs to more often remind its readers of the reasons Pres. Trump pulled out of the JCPOA.  These include that Iran covets a nuclear weapon, that the JCPOA did not permanently block Iran from a nuclear weapon, that Iran threatens other countries with its ballistic missile program including the GCC states in the region, that Iran is the leading state sponsor of terror, Iran sponsors Hezbollah and Hamas which threaten Israel, Iran repeatedly pressures the use of the Strait of Hormuz, and Iran has a terrible human rights record.  That is a pretty long list of acts that Iran should change to act as other countries do.  Here is an extended quote from one of these stories, from the New York Times, that makes some of these points.  “In his first public comments since President Trump aborted an imminent attack on Iran last week, its top leader on Wednesday ruled out any negotiations with Washington and said that only the threat of military force provides protection from American domination.  “Negotiation is an effort to deceive into doing what the U.S. desires,” said Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, according to the English translation on his official website.  “It is like you hold a weapon, so the other side does not dare come close,” the ayatollah said, and then the Americans order Iran to drop the weapon “so I can do whatever I want to you.”  “This is what they mean by negotiation,” he said. “If you accept their request, you will suffer the worst things, and if you don’t accept it, you will face the huff and puff and their hassles over human rights excuses.”  As the paramount decision maker in the Iranian political system, Mr. Khamenei’s assent is necessary for diplomatic talks or military action, and his comments on Wednesday were the clearest indication yet that he saw little utility in seeking a compromise with Washington to avoid further confrontation.  His allusion to holding a “weapon,” in particular, may have been a veiled reference to the American accusations that Iran is seeking a nuclear weapon to hold more powerful rivals at bay.  The Iranian government has asserted many times that it will never possess nuclear arms. But around the same time that Mr. Khamenei spoke, other Iranian officials were repeating that Iran expects by Thursday to have exceeded the amount of enriched uranium it is permitted under the 2015 nuclear agreement negotiated with six big powers led by the United States.  Mr. Trump’s accusations that Iran covets a nuclear weapon are at the heart of the current standoff. Mr. Trump last year abandoned the agreement, faulting it for failing to permanently block potential Iranian nuclear ambitions or to restrict other Iranian military activity. He reimposed sanctions on Iran — a violation of the agreement — which are inflicting severe pain on the Iranian economy.”  See
“Iran’s Supreme Leader Vows Never to Capitulate to U.S. Sanctions,” David Kirkpatrick, New York Times, June 26, 2019.



“Supreme Leader Says Iran Won’t Back Down From U.S.,” Aresu Eqbali and Sune Engel Rasmussen, Wall Street Journal, June 26, 2019.

June 27, 2019.  It is unfortunate to read that little has changed in Iran regarding religious rights.  See “Iranian regime’s repression of Christians ‘shocks the conscience’,” Benjamin Weinthal, Fox News, June 26, 2019.  A horribly familiar description of the Iranian regime’s persecution of Christians and other minorities emerged from a U.S. State Department report on religious freedom published Friday.  “In Iran, the regime’s crackdown on Baha’is, Christians and others continues to shock the conscience,” Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said.  The U.S. has classified the Islamic Republic as a “Country of Concern” since 1999, because its regime violates religious freedom as defined by the U.S. International Religious Freedom Act (1998).  Richard Grenell, the U.S. Ambassador to Germany, told FoxNews.com, “Freedom to believe and worship the way you want is a fundamental right. It is never acceptable for governments to punish or intimidate citizens for their religious beliefs.” Grenell, a devout Christian, is a former Fox News contributor.  The 30-page section on Iran appeared in the State Department’s 2018 Report on International Religious Freedom and was reviewed by FoxNews.com.  The section read in part: “Christians, particularly evangelicals and converts from Islam, continued to experience disproportionate levels of arrests and detention, and high levels of harassment and surveillance, according to Christian NGO reports. Numerous Christians remained imprisoned at year’s end on charges related to their religious beliefs. Prison authorities reportedly continued to withhold medical care from prisoners, including some Christians, according to human rights groups.”  Iran’s opaque judicial system upheld 10-year prison sentences against Pastor Youcef Nadarkhani, Yasser Mossayebzadeh, Saheb Fadaie and Mohammad Reza Omidi for practicing their Christian faith. The Iranians were convicted of “acting against national security” by “promoting Zionist Christianity” and running house churches.  The State Department report wrote that “authorities took Nadarkhani and the three other sentenced Christians to Evin Prison following a series of violent raids on their homes, which included beatings and electroshock weapons.”  As of May 2018, “Omidi, Mossayebzadeh, and Fadaie still awaited the outcome of the appeal of their September 2016 sentence of 80 lashes for consumption of communion wine.”  Iran’s penal code prescribes the “death sentence for proselytizing and attempts by non-Muslims to convert Muslims, as well as for moharebeh (‘enmity against God’) and sabb al-nabi (‘insulting the Prophet’).”  Alireza Nader, the CEO of New Iran, a research and advocacy organization based in Washington, D.C., told Fox News: “Religious freedom and state repression has increased under President [Hassan] Rouhani. Christian converts and Baha’is are under severe pressure in particular. Far from providing a government of ‘moderation,’ Rouhani has instead abetted state repression against all Iranians, especially minorities.”

“U.S. Sanctions on Iran’s Top Ayatollah? What It Means,” Ladane Nasseri, Bloomberg, June 26, 2019.

June 26, 2019.  Lest there be any doubt that Iran is enriching uranium for something other than nuclear isotopes.  “Iran will speed up enriching of uranium after deadline to Europe ends on Thursday: IRIB,” Babak Dehghanpisheh, Reuters, June 26, 2019.  Iran will speed up enrichment of uranium after a deadline given to European countries to prevent this ends on Thursday, the spokesman for Iran’s Atomic Energy Organization said on Wednesday, according to the IRIB news agency.  “The deadline of the Atomic Energy Organization for passing the production of enriched uranium from the 300 kilogram border will end tomorrow,” the organization’s spokesman Behrouz Kamalvandi said. “With the end of this deadline, the speed of enrichment will speed up.”  The Secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council said on Tuesday that the Islamic Republic will take new steps to reduce its commitments under its nuclear deal with world powers on July 7.



“Iran’s Supreme Leader says U.S. offer for negotiations is a ‘deception’,” Reuters, June 25, 2019.  Iran’s Supreme Leader scorned the idea of negotiations to ease his country’s tense standoff with the U.S. in his first comments since being sanctioned by President Donald Trump.  “If we agree in negotiations to their demands, they will make the nation miserable,” Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said on Wednesday, arguing Washington was attempting to strip Iran of its economic and defense capabilities. “And if we don’t, they will go on creating political frenzy, fueling propaganda and applying pressure.”



June 25, 2019.  Considering that the Ayatollah is arguably the world’s richest man, and considering how he won his fortune … it is only appropriate that finally the United States (for itself and for the people of Iran) has for the first time targeted an Iranian head of state with sanctions.  “Trump puts sanctions on Iranian supreme leader, other top officials,” Steve Holland, Stephen Kalin, Reuters, June 24, 2019.




“Iran Disparages U.S. Over Sanctions,” David Kirkpatrick, New York Times, June 25, 2019.


June 24, 2019.  “Iran is setting up a network of terror cells in Africa to attack US and other Western targets in retaliation for Washington’s decision to impose sanctions against Tehran, according to Western security officials.  The new terror network has been established on the orders of Qassem Suleimani, the head of the Quds Force, the elite section of Iran’s Republican Guard Corps that has responsibility for overseas operations.  The aim of the new terror cell is to target US and other Western military bases on the continent, as well as embassies and officials.  The Iranian cells are said to be active in a number of African countries including Sudan, Chad, Ghana, Niger, Gambia and the Central African Republic.”  See “Tehran sets up terror cells in Africa as Western sanctions bite,” Con Coughlin, The Telegraph, June 24, 2019.



June 23, 2019.  The chants continue.  “Iran lawmakers chant ‘Death to America’ as U.S. called ‘terrorist’,” Reuters, June 23, 2019.


June 22, 2019.  Such a sad story.  But there is value in focusing on the plight of this father and son over the hostage taking of their wife/mother by Iran.  “Husband of Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe says Iran is trying to silence protest in London,” Alexander Smith, NBC, June 23, 2019.


“Security firms see spike in Iranian cyberattacks,” Tim Starks, Politico, June 21, 2019.


June 21, 2019.  So, Trump takes the high ground and refuses to a possible military attack that would kill 150 people.  The U.S. says there will be talks at the Security Council this next Monday.  There is also news that Iran said it held back from killing 35 in a P-8 Poseidon (that Iran claimed was in its airspace).  “Trump Stopped Strike on Iran Because It Was ‘Not Proportionate’,” Michael Shear, Helene Cooper, and Eric Schmitt, New York Times, June 21, 2019.

“Trump Approves Strikes on Iran, but Then Abruptly Pulls Back,”  Michael Shear, Eric Schmitt, Michael Crowley, and Maggie Haberman, New York Times, June 21, 2019.


June 20, 2019.  Note this press release from United Against Nuclear Iran, explaining one of the important reasons why the JCPOA was fatally flawed.  “Iran’sEnrichment Threat Reveals Fatal Flaw in Nuclear Deal,” United Against Nuclear Iran, Press Release, June 18, 2019.  (New York, N.Y.) – Iran’s threat to exceed the limits on its stockpile of enriched-uranium reveals a fatal flaw in the 2015 nuclear deal that bolsters the need for a fundamental renegotiation of the agreement, said leaders of United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI). Iran’s announcement came mere days after being accused by the U.S. of culpability in attacks on two tankers in the Gulf of Oman. “The announcement by Iran is another example of why President Trump made the correct decision to withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal,” said UANI Chairman Senator Joseph I. Lieberman. “The ease with which Iran can restart and ramp up its nuclear program should alarm the world. The international community cannot allow Iran to engage in nuclear blackmail without any consequences. If Tehran carries through on its threats, Europe, Russia, and China should join the U.S. and reimpose broad sanctions on this outlaw regime. The Iran nuclear deal was fatally flawed from the start,” said UANI CEO Ambassador Mark D. Wallace. “It left Iran with an industrial scale nuclear industry that allows Iran to enrich and weaponize at the time of its choosing. Iran’s actions in the last day reveal that fundamental flaw.”

June 20, 2019.  Reminds me of Ayatollah Khomeini’s use of waves of children soldiers to fight Iraq and to clear mine fields.  “Houthis recruit 50,000 Yemen child soldiers in 3 months, minister says,” Anna Varfolomeeva, The Defense Post, June 20, 2019.

“Trump says he aborted retaliatory strike to spare Iranian lives,” Jeff Mason, Parisa Hafezi, Reuters, June 19, 2019.

June 19, 2018.  While this subcommittee already exists within the Assembly of Experts, I doubt that any cement has dried on a final list let alone a finalist.  “Is Iran’s Next Supreme Leader Already Chosen?,” Radio Farda, June 18, 2018.

“US to send 1,000 more troops to Middle East,” Joyce Karam, The National, June 18, 2019.

June 18, 2019.  Interesting?  Not.  Sad?  Yes.  We go sideways to comment on what normal countries do—they allow international, peaceful shipping to pass through straits—and what normal countries do not do.  In this article, a high representative of the EU does not consider Iran’s destabilizing actions in the Middle East since 1979 (terror, missiles, drug trade, actions against neighbors, human rights abuses, the list is long) and instead only comments on the JCPOA, an agreement which did not curb Iran’s appetite for nuclear weapons.  After the JCPOA, Iran did not become a normal country in international affairs, and the EU and the Obama Administration became hostage to keeping it in place or else Iran would back out (and ironically, the agreement at the end of its term was giving Iran a green light for joining the club of those with nuclear uses beyond power and medicine).  It was flawed from the beginning because Iran would not change its overall actions.  Just because Iran’s government would not change their policies and actions is no reason to blame the U.S.  The U.S. is calling Iran to act as other countries to rid itself of the label “world’s leading state sponsor of terrorism.”  It is time for the EU to stand up to the country that is threatening it, whether Iran or those who enable it.  The world will be better off if we defend and are honest about threats and do not kick the can down the road for someone else to address in later years.  “Top EU adviser blames US for Iran tensions,” Zoya Sheftalovich, Politico, June 18, 2019.




June 17, 2019.  The Washington Post and the NYT have regularly pressured Europe to come up with funds (blackmail) to keep Iran from producing more enriched uranium Without mentioning Russia and China, also parties to the JCPOA.  This has gone on for about a year now in their reporting.  Regardless, here is the big news, another blackmail attempt.
“Iran says it will break uranium stockpile limit in 10 days,” Nasser Karimi and Jon Gambrell, AP, Washington Post, June 17, 2019.

“U.S. denounces ‘nuclear blackmail’ as Iran plans to breach uranium limit,” Parisa Hafezi, Steve Holland, Reuters, June 17, 2019.


June 17, 2019.  Iran’s fingerprints are all over the limpet mine attacks, quite literally. RT is not normally the preferred source for news, but they are the first I’m finding carrying the picture of the Iranian IRGC sailor’s handprint (and when blown up further, most likely fingerprints). Scroll down inside the story to see the picture of the handprint.  There will be other more reliable outlets soon with these pictures.  “Pentagon releases new pictures of the Oman Gulf tanker attack, says they ‘prove’ Iran’s guilt,” RT, June 17, 2019

June 16, 2019.  David Sanger is usually a more careful reporter, but his claim that Sec. Pompeo “instantly” blamed the two tanker attacks on Iran is divorced from reality.  True, it didn’t take Pompeo many hours to announce that Iran was most likely responsible for the attacks, Sanger seems to forget that the State Department and the Defense Department were presented with a large amount of intelligence that Iran was responsible, and there was no evidence regarding other states.  “In Face-Off With Iran, Escalation May Depend on Who Prevails Inside Washington and Tehran,” David Sanger and David Kirkpatrick, New York Times, June 15, 2019.  Here is the quote at the beginning of the story—“As Iran and the United States face off in the Gulf of Oman, the risk may not be just at sea, but in Tehran and Washington, where both Iranian and American hard-liners are seizing on the moment for political advantage. The attacks this week on two tankers in the gulf, instantly attributed to Iran by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and then President Trump, emboldens the hard-liners in both countries, each able to argue their longtime adversary is itching for war.”

“Quarrels Over Hijab Intensify In Iran,” Radio Farda, June 15, 2019.




June 15, 2019.  The Supreme Leader says that nations should not negotiate if they are under pressure, and certainly not so with the U.S. He should consider the current cases of Mexico and China, both under pressure from the U.S. regarding immigration and trade respectively, and how good can come when all countries (including the U.S.) regularly interact fairly with others. As my blog records for the last year, and has been seen since the 1979 Revolution, Iran’s regime has an underlying set of guiding principles that must be changed to allow it to act as a normal country, closer to Mexico and China and Canada and Japan etc. if nothing else, if the Ayatollah won’t change for the sake of international relations or good relationships with his neighboring states, he should at least do so for his own people.  “Iranian leader tells Japan’s Abe Trump ‘not worthy’ of a reply to message,” Bozorgmehr Sharafedin, Reuters, June 13, 2019.



June 14, 2019.  Then VP (now Pres.) Rouhani invited Mr. Zakka to Iran, but when powers above his rank ordered Zakka taken hostage and held four years, we see the dark and powerful above the level of the presidency.  “Iran frees detained US resident,” Bassem Mroue, AP, Christian Science Monitor, June 11, 2019.


June 13, 2019.  I must speak out against the reporting of Edward Wong, that Sec. “Pompeo did not present any evidence to back up the assessment of Iran’s involvement.”  And then he doubles down, and against the National Security Adviser—“Mr. Pompeo and John R. Bolton, the national security adviser, both said late last month that Iran was responsible for those earlier attacks, though neither have presented evidence.”  See the story below.  It is this type of reporting that makes us scratch our heads about the NYT, and to wonder what their agenda is.  To what I am referring?  In the very same story, just a few paragraphs apart, in which he declares that Sec. Pompeo has no evidence to present to the world, the reporter Wong then tells readers that a US Navy P-8 spotted an unexploded mine attached to the hull of the Kokuka Courageous, which resembled the kind of explosive investigators believe was used against the four ships in the attacks in May.  The crew members on the Courageous also noticed the mine.  As naval explosives experts were preparing Thursday to approach the stricken ship to secure and to remove the mine, and examine it for clues about who attached it to the ship, an Iran IRGC patrol boat pulled up to the side of the Courageous (we’ve now seen the videotape) as the US Navy and a P-8 watched and filmed. The crew of the Iranian patrol boat then pried the unexploded mine off the hull of the tanker and sped away. So, we’ve got hundreds of U.S. personnel involved in this episode, and the NYT reporter has the gall to say it the Secretary has no evidence, and to present this situation as one U.S. official versus the word of the Iranian FM? I choose to believe the long-standing reputation of the U.S. Navy and State Department and the many persons involved, and the pictures we are being shown.  “Pompeo Says Intelligence Points to Iran in Tanker Attack in Gulf of Oman,” By Edward Wong, New York Times, June 13, 2019.


June 13, 2019.  So Iran attacks two vessels, one with goods slated for Japan, just as the Japanese leader visits the Ayatollah. The UN Security Council must act. No other countries in the region would have done this against international shipping at the Strait of Hormuz. And Iran has said over and over that it can and will attack and shut down the Strait. Because the Regime won’t negotiate and only uses threats and force against others, it is quickly coming time for a better response from the international community.  “Pompeo: Iran responsible for attack on oil tankers in Gulf of Oman,” John Bacon, USA Today, June 13, 2019.






June 12, 2019.  This article does not say where NYT reporter Thomas Erdbrink is located—most likely he is unable to leave Iran, along with his wife, Iranian photographer Newsha Tavakolian.  Bottom line—get out before becoming hostages under made up criminal or national security charges.  Erdbrink has reported for the NYT from Iran since 2012 but had been unable to work since February when his credentials were revoked by Tehran.  We are reminded of the case of American reporter Jason Rezaian of The Washington Post, who was convicted in a closed-door espionage trial in 2015.  He and his wife Yeganeh Salehi were first prohibited from leaving Iran, she was held for a time, and Jason was a hostage for 544 days.  That is a year and a half of his life that Rezaian lost at the orders from the highest level in Iran.  “Iran revokes New York Times correspondent’s accreditation,” Al Jazeera, June 11, 2019.

June 12, 2019.  We are reminded the Regime crushed the democratic wishes of the people of Iran in June, 2009, ten years ago.  “A Decade After Iran’s Green Movement, Some Lessons,” Borzou Daragahi, Atlantic Council, June 12, 2019.


June 11, 2019.  Yes, there are comparisons to be made of the iron grip of the IRGC and the recent reporting of the tight control of the Venezuelan military over its officers.  “Iran Guards Deny Reports Of Several Commanders Fleeing Or Arrested,” Radio Farda, June 11, 2019.


June 11, 2019.  Truly cruel and inhumane.  The space in Evin Prison for each man is a narrow rectangle “little bigger than a coffin.”  “Lebanese Man Freed by Iran Says He Shared Cell Space With American,” Vivian Yee, New York Times, June 11, 2019.  “Iran still holds at least four American prisoners, including Michael R. White, a Navy veteran imprisoned since last July; Siamak and Baquer Namazi, an Iranian-American father and son; and Xiyue Wang, a Chinese-American graduate student at Princeton University who was arrested in 2016 on suspicion of spying while doing historical research for his dissertation. (Another American, Robert Levinson, a former F.B.I. agent, has been missing in the country since 2007.)”

June 11, 2019.  “Iran faces a simple choice: It can either behave like a normal nation or watch its economy crumble.”  “Iran Frees U.S. Resident Held for Three Years,” Susan Crabtree, Real Clear Politics, June 11, 2019.





June 7, 2019.  It appears that the next step Israel may take is to disable (not yet destroy) one of the cargo planes Iran is using to ferry missiles and drones and etc. to Syria).  Here is the news story, and below is interesting information about Israel’s strike against T4.  Notice how good the Israeli’s intelligence was—it apparently knows what and when is being transported.  “Alleged Israeli Strike Took Out Advanced Portable Weasons System,” Ann Ahronheim, Jerusalem Post, June 5, 2019.  “An alleged Israeli airstrike on Syria’s T4 airbase on Sunday night likely took out an advanced weapons system which had been transported from Iran a day earlier, an assessment by ImageSat International (ISI) found on Tuesday.  According to the assessment by ISI, the strike on June 2 destroyed “an element or a few” elements, and not an infrastructure, near an aircraft apron which had earlier hosted an Iranian aircraft.  “Since the attack targeted specific components, reasonably portable, it is assessed that they were of high importance,” ISI said, adding that it could have been “an advanced weapon system element, probably related to UAVs and possibly including a transportable ground control structure.”  Iran has been moving its assets from areas repeatedly struck by Israel to locations closer to the border with Iraq, specifically the T4 Airbase strategically located between Homs and Palmyra and a day before the strike a Qeshm Fars Air jumbo jet returned to Iran from a possible arms delivery flight at T4.  With a large presence of Iranian-backed troops in the area, both civilian and cargo airlines are used by the IRGC as a front for military transport flights bringing in soldiers and weaponry to bolster Iran’s military presence in Syria.”

June 6, 2019.  We’ll see if they carry through with this promise.  “Iran agrees to release U.S. resident jailed for spying: Lebanon,” By Dan De Luce, NBC, June 4, 2019.



“Iran seems to have never stopped funding Hamas families,” Ahmad Abu Amer, Al Monitor, June 6, 2019.


June 5, 2019.  This is about as close to freedom of speech as you can find in Iran right now.  A member of Parliament speaks his mind, in contravention to the Parliament Speaker and the type of logic the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council don’t want to hear.  Because of the rarity of this type of expression, I will post the article in full.  (BTW, if you can ever find the actual fatwa in which the Supreme Leader bans Iran’s production or possession of nuclear weapons, tell me.  Tell the world.  The IRI says it exists but no one ever hands out copies.)  “Iranian MP To Propose Bill Banning Nuclear Weapons,” Tzvi Joffre, Jerusalem Post, June 2, 2019.  “Mahmoud Sadeghi, a reformist member of the Iranian parliament, tweeted on Friday that he intends to present a bill banning the development of nuclear weapons in Iran, according to Radio Farda.  Sadeghi based the proposal of the bill on a public declaration by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on Wednesday in which he stated that nuclear weapons are a violation of Sharia law.  “Considering the Fatwa (Islamic legal opinion) of the Supreme Leader about the religious prohibition on nuclear weapons, I will present a bill to Majles (the Iranian Parliament) banning its production,” Sadeghi tweeted.  On May 29, Khamenei announced that “Our strength is in nuclear science and we are not after nuclear weapons either. Not because of the sanctions or the (pressures from) the United States, but because of our ideology that deems nuclear weapons forbidden from the point of view of Fiqh (Islamic legal interpretation and analysis, according to Oxford Islamic Studies) and religion,” Tasnim news reported.  Addressing calls to produce, but not use nuclear weapons, Khamenei stated that “this is also wrong.  We would spend a lot to produce them without using it and the enemy knows we would never use them.  So they would be ineffective for us,” according to Tasnim news.  Mahmoud Sadeghi is known as a vocal critic of conservatives in Iran. In December 2018, Iran’s Guardian Council (GC) pressed charges against the outspoken member of parliament after he accused the GC of “financial corruption,” according to Radio Farda.  Anyone who wants to run for office in Iran, must first be approved by the GC. The suit filed by the GC against Sadeghi claimed that he had accused the GC of receiving bribes for approving political candidates.  Sadeghi also criticized the GC for disqualifying competent candidates.  “By disqualifying merited candidates, the Guardian Council has not allowed figures brave enough to fight corruption to have a seat in the parliament,” Sadeghi stated in an open session of parliament in December 2018.  “Why is parliament devoid of the serious will necessary for fighting corruption? Why are we cooperating with corrupt figures, and why are we afraid to publicly name those who have astronomical overdue debts [to the banks]?” Sadeghi continued.  “Are we the essence of the nation’s virtues? [No], we are the essence of the Guardian Council’s virtues.”  A few days later, Sadeghi reaffirmed that he believes “in the GC’s right to qualify or reject candidates.”  He did however criticize recent limitations placed on the authority of the parliament, saying, “The point is reducing parliament’s realm of authority.  We are not allowed to investigate any case related to the GC or Assembly of Experts. These limitations have reduced the level of the parliament’s authority and its output,” Iran’s ISNA news agency reported.””


June 4, 2019.  For those that say Iran does not want to expand its Revolution or power, read this news story.  (and that the Regime claims it is Allah’s will they expand).  It is the latest quote on this topic.  “IRGC commander: Iran’s presence in Syria is an ‘act of divine duty’,” Al Arabiya, June 2, 2019.  “The Islamic Revolution came to an end in Iran, but was not limited to a geographic area, said Admiral Ali Fadavi, vice commander of the IRGC.  “One of the beautiful effects of adhering to the Islamic Revolution is the presence of our youth thousands of kilometres away from the borders of our country, and how beautifully they have achieved the victory that was promised to us by God,” he added, speaking at a memorial ceremony for Iranian soldiers killed during the Iran-Iraq war.  Fadavi claimed that the US and European and Arab countries failed to change the regime in Syria because Iran did not allow that to happen, Iranian Labour News Agency (ILNA) reported.  He said that the presence of Iran in Syria is “an act of divine duty.”  A few days ago, Fadavi had also openly spoken about Iran’s support for the Houthis in Yemen in a TV interview with Iran’s Channel 3.  Fadavi said that Iran helps the Houthis as much as it can, but not as much as it would like, due to the “blockade of Yemen.”  He claimed that if Iran could support the Houthis on the ground, as it does with the Syrian regime, the Houthis would be in a more promising position.  “If we were there [in Yemen], the Houthis would be in Riyadh by now,” said Fadavi.”
June 3, 2019.  This is funny.  The point of this blog I maintain is to observe through open sources if and when Iran begins to act as other countries do.  Here is a story in which Pres. Rouhani ironically says that the U.S. (!) is not acting as “a normal nation” and that it must do so in order for Iran to talk to the U.S.  See “Iran’s Rouhani says U.S. ‘should return to normal state’ for talks – official website,” Bozorgmehr Sharafedin, Reuters, June 2, 2019.  “Reacting to a U.S. offer to talk with Iran without pre-conditions, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani said on Sunday it was Washington that had left the negotiating table, and it “should return to normal state”.  U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said on Sunday the United States is prepared to engage with Iran without pre-conditions about its nuclear program, but needs to see the country behaving like “a normal nation”.  Rouhani was quoted by the government’s official website as saying: “The other side that left the negotiating table and breached a treaty should return to normal state. Until then, we do not have a choice but resistance.””



“Iran Rejects Pompeo’s Offer of Talks With ‘No Preconditions’,” Courtney McBride, Wall Street Journal, June 3, 2019.
June 2, 2019.  I’ve never seen such—a meeting about “regional security issues” (i.e., Iran), particularly Iran’s presence in Syria, that is comprised of the U.S., Russia, and Israel.  And even takes place in Israel.  It will be a meeting of U.S. National Security Adviser John Bolton, Israeli National Security Adviser Meir Ben-Shabbat, and Russian Secretary of the Security Council Nikolay Patrushev, in Jerusalem in June.  PM Netanyahu said the same–never before has such a meeting been held in Israel.  “Israel, U.S., Russia To Discuss Syria In Trilateral Meeting In Jerusalem,” Jerusalem Post, May 30, 2019.

“US-Russian-IsraeliMeeting to ‘Contain Iran’,” Ibrahim Hamidi, Asharq Al-Awsat, June 2, 2019.




June 1, 2019.  Lots of June 1 entries, several things worthy of comment.  Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov sat down for “a square talk” with his counterpart Abbas Araghchi, the Russian foreign minister said in a statement after the meeting.  The Russian envoy sought to dissuade the Iranians from leaving the Non-Proliferation Treaty or following the Donald Trump administration in exiting the 2015 nuclear deal.  Why it matters: Russia appears to be playing an increasing role as a de facto mediator between the United States and Iran as the two countries inch closer to a regional confrontation.  Yes, Russia wants to be a player.  Yes, Russia can’t totally control Iran.  Yes, Russia is a little threatened by Iran.  “Intel: Why Russia dispatched top diplomat to Tehran,” Al-Monitor Staff May 30, 2019.

June 1, 2019.  Notice how the media, and a number of countries, for years have refused to be honest about Iran supplying militant groups with missiles and weapons and aid, and the threat that was to the Middle East.  Now, a story like the following occurs and no one mentions that intelligence agencies have known this for years, and some countries have fought against it—the largest threat to Middle East security and to the “peace process” between Israel and the Palestinians is Iran and its arming of Hezbollah and now Hamas and PIJ and others.  See “Hamas leader thanks Iran for long-range rockets, threatens Tel Aviv,” Toi Staff, Times of Israel, May 30, 2019.

“Saudi King Says Iran Actions Threaten Regional, Global Security,” U.S. News & World Report, May 30, 2019.

June 1, 2019.  “[A]s with much of Iran’s bluster—the Qaher F-313 was a ham-handed hoax. Even at the time when Iran first showed off the Qaher, it was clear that the mockup was little more than a poorly executed propaganda stunt engineered for domestic consumption.”  “Why Iran’s Stealth Fighter Might Be the Ultimate Case of Fake News,” Dave Majumdar, The National Interest, May 30, 2019.

June 1, 2019.  Thank you, Mr. Putin.  “Russia has rejected an Iranian request to buy S-400 missile defense systems, concerned that the sale would stoke more tension in the Middle East, according to two people with knowledge of the matter, including a senior Russian official.  The request was rebuffed by President Vladimir Putin, the people said on condition of anonymity because they’re not authorized to discuss the matter. Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif visited Moscow May 7.”  “Russia Rejected Iran S-400 Missile Request Amid Gulf Tension,” Zainab Fattah  and Ilya Arkhipov, Bloomberg, May 30, 2019.
“Iran urges massive rallies for ‘Al-Quds Day’,” Ben Ariel, Arutz Sheva, Israel National News, May 31, 2019.



June 1, 2019.  Thank you NPR news for ending this piece on Iran with the main point of this blog—“The goal is to get Iran to behave like a normal country.”  “Pompeo’s Trip To Switzerland Could Signal The U.S. Is Working To Talk With Iran,” Michelle Keleman, All Things Considered,” May 30, 2019.


May 31, 2019.  “A land corridor would enable Iran to keep building its bases in Syria, nurture Hezbollah and expand its destabilizing influence.”  See the latest on this topic at “Israel’s not-so-subtle message to Iran,” Yaakov Lappin, Israel Hayom, May 29, 2019.

May 30, 2019.  An important report has been released.  It’s cover description states, “Since its establishment in 1979, the Islamic Republic of Iran has become a leading patron of the Palestinian cause. Tehran’s motivation is twofold: it seeks an independent Palestinian state established at Israel’s expense while also using Palestinian nationalist movements to export its Islamic Revolution.  Any peaceful resolution of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict would contradict Iran’s narrative that Israel is the cause of all conflict and instability in the Middle East. Therefore, Tehran works to undermine Israeli-Palestinian peace efforts through military support to Palestinian groups, direct and indirect social support for the Palestinians, and infiltration of the Palestinian diaspora.”  See “From Proxy to Patron: Iran’s Relationship with the Palestinian Nationalist Movement,” United Against Nuclear Iran, May 30, 2019.

“The Growing Menace of the Moscow-Beijing-Tehran Axis,” Arthur Herman, Wall Street Journal, May 29, 2019.

May 29, 2019.  Jason Rezaian’s comments on the most recent news regarding lack of press freedom in Iran bear posting in full.  “Iran just reached a new low—and no one noticed,” Jason Rezaian, Global Opinions writer, Washington Post, May 28, 2019.  Rezaian, a reporter for the Washington Post, spent 544 days confined in prison in Tehran.  “Last week the Islamic Republic of Iran reached a new low in its suppression of the press — and almost no one noticed.  It’s already widely known that Iran is home to one of the most closed media landscapes on Earth.  As the regime faces mounting domestic and foreign challenges, however, it’s becoming more cavalier than ever in its attempts to control how news gets covered.  In recent months, more domestic news outlets are closing from a lack of funds. Others have shut down because they have lost their permission to publish . As a result, Twitter and other social media are increasingly where the most critical news-gathering is happening in the country.  So when Masoud Kazemi, an experienced reporter charged with propaganda against the state for tweeting about government corruption, went to court on May 22, he didn’t expect anything good. But the reality surpassed even his pessimistic expectations.  Mohammad Moghiseh, the judge in the case, sent Kazemi to Evin Prison, with bail set at more than $70,000 — what it would take him to make as a journalist in 42 years.  But then Moghiseh decided to send a message to the defendant and all other journalists in Iran.  According to a tweet from Kazemi’s lawyer, Ali Mojtahedzade, during the court appearance Moghiseh declared his disdain for journalists such as Kazemi.  Mojtahedzade wrote that Moghiseh is known to insult defendants and that in addressing Kazemi he said, “may God damn you.  Your mouths should be filled with gunpowder, your tongues should be cut out.”  To the shrinking community of critical journalists in Iran, the message is clear: Those in power will do whatever it takes to silence them.  As this regime has done so often in the past when facing serious threats, it’s lashing out at Iranian civil society.  For years, the front line of that group included the community of human rights activists and lawyers. Most of them, though, are now in prison or living in exile.  That left the local press, a dedicated group that has always faced harsh odds when it comes to making their findings public.  Yet they continue to do this work out of a need to inform — even though their numbers are dwindling, too, as the space in which they can operate is quickly shrinking around them.  Just the day before the verdict against Kazemi, the head of the judiciary, Ebrahim Raisi — a cleric who ran as the supreme leader’s preferred presidential candidate in the 2017 election and nonetheless lost resoundingly to incumbent President Hassan Rouhani — delivered a speech that clearly outlined how Iran’s officialdom views the role that media should play in Iranian society.  Spoiler alert: It sounded like a bad imitation of George Orwell.  “Media is responsible for monitoring the enemy as it prepares its attacks on us, and journalists must be careful not to publish or spread any ideas or signals that would make the enemy happy,” Raisi told a gathering of regime-supported newsroom executives.  “You in the media should explain the actions and the views of the government and the establishment, but also must avert efforts by the enemy to create despair and instead create hope in the society.  We should publish content that restores the public’s trust in the system.”  Yet Rouhani and his allies are contributing to the problem despite their continued promises to cultivate freer expression.  According to sources in Iran, they have begun to try to rein in reform-minded journalists, encouraging them to be less critical in their reporting — ostensibly as a way to keep them out of trouble.  Raisi’s speech can be interpreted as a message from the entire political order to journalists.  “We believe that you should work in a way that the red lines set by law to preserve freedom are observed, because preserving the freedom of media and newspaper requires maintaining those red lines,” Raisi said, without a hint of irony.  Journalists working in Tehran tell me that the state, supported by Rouhani and his administration, is planning to impose even tighter control on the media by mandating that all journalists have to be licensed before they can enter the field.  Permission is already required to work in media, but this would go above and beyond and would be sure to prevent those with critical views from even getting a start.  Such a move would bring the already absurd Ministry of Culture and Islamic Guidance — which oversees all media activity, acting as censor when needed — even closer in line with Orwell’s vision of the Ministry of Truth.”
May 28, 2019.  Waiting for Iran’s government to explain why it shut a Presbyterian church.  As reported in “Iran Shuts Down Church, Removes Cross,” Jerusalem Post, May 28, 2019, Iranian intelligence closed a Presbyterian church in Tabriz and removed its cross from the bell tower, the Assyrian International News Agency announced Sunday.  According to the report, the building was confiscated by the Revolutionary Court in 2011, but its members had been able to continue to use it until earlier this May.  That is when “[i]ntelligence agents stormed the 100-year-old church, officially recognized as a national heritage site in Iran, on Thursday, May 9, changed all the locks, tore down the cross from the church tower, and ordered the churchwarden to leave,” Article 18, a non-profit organization based in London announced.  Eiko, the state agency responsible for the raid together with the Ministry of Intelligence, is under the direct control of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.


“Iran: Serious Feuds Conflicts on Top,” Jubin Katiraie, Iran Focus, May 27, 2019.

May 27, 2019.  “Joyous were the Iranian youth engaged in military battles, and the joy of our youth today is stepping into economic war.  Cheerfulness among youth will not materialize through illegitimate music and dancing of a handful of vagrant girls.”  So said Ayatollah Ahmad Alamolhoda at Friday prayers in Mashad, Iran, this past week, referencing the eight-year Iraq-Iran War that killed and injured millions and heavily affected the country’s economy.  The Ayatollah was referencing videos of schoolgirls dancing to rap that spread on social media in Iran.  Public dancing is strictly forbidden in the Islamic Republic and the videos are currently being investigated.  This story is covered in “Muslim Clerics Encourage Iranian Youth To Find Joy In Economic War,” Tzvi Joffre, Jerusalem Post, May 26, 2019.


May 26, 2019.  How many countries trade with North Korea, and exchange military technology?  Very few.  But Iran does.  “Behold: Iran’s Mini-Submarine Force Is Dangerous (Partly Thanks to North Korea),” Mark Episkopos, The National Interest, May 26, 2019.


May 25, 2019.  The U.S. believes the Iran Supreme Leader, along with his assistants in the Supreme National Security Council and the leaders of the IRGC, ordered the tanker mining, Saudi pipeline attack, and other threatening moves in Iraq during the last two weeks.  The story is at “U.S. Sends 1,500 Troops to Mideast After Blaming Attacks on Iran,” Anthony Capaccio  and Margaret Talev, Bloomberg, May 24, 2019 and says in part—“We believe with a high degree of confidence that this stems back to the leadership of Iran at the highest levels,” U.S. Navy Vice Admiral Michael Gilday, director of the Defense Department’s Joint Staff, told reporters at the Pentagon on Friday.  All of the attacks “have been attributed to Iran, through their proxies” or other forces, Gilday said.  It was the first time the U.S. publicly charged Iran with being behind the attacks, though Iranian-backed rebels in Yemen had claimed responsibility for the pipeline attack.  The moves come after the Trump administration said it had evidence Iran was threatening other attacks on American interests or allies in the region.  The administration earlier this month expedited the deployment of a carrier battle group to the Middle East along with a Patriot missile battery and additional bombers.”  See also “US moves to strengthen forces in Middle East to counter Iran,” Susannah George and Lolita Baldor, AP, May 24, 2019.


May 24, 2019.  This is a quality analysis of how the Supreme Leader has been ultimately responsible for Iran’s JCPOA decisions, even though he blames the president and foreign minister for any mistakes.  I post this blog entry not to say that Khamenei is simply just another politician, but to remind readers that Iran’s leader (and its Regime) does not act like other countries.  The nuclear deal was not just another political agreement to hopefully move a country forward economically and socially—the JCPOA was designed and advocated by Iran so that Iran would maintain a nuclear program, and then be able to fully develop nuclear weapons later.  It was an effort to avoid giving up its ultimate aims and instead time them to occur later, with the approval of major nation states.  It is this type of focus, on ultimate weapons, by a dangerous Regime that is reminder that education and public health and tourism and trade and transportation and safety are not the aims of the Leader.  Until Iran’s government changes its position and aims, there will be voices in Iran and elsewhere calling for Iran to act as a normal country.  “Khamenei Evades Responsibility For Nuclear Deal, Having Endorsed It At Every Turn,” Reza Haqiqatnezhad, Radio Farda, May 24, 2019.


May 23, 2019.  Again, the Supreme Leader reminds us that he is the ultimate power in Iran, and is responsible for its domestic and foreign policies.  Not the President, not the Foreign Minister.  In “Khamenei slams Rouhani, Zarif as tensions roil with U.S.,” The Daily Star, May 23, 2019, and “The Latest: Iran supreme leader critical of FM in nuke deal,” AP, Star Tribune, May 22, 2019, Iran’s supreme leader said the president and foreign minister didn’t act as he wished in implementing the 2015 JCPOA nuclear deal.  In Wednesday night comments posted on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s official website, it is the first time the Supreme Leader blamed both President Hassan Rouhani and Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif.  Khamenei said, “In some extent, I did not believe in the way that the nuclear deal was implemented.  Many times I reminded both the president and the foreign minister.”  Khamenei has final say on all matters of state, and his remarks show the internal pressure Rouhani and Zarif face.

“Iran Has Amassed the Largest Ballistic Missile Force in the Middle East,” Zachary Keck, The National Interest, May 22, 2019.

May 22, 2019.  What is reality regarding the current threats from Iran?  That the U.S. deterred Iran’s attacks and threats, or that the U.S. backed off?  Which really happened?  The U.S. Secretary of Defense says one thing, the President of Iran another.  Readers of this blog, which relies on open sources, know.  And having intelligence-based sources would confirm this ten times over.  See “Shanahan says after Iran briefing U.S. deployment has deterred attacks,” Reuters, May 21, 2019, and “Iran’s president says Trump has stepped back from threats against Tehran,” Reuters, May 21, 2019.




May 22, 2019.  The Ayatollah ordered the attacks.  That is the significant news item today.  But I haven’t seen any headlines making that point….  “U.S. Senator Graham: attacks on ships in Middle East coordinated by Iran,” David Alexander, Reuters, May 21, 2019.  Republican U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham said on Tuesday that top administration officials told senators in a briefing the recent attacks on shipping and a pipeline in the Middle East was directed by the Iranian government and the ayatollah.  “They explained to us how the Iranian threat streams were different than in the past, that the attack on the ships and the pipeline was coordinated and directed by the Iranian government, the ayatollah,” Graham told reporters.

“Iranian IRGC In Syria’s Lataki? – Report,” Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, May 21, 2019

“Amid Iran tensions, a look at Mideast’s powers and proxies,” Jon Gambrell, Zeina Karam, and Josef Federman, Washington Post, AP, May 20, 2019.

“Iran Says It Is Poised to Exceed Limits on Nuclear Stockpile,” Laurence Norman and Aresu Eqbali, Wall Street Journal, May 20, 2019.


“Iran’s behavior must change.”  This is a quote from former U.S. Defense Secretary Jim Mattis last night at a speech before a Ramadan lecture series in honor of Abu Dhabi’s crown prince, Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan.  And Mattis’ statement is the point of this blog—over and over again, countries are asking Iran to act as other countries.  “The Latest: Rouhani: US economic pressure won’t defeat Iran,” AP, May 21, 2019.

May 21, 2019.  There’s no news like good news when it comes to U.S. sanctions resulting in funding cuts by Iran to the terror group Hezbollah.  That is the news from the Washington Post and passed on to outlets such as the Jerusalem Post, relayed below.  “U.S. Sanctions Are Limiting Iran’s Ability To Fund Hezbollah—Report,” Rossella Tercatin, Jerusalem Post, May 19, 2019.  “The latest wave of US sanctions has significantly curbed Iran’s ability to fund Hezbollah, The Washington Post reported on Saturday.  The Lebanese terrorist group has traditionally been the best funded Islamic Republic’s proxy, with its fighters and affiliates benefiting from salaries and social services paid for by Tehran.  However, speaking to several Hezbollah officials, the Washington-based newspaper revealed how the sanctions imposed by the Trump administration after the US pulled out from the 2015 nuclear deal a year ago had had a deep impact on the funding.  According to the report, while maintaining expenses that are considered essential – such as salaries to full-time fighters and stipends to families of the militants who died in Syria, where Hezbollah militias have been instrumental in keeping Syrian President Bashar Assad in power – other programs have been slashed or canceled.  These programs include extra benefits to militants and their families and the distribution of free medicines and groceries.  Moreover, fighters have been pulled out from Syria or assigned to the reserves.  “There is no doubt these sanctions have had a negative impact,” a Hezbollah official told The Washington Post on the condition of anonymity.  “But ultimately, sanctions are a component of war, and we are going to confront them in this context.”  The report highlighted that the Hezbollah sources would not reveal any figures of the funding received by Tehran before or after the sanctions, but that according to US Special Envoy Brian Hook, Iran used to send the Lebanese group up to $700 million a year, accounting for 70% of their revenue.  It added that the Trump administration has stated that sanctions have decreased Iranian revenue by $10 billion since last November.”
May 20, 2019.  This blog focuses on Iran, looking to see when and how the Regime will change its behavior and act like a “normal” state in the world.  This blog entry, at first blush, might seem to focus on Turkey instead.  Turkey, though, is one of Iran’s allies and Iran would like nothing more than for itself, Syria, Turkey, North Korea, and especially Russia and China, to be able to “see” F-35s.  Iran would be very pleased to see the U.S. and Israel and other countries who will use such advanced aviation technology be unable to use it against Iran’s misadventures and acts.  Here is the story—Turkish Pres. Tayyip Erdogan said on Saturday the purchase of S-400 defense systems from Russia was a done deal, adding that Ankara would also jointly produce S-500 defense systems with Moscow.  U.S. officials have called Turkey’s planned purchase of the S-400 missile defense system “deeply problematic,” saying it would risk Ankara’s partnership in the joint strike fighter F-35 program because it would compromise the jets, made by Lockheed Martin Corp.  The article is “Turkey’s Erdogan says will jointly produce S-500s with Russia after purchase of S-400s,” Reuters, May 18, 2019.


“Pickup the phone, Rouhani!,” Faisal Abbas, Arab News, May 18, 2019.
“Iran’s elite naval forces said to pass skills to proxy fighters,” Babak Dehghanpisheh, Bozorgmehr Sharafedin, Reuters, May 17, 2019.


May 19, 2019.  We will let these two stories do the talking.  “Iran to increase uranium, heavy water production: official,” i24NEWS, May 16, 2019.  “Iran to Increase Uranium, Heavy Water Production: Official,” Al Manar TV, May 16, 2019.

May 18, 2019.  After its proxies have used drones to explode mines against four oil-related ships at the mouth of the Persian Gulf, and attacked a Saudi land pipeline, and asked its proxies in Iraq to attack U.S. interests there, the country of Iran has backed off (will they be held accountable?).  The racheting down of tension, also the result of more military presence by the U.S. arriving, is reported by the NYT and others.  See “U.S. Officials Say Iran Has Removed Missile Threat From Some Boats,” Eric Schmitt, New York Times, May 17, 2019.  “Iran has unloaded missiles from at least two small boats in its territorial waters in what two American officials said on Friday was a sign of easing tensions in the brewing confrontation between Washington and Tehran.  In recent days, American officials have described satellite photographs showing fully assembled missiles being loaded onto multiple boats in multiple Iranian ports.  The pictures were cited as evidence for concern that the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps was targeting United States naval ships in the Persian Gulf and nearby waters.  Additional pieces of intelligence picked up threats against commercial shipping and potential attacks by Shiite militias with Iranian ties against American troops in Iraq, officials have said.  But over the past two days, Iranian forces removed the missiles from two of the boats, according to a Defense Department official and a congressional official.  The boats, called dhows, had sailed between the Iranian ports of Jask and Chabahar in the Gulf of Oman, the officials said.  It is unclear how many other missile-laden Iranian vessels are sailing in Iranian waters.  But the unloading of the missiles on the two small boats, coupled with the unhindered passage through the strategically important Strait of Hormuz on Thursday of two Navy destroyers, the U.S.S. McFaul and the U.S.S. Gonzalez, prompted some officials to claim that a recent show of United States firepower may have deterred the threat of Iranian attacks on American forces.  Communications between the Revolutionary Guards Corps and the Shiite militias in Iraq also seem to have slowed—but have not stopped altogether, said the two officials, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe parts of the confidential information.  The new information, provided to members of the House Armed Services Committee and the staff of the Senate Armed Services Committee in closed-door briefings on Friday, came as President Trump has sought to defuse the simmering confrontation with Iran in recent days.  Even so, the confrontation is far from entirely defused.  Lloyd’s of London, the international insurance company, announced on Friday that it would raise insurance rates for the entire Persian Gulf, a move it made in response to attacks on four oil tankers on May 13.  And military officials said they expected the Pentagon’s Central Command in the coming weeks to request more air and naval forces in the Middle East—more to bulk up its deterrent force, and avert future showdowns, than to deal with the current tensions.

May 17, 2019.  “Iran’s elite Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) are “highly likely” to have facilitated attacks last Sunday on four tankers including two Saudi ships off Fujairah in the United Arab Emirates, according to a Norwegian insurers’ report seen by Reuters.”  …  “A confidential assessment issued this week by the Norwegian Shipowners’ Mutual War Risks Insurance Association (DNK) concluded that the attack was likely to have been carried out by a surface vessel operating close by that despatched underwater drones carrying 30-50 kg (65-110 lb) of high-grade explosives to detonate on impact.  “Exclusive: Insurer says Iran’s Guards likely to have organized tanker attacks,” Jonathan Saul and Gwladys Fouche, Reuters, May 17, 2019.
“Iran tells Middle East militias: prepare for proxy war,” Martin Chulov, The Guardian, May 16, 2019.

May 16, 2019.  Something is amiss at the Five Eyes partner United Kingdom.  Here are two stories about the U.S. “eyes” and the British “eyes” apparently not seeing the same thing.  “On Wednesday, The New York Times reported the increased threat came from intelligence that showed IRGCN forces had loaded missiles onto dhows.  Washington and allies have had mixed reactions to the intelligence estimates.  On Tuesday, U.K. Maj. Gen. Christopher Ghika, deputy commander for strategy and information at the Combined Joint Task Force – Operation Inherent Resolve (CJTF-OIR), told reporters there had been “no increased threat” to forces in Iraq and Syria supporting OIR from Iranian forces in the region, according to Military.com.  In response, CENTCOM issued a statement that Ghika’s assessments “run counter to the identified credible threats available to intelligence from U.S. and allies regarding Iranian-backed forces in the region.”  Following the CENTCOM statement, the U.K. Ministry of Defense issued its own statement defending Ghika’s original comments.”  “Two U.S. Warships Enter Persian Gulf Without Incident,” Sam LaGrone, USNI News, May 16, 2019.  And the second, related story.  “Dating back to World War II and including joint actions against Kosovo, Afghanistan and the two wars against Iraq, U.S. leaders have been able to count on Britain to take part in invasions and airstrikes, and to help persuade sometimes cautious European allies to offer political and logistical support.  The Trump administration was expecting similar support over what it calls an increased threat from Iran, but this hope has been swatted down — not with anonymous whispers but by public comments from top British officials.  In an unusually blunt challenge from Britain, Maj. Gen. Chris Ghika denied the U.S. assertion of an increased threat from Iranian-backed forces in Iraq and Syria.  “Tensions over Iran show cracks in a time-tested alliance,” Gregory Katz and David Rising, May 15, 2019.  So General Ghika, which is it?  No increased threat?  Four tanker attacks, one pipeline attack, attacks encouraged in Iraq—that is over 1,000 miles of actions and threats!

“Iran Threat Debate Is Set Off by Images of Missiles at Sea,” Julian Barnes, Eric Schmitt, Nicholas Fandos, and Edward Wong, New York Times, May 15, 2019.


“Saudi Arabia Says Drones Attacked Its Oil Pipelines,” Aya Batrawy and Jon Gambrell, Time, May 14, 2019.


“New Report Shows How a Pro-Iran Group Spread Fake News Online,” Scott Shane and Ronen Bergman, New York Times, May 14, 2019.

May 15, 2019.  What other country talks of sending 14 million children to war?  “Iran Ministers Remark About Sending Children To War Leads To Outcry,” Radio Farda, May 13, 2019.


May 14, 2019.  It has happened.  “Saudi Arabia Says Oil Tankers Attacked as Iranian Tensions Rise,” Anthony Dipaola and Abbas Al Lawati, May 12, 2019.


“Sanctions Cut Deep, but Iran Seems Unlikely to Budge,” Vivian Yee, New York Times, May 12, 2019.

“A Middle East without the IRGC,” Bob Feferman, Times of Israel, May 12, 2019.

May 13, 2019.  When Iran’s government does the right thing, we will praise it.  Parliament has chosen to support women’s rights by overwhelmingly voting to confer citizenship on children born to an Iranian mother and foreign father.  Currently, children of such marriages are only eligible for citizenship if their Iranian parent is a man.  This will allow those children to be eligible for citizenship, regardless of whether their mother or father is the Iranian national.  This law represents a good development for women’s rights in Iran and for the Middle East, where many countries don’t give women the right to pass on citizenship to their children if the father is a foreign national.  The law will also give tens of thousands of children access to social and health care services.  Iran’s VP for women’s and family affairs said the current legislation, dating to 1934, was written at a time “when women were considered chattel.”  “Iran Parliament Upholds Women’s Rights in Citizenship Debate,” Golnar Motevalli, Bloomberg, May 12, 2019.


May 12, 2019.  Thank you NYT for reporting that Tehran’s strategy is to provoke the United States into attacking, and for stating that the recent U.S. response is a measured move—the military assets moved to the Gulf (four bombers, an aircraft carrier and escorts) are high profile to send a deterrent message but are relatively small.  The Lincoln was already on its way to the region and simply cut short European port visits.  The Arlington is a replacement for a similar, if less capable, ship.  “Pentagon Builds Deterrent Force Against Possible Iranian Attack,” Julian Barnes and Eric Schmitt, New York Times, May 10, 2019.


May 11, 2019.  The Supreme Leader says that Allah has declared the U.S. must be opposed.  That seems direct and clear.  As Khamenei put it, “If God assists a nation but they fail to appreciate it, they will be slapped.  Today there is no option but to stand against the devils, tyrannies and disbelievers.”  “Iran’s supreme leader warns of coming escalation against America,” Tom Rogan, Washington Examiner, May 07, 2019.
May 10, 2019.  The big news today is Not that Iran is partly pulling back from its obligation under JCPOA.  The big news today Is that Iran is moving ballistic missiles around the Persian Gulf via boat—a potentially dangerous escalation of a delicate military balance in the Gulf region, and a threat to the U.S. and the countries aligned to deter Iran.  See “Iranian leader announces partial withdrawal from nuclear deal,” James Griffiths and Joshua Berlinger, CNN, May 8, 2019, and “Iran moving ballistic missiles by boat, US officials say,” Barbara Starr, CNN, May 7, 2019.


May 9, 2019.  How should a country treat its workers (especially if they can’t unionize)?  Not this way.  “Iran arrests dozens at International Workers’ Day protests,” Al-Monitor, May 2, 2019.

May 8, 2019.  So, do Iran and Venezuela really have connections?  Does Hezbollah really operate in South America?  The media has finally starting covering this story, which reminds us that the international drug trade, in which Hezbollah is involved, is much easier to understand of terms of Point A to Point B if the media really tells us how this part of drug trafficking operates.  “Secret Venezuela Dossier Warns About Maduro Confidant,” Nicholas Casey, New York Times, May 2, 2019.

May 7, 2019.  “What we’ve been trying to do is to get Iran to behave like a normal nation,” Secretary of State Mike Pompeo told reporters in Finland.  This quote, from the NYT cited herein, is exactly what this blog tries to demonstrate–When will the Iranian Regime stop acting as a revolutionary terror state and act as a normal nation-state?  “New Tensions With Iran Threaten Nuclear Deal and, White House Says, U.S. Troops,” David Sanger, Edward Wong, Eric Schmitt, and Helene Cooper, New York Times, May 6, 2019.




“Iran’s war on Christianity,” Ilan Berman, Washington Times, May 7, 2019.

May 7, 2019.  A first for everything?!  We didn’t need this first.  Iran is the first country in the world to appoint a sanctioned person as the head of its national airline.  Associating with terror support and transport in any other country would seemingly keep such a person from operating planes and an airline.  But not in Iran.  Turaj Dehghani Zanganeh, a former air-force commander who is featured on a U.S. Treasury sanctions list, was named CEO of Iran Air on May 5 by the government.  Zanganeh was previously CEO of Meraj Air, which was also targeted by U.S. sanctions in 2018.  “Iran Air Appoints New U.S.-Sanctioned CEO,” RFE, May 6, 2019.

May 6, 2019.  Iran’s “actions”, as this headline mentions, are what are key.  When will Iran act as other countries?  One of the threats made this past week was (again) to attack the Strait and close it.  Bahrain and Kuwait and other countries complained about this threat.  The U.S. (here) is bolstering its forces because of further threats that are not made public.  Iran needs to remember it is the terrorism, missiles, interference in regional countries, hostages, etc. that have resulted in regional countries and beyond being against it.  The sanctions did not start this, the sanctions are in response.  “US deploying carrier strike group due to Iran actions,” CNN, May 6, 2019.  Another word on this–“Although Iran has provided financing to Hamas, there is no sign that it was involved in the recent rocket attacks against Israel.”  One of the challenges to getting Iran to change its malicious activities is to convince the NYT and some other media outlets to investigate and report the connections between Iran and its proxies.  This quote from the May 5 story is just one more indicator—if the NYT were to dig deeper it would find that the very country that is providing the missiles to Hamas and PIJ is also involved in when they are used.  “Citing Iranian Threat, U.S. Sends Carrier Group and Bombers to Persian Gulf,” Edward Wong, New York Times, May 5, 2019.



May 5, 2019.  Earlier today, in response to the over 600 rockets being fired at Israel from Gaza, Israel announced that it had killed Hamed Ahmed Khudari, a Gazan terrorist responsible for transferring Iranian funds to Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad for rockets.  It is likely the hundreds of rockets shot from Gaza were ordered by the Supreme Leader because of the effectiveness of the U.S. sanctions against Iran.  “Targeted Killings Begin As Security Cabinet Directs IDF To Intensify Strikes,” Anna Ahronheim and Herb Keinon, Jerusalem Post, May 5, 2019.


“Iran’s spiritual power play,” Erin Cunningham and Mustafa Salim, Washington Post, May 5, 2019.


May 4, 2019.  How should countries treat their educators?  Not this way.  “Dozens Of Teachers Arrested In Iran During Protests,” Radio Farda, May 3, 2019.


“Iran sanctions explained,” Osama Bin Javaid, Al Jazeera, May 4, 2019.


May 3, 2019.  The US and human rights groups have expressed outrage over reports that Iran has executed two 17-year-old boys last Thursday.  Mehdi Sohrabifar and Amin Sedaghat were 15 when convicted in 2017 on multiple rape charges, after what activists said was an unfair trial.  Iranian authorities did not inform the boys’ families or lawyers they were executed.  According to Amnesty International, Iran has executed almost 100 juvenile offenders since 1990 – the highest number of any nation.  International law prohibits the use of capital punishment in all cases in which the accused was under 18 at the time of the crime.  “‘Execution’ of Iranian teenage boys condemned,” BBC, May 2, 2019.

“The Cybersecurity 202: Iran’s the scariest cyber adversary, former NSA chief says,” Joseph Marks, Washington Post, May 3, 2019.


May 2, 2019.  This statement by FM Zarif is really too easy to respond to, and not because the statistics for Iran’s economy are so poor now as a result of the sanctions, and Iran is cutting back the financial support for dangerous proxies like Hezbollah, etc.  Instead, the statement can be countered with, “Trump’s pressure will succeed because the U.S. has a J.D. in sanctions enforcement,” or you could use the M.B.A. or another degree.  “Trump pressure will fail because Iran has a ‘Ph.D. in sanctions busting,’ says Iran’s Zarif,” Dan De Luce, NBC, April 25, 2019.

“Six charts that show how hard US sanctions have hit Iran,” BBC, May 2, 2019.


May 1, 2019.  Not a good continuing sign–Iran’s FM Zarif announced that he will visit North Korea to further the ties between the two countries.  Other than both countries being sanctioned by the U.S., state sponsors of terrorism, both continuing to have high-level meetings with Russia, having ballistic missile programs, they have much to continue to talk about.  “Iranian Top Diplomat to Visit North Korea Soon,” Tasnim News Agency, April 28, 2019.


“Iran says nuclear deal close to collapse, slams other signatories,” German Press Agency, Daily Sabah, May 1, 2019.

Apr. 30, 2019.  U.S. labor groups should protest what Iran is doing to its labor groups.  “Iran Arrests Labor Activists Ahead of International Labor Day,” Radio Farda, April 27, 2019.


“Report: Iran Escalates Targeting of Non-Shiite Muslims, Other Religious Minorities,” Michael Lipin and Farhad Pouladi, VOA, April 30, 2019.


“Price Of Bread Jumps Threefold In Iran,” Radio Farda, April 30, 2019.

Apr. 29, 2019.  A study of who and how often that Iran’s leaders meet with would show interesting patterns—here comes Russia, again.  “Putin Says Russia Will Host Summit In August With Presidents Of Iran, Azerbaijan,” RFE, April 26, 2019.




“Iran, Russia To Hold Joint Maritime Drills In Persian Gulf,” Anna Ahronheim, Jerusalem Post, April 29, 2019

Apr. 28, 2019.  Doesn’t sounds like due process!  “Police In Iran Use Texting To Summon Women Who Violate Hijab In Cars,” Radio Farda, April 26, 2019.

“Iranian Top Diplomat to Visit North Korea Soon,” Tasnim News Agency, April 28, 2019

Apr. 27, 2019.  If we take the Supreme Leader as speaking for Allah, then recognizing Israel is not possible under Islam.  But that creates a split of opinion with Egypt and Jordan, Islamic countries which have both done precisely that.  “Normalizing ties with ‘Zionists’ is against Quran, Iranian supreme leader says,” Toi Staff, Times of Israel, April 15, 2019.

“Iran floods further add to public mistrust of government organizations,” Saeid Jafari, Al Monitor, April 27, 2019


“Iranian foreign minister hedges on prisoner swap offer,” Margaret Brennan and Grace Segers, CBS, April 27, 2019


Apr. 26, 2019.  Will the U.S. boycott Germany because of Hezbollah?  What an interesting question, wondering if U.S. consumers would want to pressure Germany to pressure Iran’s support for terror.  Chanc. Merkel’s administration is opposed to banning Hezbollah’s entire organization in Germany, where at least 950 Hezbollah members operate.  “U.S. Called On To Boycott German Cars Until Hezbollah Banned From Germany,” Benjamin Weinthal, Jerusalem Post, April 25, 2019.


Apr. 25, 2019.  The NYT uses the language of “prisoner exchange”. Please NYT, use something like “Iran proposes an exchange of Iranian-held hostages for U.S.-held prisoners”

“Iran’s Foreign Minister Proposes Prisoner Exchange With U.S.,” Rick Gladstone, New York Times, April 24, 2019.

“Iran To Increase Naval Ties With China,” Anna Ahronheim, Jerusalem Post, April 23, 2019




Apr. 24, 2019.  Thank you Google for cutting use of YouTube by Press TV and Hispan TV, controlled by Iran, after publication of incendiary, false accusations that Israel had been conducting medical experiments on Palestinian prisoners.  The article, published by Iran’s Spanish-language service Hispan TV and targeting outlets in Latin America, claimed that “Palestinians held in Israeli jails are being used as guinea pigs in new medical trials,” citing “reports that the health ministry (of Israel) granted licenses to several international companies to carry out medical tests on Palestinian and Arab prisoners in Israeli prisons without their knowledge.”  “Google Cuts YouTube Access For Iran’s Press TV And Hispan TV ‘Without Any Warning’,” Zak Doffman, Forbes, April 23, 2019.

Apr. 23, 2019.  Iranian lawmakers on Tuesday overwhelmingly approved a bill labeling all U.S. military forces as terrorist, a day after Washington announced that no country would any longer be exempt from U.S. sanctions if it continues to buy Iranian oil.  I suppose that announcing sanctions makes one a terrorist?  “Iranian parliament labels entire US military as terrorist,” Nasser Karimi, AP, April 23, 2019.

“China signals plan to flout US sanctions on Iranian oil,” Joel Gehrke, Washington Examiner, April 23, 2019


“Iran To Increase Naval Ties With China,” Anna Ahronheim, Jerusalem Post, April 23, 2019

“IRGC Threatens to Close Hormuz Strait,” Asharq Al-Awsat, April 23, 2019

Apr. 22, 2019.  Iran’s semi-official Fars News Agency quoted Revolutionary Guards General Alireza Tengseiri as saying that if Tehran was barred from using the Strait of Hormuz, they would “shut it down.”  But “Could Iran close the Strait of Hormuz?  Energy analysts skeptical of Tehran’s latest threat,” Sam Meredith, CNBC, April 23, 2019.



Apr. 21, 2019.  “In First, Iranian Minister Responds To Israeli Foreign Ministry Tweet,” Herb Keinon, Jerusalem Post, April 19, 2019.  In what could be a good sign, an Iranian minister made history this week by interacting with Israeli through a formal Israeli diplomatic channel.  The channel was Israel’s Twitter feed in Persian, run by the Foreign Ministry, and the interaction was negative.  But still, as described by this story, for a country that refuses to call Israel by its name, and whose sports figures refuse to play Israel in international matches, and which regularly threatens Israel with Death, having Iran’s Minister of Information Mohammad-Javad Azari Jahromi respond on an official Israeli site was noteworthy.






“Trump to Escalate Iran Feud by Ending Waivers; Oil Prices Climb,” Nick Wadhams, Glen Carey, and Margaret Talev, Bloomberg, April 21, 2019

Apr. 20, 2019.  Funny even if true.  What the prevent the public for having is now stripped from them.  “Instagram accounts of Iran’s Khamenei, IRGC’s Soleimani get suspended,” Al Arabiya, April 16, 2019.

Apr. 19, 2019.  Classic (but consistent) Iranian government decision making in the arena of female sports.  Her career is seemingly ruined at home, and the disruption for having to live abroad must be difficult on her and her family.  “Boxing- Iranian female fighter cancels return home after arrest warrant issued,” Julien Pretot, Reuters, April 17, 2019.

Apr. 18, 2019.  What will Iran’s foreign policy be regarding Venezuela and (Hugo Chavez’s) Pres. Maduro’s form of repressive socialism?  It will not be normal, such as joining over 50 countries calling for Maduro and his cronies to step down.  “Russia, China, and Iran Defend Support for Venezuela, Warn U.S. Cannot Tell Them or Latin American What To Do,” Tom O’Connor, Newsweek, April 15, 2019.

Apr. 17, 2019.  Kayhan, which is close to Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s office, reports that Hashd al-Sha’bi, Al-Nojaba and Afghan Fatemyoun militia have arrived in Khuzestan at the invitation of IRGC’s Qods Force Commander Qassem Soleimani (a noted flood relief expert).  There have been strong protests on social media against the foreign militia’s presence in Iran, as occupying forces or to suppress protests.  “Convoys Of Iraqi Militia Deployed To Iran’s Flood-Hit Regions As Dissent Mounts,” Radio Farda, April 14, 2019.




Apr. 16, 2019.  Iran had not saved for a rainy day.  On Sunday, Interior Minister Abdolreza Rahmani Fazli said weeks of heavy rain across had caused $2.5 billion in damage to roads, bridges, homes, and farmland.  Iran’s worst floods in 70 years had killed at least 76 people and forced more than 220,000 into emergency shelters, state media cited ministers as telling lawmakers.  Supreme Leader Khamenei has approved drawing up to $2 billion from the country’s sovereign wealth fund for relief and reconstruction after devastating floods, state media reported.  However, $2.5 is apparently needed.  “Iran leader approves tapping sovereign fund for flood relief,” Reuters, April 15, 2019.


Apr. 15, 2019.  “This is Iran intervening in South America.  That’s not in the best interests of the South American people, and the United States stands ready.  We see Iran for what it is: the world’s largest state sponsor of terror.  That’s a global threat.”  Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, in “Pompeo: ‘Iranian Money Remains In Latin America’,” RFE/RL, April 14, 2019.


“Abdul-Malik Al-Houthi: A wolf in sheep’s clothes,” Siraj Wahab, Arab News, April 15, 2019



“Iran’s Khuzestan Experiences more Protests,” Mike Saidi, Critical Threats, April 15, 2019

Apr. 14, 2019.  The JCPOA allowed Iran to one day have a nuclear program, and even weapons, as we are reminded by a short story in today’s news, “Iran summons French ambassador over colleague’s tweet,” AP, April 14, 2019.  “Iran’s semi-official ISNA news agency reports the foreign ministry has summoned France’s ambassador to Tehran over remarks made on Twitter by his colleague in Washington.  Ambassador Philippe Thiebaud was being asked Sunday to explain why the French ambassador to the U.S., Gerard Araud, had tweeted that “sanctions could be reimposed” on Iran once the 2015 nuclear deal expires after 10 years.  Araud said Saturday that because “Russia is providing enriched uranium” to Iran, Tehran shouldn’t need to be “massively enriching uranium after the JCPOA,” using the acronym for the nuclear deal signed with world powers, including France.  ISNA says Iran’s foreign ministry has called Araud’s remarks “unacceptable” and in “open violation” of the nuclear deal.  Under the nuclear deal, Iran capped its uranium enrichment activities in return to ending sanctions.”  Iran believed the JCPOA cemented its “right” to restart its program after the various deadlines ended, enshrining their move to join the “nuclear club.”  That was one very important reason the Trump Administration has withdrawn from the nuclear deal.




“Clashes in Mosul as Iran-backed militias battle security forces,” Mina Aldroubi, The National, April 14, 2019

Apr. 13, 2019.  Iran’s “allies” = Iran!  Newsweek’s article didn’t point out that the various Middle East terror groups and revolutionary groups they cite in their article are all manifestations of Iran, including their creation, funding, and support.  A glaring oversight.  “Iran Says It Will Help Revolutionary Guards Fight ‘Terrorist’ U.S. Military; Allies Offer Their Support,” Tom O’Connor, Newsweek, April 11, 2019.

Apr. 12, 2019.  Russia says Iran will leave Syria—we’ll believe it when we see it.  “Iran and Turkey Will Leave Syria, Russia’s UN Ambassador Tells Asharq Al-Awsat,” Ali Barada, Asharq Al-Awsat, Thursday, 11 April, 2019.


Apr. 11, 2019.  Thanks to Iran, a global decline in executions in 2018 occurred.  In Iran, executions were halved due to eliminating the death penalty for several drug-related crimes.  See “Global Executions Fall 31 Percent, Driven by Iran, Report Finds,” Niraj Chokshi, New York Times, April 10, 2019.  Executions around the world fell by a third in 2018, reaching the lowest level in at least a decade.  690 people were executed last year, compared with 993 in 2017.  Despite Iran’s reforms, it still executed (often by hanging from construction cranes) more than 250 people in 2018, second only to China.  Iran was followed by Saudi Arabia, Vietnam, and Iraq.  Reducing the number of executions is important because a number of these countries have unfair trials and little due process.


“Iran Restarts Advanced Nuclear Work,” Adam Kredo, Washington Free Beacon, April 11, 2019


“Prime Suspect In Corruption Case Says He Helped Iran Circumvent Sanctions,” Radio Farda, April 11, 2019

Apr. 10, 2019.  “Iran Should Reconcile With America,” Brian Hook, op-ed, New York Times, April 8, 2019.  Here are some excerpts from a great op-ed just written, right on the theme of this blog—Iran should choose to act as a normal government, not as a revolutionary cause.  Brian Hook writes, “The Iranian Revolution has failed to deliver the just and prosperous society, by any measure, that Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini and other revolutionary leaders promised the Iranian people in 1979.  These days, Iran’s ruling theocracy is best known for oppression, corruption and mismanagement at home, and ghastly sectarian warfare abroad. Through its Shiite militias, the clerical regime has fueled violence and death in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan, Yemen, and well beyond. Iran’s support for Hezbollah and Hamas has enabled deadly cross-border attacks into Israel.  This proxy network has allowed Iran to project power well beyond its borders.  …  Within Iran’s own borders, the ’79 revolution is largely a spent force.  Mosque attendance has collapsed, with the Revolutionary Guards reporting that even during holy days the faithful stay away.  Those seeking to become clerics are few in number, an astonishing condemnation by the religious working class, who traditionally have supplied most of the clerical students and been the backbone of the regime.  The country’s brain drain and capital flight is constant.  Today, the revolution belongs primarily to the regime’s hypocritical elite.  Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s Setad hedge fund, worth tens of billions of dollars, was supposed to be a charity, but it now seizes property from Iranians to sustain the regime.  The Revolutionary Guards have become a state within a state, developing a stranglehold on many parts of the economy.  Iran’s foreign minister speaks to the world on his Twitter account while his regime outlaws Twitter.  The peoples of the United States and Iran should have diplomatic ties.  We can foresee a new American Embassy in Tehran issuing visas to tourists, business travelers, and teachers.  There should also be direct flights from Tehran to New York or Los Angeles.  Before the revolution, America was Iran’s second-largest trading partner.  It should be again.  Before the revolution, 50,000 Iranian students were studying in American universities. Renewed relations would open the door to tremendous opportunities.  One day soon, the brightest minds in our countries could work to solve problems for the Iranian people.  With open relations between the United States and Iran, together we could reduce Tehran’s severe air pollution, build homes that withstand earthquakes in Kermanshah, deliver new medical treatments to veterans of the Iran-Iraq war, and restore water to Lake Urmia and the Zayandeh River.  It is time for nations to restore basic demands on Iran to behave like a normal, peaceful nation: end the pursuit of nuclear weapons, stop testing ballistic missiles, stop sponsoring terrorist proxies and halt the arbitrary detention of dual citizens.  The regime should invest in its own people instead of bankrolling dictators, terrorists, missiles and militias.  Thanks to regime subsidies, the average Hezbollah combatant makes two to three times what an Iranian firefighter is paid.






“U.S. Charges Lies and Dissembling at Standard Chartered Kept Iran Cash Moving,” Christian Berthelsen  and Tom Schoenberg, Bloomberg, April 10, 2019


Apr. 9, 2019.  Good news—Iran is flying directly to Venezuela.  Mahan Air, a private Iranian airline that flies IRGC and Quds Forces and military equipment and funds to terrorism to Middle East war zones, on Monday launched a direct flight to Venezuela.  Mehr News Agency provided a cover story that the flights will carry foreign ministry officials to Caracas.  How many officials does Iran have in order to start regular flights?  France and Germany already banned the airline’s flights in 2019.  The U.S. imposed sanctions on Mahan in 2011.  Iran is supporting for Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro who faces demands from his people and about 50 countries that he step down.  Russia, China, and Turkey along with Iran back Maduro.  See “Iran’s Mahan Air launches direct flights to Venezuela,” Reuters, April 8, 2019.




“Iranian lawmakers convene with chants of ‘Death to America’,” Nasser Karimi, AP, Washington Post, April 9, 2019

“Iran Picks Former Nuclear Negotiator to Lead Its U.N. Mission,” Rick Gladstone, New York Times, April 9, 2019

Apr. 8, 2019.  Iran’s military shoots at its own citizens.  What more do we need to say?  That is not what a normal country does.  See “Activists: Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Fire on Protesters in Deadly Flood Confrontation,” Michael Lipin, VOA, April 4, 2019.

“AP Explains: Long reach of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard,” Aya Batrawy and Bassem Mroue, AP, April 8, 2019

“Iran Should Reconcile With America,” Brian Hook, op-ed, New York Times, April 8, 2019


“Trump Designates Iran’s Revolutionary Guard a Foreign Terrorist Group,” Edward Wong and Eric Schmitt, New York Times, April 8, 2019

Apr. 7, 2019.  West Texas oil is making a difference with regard to Iran.  “Exclusive: South Korea tests U.S. super light oil as Iran waiver uncertainty grows –sources,” Devika Krishna Kumar, Florence Tan, Reuters, April 4, 2019.  South Korea has begun testing super-light U.S. oil sold by energy firm Anadarko Petroleum Corp as a substitute for Iranian crude as it awaits word from Washington whether it can keep buying oil from Iran.  SK is one of Iran’s biggest Asian customers, and was one of eight importers that received waivers to keep buying Iranian oil.  The Trump Administration is expected to reduce those waivers in May, disrupting South Korea’s supply of Iranian condensate, an ultra-light crude oil used in its refining and chemical industry.  West Texas Light is a possible substitute for Iranian condensate because when refined WTL yields a large volume of the refined product naphtha, which can be used to produce petrochemicals.  Most WTL is produced in the western part of the Permian Basin in Texas.

Apr. 6, 2019.  Many Iranian officials are human rights abusers, according to “New Research Names Many Current Iranian Officials As Rights Violators,” Radio Farda, April 2, 2019.  NGO Justice for Iran has published the first volume of a series of books, titled The Face of Crime, and covers the cases of 100 human rights violators in Iran.  Of these, 25 are serving in entities under the direct supervision of the Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei—50 in judicial capacities, 36 in governmental positions, and one as a member of Majles (the Parliament).  The list includes Khamenei, President Rouhani, the head of the judiciary Ebrahim Raeisi (Raeesi), and his predecessor, Ayatollah Sadeq Amoli Larijani.


“Rouhani says Iran ready to expand gas, power trade with Iraq,” Reuters, April 6, 2019

Apr. 5, 2019.  It is absolutely untrue the U.S. is blocking aid to flood victims in Iran.  Iran hasn’t even asked for aid through international banking systems, or been blocked from such, and the U.S. sanctions do not apply to medicine and food.  There is no basis in fact for the claims of the Iranian president (“Preventing foreign aid from entering the country in these hard conditions is an unprecedented crime.”) and foreign minister that the U.S. is preventing aid from reaching flooded areas in Iran—only the government of Iran is responsible for its response and mismangement.  Here are some articles where they make these ludicrous claims:  “Iran president says U.S. blocks int’l aid to flood victims,” Xinhua, April 4, 2019; “Blocking intl. humanitarian aid to flood-hit people ‘unprecedented crime’,” Mehr News Agency, April 3, 2019; “Pres. Rouhani: Preventing int’l aid to flood victims an unprecedented crime,” ABNA, April 3, 2019. 


“U.S to Designate Iranian Guard Corps a Foreign Terror Group,” Michael Gordon, Warren Strobel and Nancy Youssef, Wall Street Journal, April 5, 2019

Apr. 4, 2019.  Don’t build railway lines without water outlets underneath.  This is just one of many mistakes which led to major flooding in Golestan Province in northern Iran in the last few days.  Such is the case with a railroad line constructed by the IRGC’s (Iran’s military) financial conglomerate Khatam ol-Anbia.  “Khamenei Tries To Ward Off Potential Public Anger Over Iran Floods,” Radio Farda, April 3, 2019.





“Iraq PM to make first official Iran visit on Saturday,” AFP, Al Arabiya, April 4, 2019

Apr. 3, 2019.  Iran holds hostages for political trading.  And retribution against other countries.  We were reminded of this during the meeting held yesterday at the State Department for families of American hostages held in other countries.  Also present were congressmen, senators, ambassadors, and other officials.  And in his remarks, Secretary Pompeo said the following about ransom.  See “Remarks to Families of Americans Held Captive Abroad,” Secretary of State Michael Pompeo, U.S. Diplomacy Center, Washington, D.C., April 2, 2019.  “I know too that there are those who have talked about this idea that the United States ought to return to the practice of paying ransom for exchanging – exchanging the return of individuals back to the United States.  I understand this plea from the bottom of my heart; indeed, I am confident that if I stood in your shoes, I too would be willing to do anything.  I can understand that the suffering is unspeakable.  But please do remember: As we move in that direction, we create risk.  Indeed, we know that there are nations that take Americans less because there is less money coming from America.  I’ve seen it; I’ve seen the information.  It’s what’s happened after we paid the mullahs in Iran.  I’ve seen this kind of activity.  Please remember that any payment to a terrorist or a terrorist regime gives money so that they can seize more of our people.  We cannot accept that risk.  You wouldn’t ask that of us.  Even a small payment to a group in, say, Africa can facilitate the killing or seizure of tens or even hundreds of others, including Americans or foreign nationals in that region.  We also know for a fact that some terror groups don’t seize Americans because we won’t pay.  It’s a trend I want to continue.”




“Iran responsible for deaths of 608 American troops in Iraq,” Jerry Dunleavy, Washington Examiner, April 3, 2019

“Thes hadowy case of cheap Iranian steel flooding Lebanon,” Sunniva Rose, The National, April 3, 2019







Apr. 2, 2019.  Iran has failed to prepare for natural disasters.  Such is the realization of its people as they finally see news of the large flooding in the country’s southwest, and the the meager government response and arguing among leaders.  See “Iran’s Hurricane Katrina Moment,” Borzou Daragahi, Atlantic Council, March 30, 2019.  Here are some portions of the Atlantic Council story.  “Iranian authorities barred international journalists from covering the disastrous floods that have stricken most of the country’s provinces and caused death and mayhem during the normally festive two-week Nowruz holidays that follow the Iranian new year.  Not even the smattering of foreign journalists still huddled precariously in Tehran were granted permission to head to Golestan and Mazandaran provinces or even Shiraz to speak with victims, rescue workers, and good Samaritans—something reporters do during natural disasters all over the world, including recent floods in Nebraska and Mozambique.  So tightly and firmly do Iranian authorities want to maintain control over the messaging over the flood that, with the exception of reporters from state television and the official state news agency, even Iranian journalists were kept away for President Hassan Rouhani’s visit to the disaster scenes in the southern province of Khuzestan.  This came after angry protesters confronted Rouhani during his visit to flood zones in Golestan. …  To find out what’s happening in Iran in the wake of the floods, the world is forced to piece together a narrative based on amateur video trickling out of the country on social media and messaging apps.  And what a story the videos tell.  Horrific images include Iranians clinging for dear life on traffic posts as floods wash away others away, entire towns inundated with muddy water, Iranian motorists stuck inside their cars as unceasing waters carried them off.  In all at least 44 people were killed in the nationwide floods.  Hundreds of millions of dollars worth of transportation infrastructure has been destroyed, including 314 bridges, according to local press.  Meanwhile authorities looked pathetic.  In an ostensible attempt to prevent fraud, but also to ban heroes from emerging outside the elite circle of power, the judiciary banned celebrities from raising funds for the flood victims, instead demanding that all donations go to the government or official charities.  Clearly the regime was caught unaware and unprepared for the disaster in part because of the Nowruz holidays.  The governor of Golestan province, now fired, was apparently abroad somewhere.  Rouhani himself was resting on Qeshm Island in the Persian Gulf.  …  But the floods showed what a paper tiger the regime is.  People are largely left to fend for themselves as ineffectual hardline regime stalwarts bark orders or stage photo ops.  …  Iranians are outraged.  …  One Iranian man posted a video of himself directly addressing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the leaders of the IRGC.  “You gave so much for Syria, what did you get out of it?” he says. “People are being destroyed by this flooding. Our own children are drowning. You who didn’t want Israel to exist in twenty years, with this situation, our country won’t see another year.””

“Swedish Police Arrest Iraqi Journalist For Working As Iranian Spy,” Benjamin Weinthal, Jerusalem Post, April 2, 2019

“Hezbollah Established New Missile Factory in Beirut – Report,” Uri Bollag, Jerusalem Post, April 2, 2019

Apr. 1, 2019.  How bad does a person look on death row in Evin Prison?  This is not an April Fool’s joke.  A picture included with the story, “Scientist On Death Row In Iran Speaks To Radio Farda On Floods,” Radio Farda, March 28, 2019 shows the answer.  Ironically, or more precisely to the man’s credit as a person, the story doesn’t carry his criticism about what the Regime is doing to his health.  Instead, while Iran is struggling with its flood crisis at the end of March, Dr. Ahmad Reza Jalali, a medical doctor and expert on crisis management, explained in an interview the ways of confronting the crises caused by recent floods in Iran, including strengthening the country’s early warning system.  Jalali, a Swedish-Iranian dual national, is on death row for charges of “Enmity with God through espionage.”

“More Than 600,000 Sign Petition To Free Prominent Iran Rights Defender,” Radio Farda, April 1, 2019


“Iran Faces Massive Crises Over Flooding,” Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, April 1, 2019



“Iran continues to be a major cyber threat to the Middle East,” Alkesh Sharma, The National, April 1, 2019

“Iran floods expose deepening rift between Rouhani, powerful IRGC,” Rudaw, April 1, 2019

Mar. 31, 2019.  I doubt the Regime paid him $10,000.  A young Iranian chess player who refused to play against an Israeli in a recent international tournament has just met with and was hailed as a hero by the Supreme Leader.  On January 5, 17-year-old Aryan Gholami forfeited his chance at winning a $10,000 prize when he walked away from playing Israeli Ariel Erenberg at the Rilton Cup in Sweden.  According to the story, Gholami told the Palestinian Quds News Network: “I refused this competition in order to defend the Palestinian people.  I do not recognize a place called Israel.”  But the story also says Gholami told Swedish chess website Schack.se that he had no ill will towards the Israeli, but “if I were to play against an Israeli, it would have serious consequences for me.”  Hmm.  Why should the world media pass on criticizing Iran for blatant discrimination?  I hope FIFA and the Olympics and other organizations will press Iran, and any other country, to not discriminate and refuse to participate in international games based on the nationality of other participants.  See “Iran hails chess player who refused to face Israeli,” Toi Staff, Times of Israel, March 2, 2019.

“In Iran, Women’s Political Participation A Trick Used To Mislead West,” Iran News Update, March 31, 2019





“Why Iran Is So Afraid of a Free Iraq,” Michael Rubin, The National Interest, March 31, 2019


“Iranian proxies turn to crime to dodge sanctions,” Baria Alamuddin, Arab News, March 31, 2019

Mar. 30, 2019.  A clue that Ebrahim Raisi may become next Supreme Leader.  IRGC commander Maj. Gen. Mohammad Ali Jafari (and hardliner) has just criticized the selection of Pres. Rouhani in the 2017 election, blaming “the choice made by the people” for the country’s economic woes.  Tellingly, he said “If the winner is supposed to be the good orator, then the whole system will be about words.”  …  “But the candidate who is the man of real action might not be able to defeat his rivals during debates.”  Who is that man of “real action”, who did not prevail in the debate?  Ebrahim Raisi.  See “IRGC commanders begin to reprimand Iranians for electing Rouhani,” Ehsan Bodaghi, Al Monitor, March 25, 2019.  

I am immediately reminded of my Mar. 13, 2019 blog post, just two weeks ago, in which the Supreme Leader chose hardline Iranian cleric Raisi as deputy chief of the Assembly of Experts, responsible for choosing the country’s next Leader.  He also won that job less than a week after appointed head of the judiciary, again by the Leader.  And see my Mar. 11 news, “Ebrahim Raisi: Iran’s New Chief Justice and Possible Supreme Leader in Waiting,” Mehrzad Boroujerdi, Iran Source.

“Arab summit: Tough action sought on Iranian interference,” Ramadan Al Sherbini, Gulf News, March 30, 2019


Mar. 29, 2019.  Iraq may lose control over the Shatt al-Arab, the waterway between it and Iran.  The Shatt al-Arab is formed by the confluence of the Tigris and Euphrates at the city of Qurna in Basra Province.  Around 125 miles long, the river flows into the Arabian Gulf at Faw, the southernmost point in Iraq.  The river width ranges from 1-2 kilometers, and it is a major economic lifeline for Iraq, serving as a navigational channel for boats heading to the ports of Basra via the Persian Gulf.  After the eight-year war between the two countries, Iraq declared the shared river agreement terminated.  Rouhani’s recent trip to Baghdad was preceded by warnings in the Iraqi media against renewing the agreement, to preserve national interests.  But Iran has so much influence within the various parts of Iraq’s national politics now that Iran may try to force a new agreement that reflects its interests.  See “Will Iraq lose its benefits from Shattal-Arab River to Iran?,” Omar al-Jaffal, Al Monitor, March 23, 2019.

Mar. 28, 2019.  Iranians do not have access to social media sites including Twitter and Facebook because the Regime severely restricts social media use, highlighted by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo at the Iranian New Year.  “Nowruz brings family and friends together to reflect on the past while celebrating the future and is a time for connecting with loved ones both near and far.  As Iranians celebrate Nowruz this year, they should be able to have unrestricted access to social media sites to share photos of their holiday gatherings and to send New Year’s greetings to loved ones living in other cities or even abroad.  The proud Iranian people deserve to enjoy the best of life without fear of repression.”  He concluded, “May this Nowruz bring new beginnings and a brighter future for everyone!”  “Pompeo Urges Iran To Give Public ‘Unrestricted Access’ To Social Media,” Zachary Keyser, Jerusalem Post, March 27, 2019.

“As U.S. Tightens Iran Sanctions, Militant Groups and Political Allies Feel the Pain,” Ben Hubbard, New York Times, March 28, 2019

Mar. 27, 2019.  Normal, peaceful countries don’t order missile attacks on other countries.  But “Hamas Official:  Iran Ordered Rocket Attack On Central Israel – Report,” Ilanit Chernick, Jerusalem Post, March 27, 2019.


“Is Iran’s Foreign Minister Taking Over the ‘Iraq File?’,” Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, March 27, 2019


“Microsoft Seizes Websites It Traces to Iranian Hackers,” Karen Weise, New York Times, March 27, 2019

Mar. 26, 2019.  “Iran Bans Celebrities From Raising Money For Flood Victims,” Radio Farda, March 25, 2019.  The headline reveals the hard-heartedness of the System—despite record floods, persons are held back from helping persons.  Most countries don’t restrict their citizens from assisting those who are in need.  Control by the Regime is par for the course, not the encouragement of civil society, whether response to earthquakes, floods, or droughts.


“Iran Moves to Cement Its Influence in Syria,” Raja Abdulrahim and Benoit Faucon, Wall Street Journal, March 26, 2019

“U.S. Targets ‘Vast Network’ Evading Iran Sanctions,” Ian Talley, Wall Street Journal, March 26, 2019

“Facebook removes accounts from Russia, Iran for ‘coordinated inauthentic behavior’,” Reuters, March 26, 2019

Mar. 25, 2019.  The Revolution does not respect human rights.  Such is implied heavily from the news “Iran Attacks U.N. Human Rights Rapporteur, Says It Is ‘Largest Democracy In The World’,” Radio Farda, March 24, 2019.  Two days after the most recent renewal of the U.N. Special Rapporteur for Human Rights in Iran, the Islamic Republic harshly criticized the decision and announced that the country is the “largest and the most developed democracy in West Asia and the world.”  Beyond that surprising claim, the human rights staff of The Islamic Republic issued a statement on March 24 saying the renewal of the Rapporteur’s mandate was “unjustified and illegal action and a result of political trickery.”  Further, the work of the special rapporteur is “against the law” and “a clear evidence of the evil and hegemonic intentions of those who sponsor this scandalous theater.”  As the article reports, Iran has one of the worst human rights records in the world, as regularly documented by many international rights organizations.  Iran does not allow U.N. rapporteurs to visit the country for research and observation.  But the General Assembly in 2018 adopted a resolution condemning Iran’s violations of human rights, including unjustified arrests, torture of prisoners, and restrictions on speech freedom.

“Top Iranian Official:  Islamic Republic Did Hack Netanyahu Family Phones,” Zachary Keyser, Jerusalem Post, March 25, 2019

“New U.S. sanctions put spotlight on Iranian research institute,” Richard Stone, Science, March 25, 2019

“France bans Iran’s Mahan Air for flying arms, troops to Syria, elsewhere,” John Irish, Reuters, March 25, 2019

“Iran to cement ties with Lebanon, Hezbollah despite US pressure,” Middle East Monitor, March 25, 2019

“Massive Floods In Northern Iran Force Military Response,” Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, March 25, 2019

Mar. 24, 2019.  So which is it?  A successful economy, or a terrible economy?  In his Nowruz address the Leader said both.  It sounds patriotic and strong to cite the following headline, “Khamenei says Iran has successfully resisted U.S. sanctions,” Reuters, March 20, 2019.  But then there’s that other headline, “Iran struggling under reimposed sanctions, country’s leaders say,” AFP, Times of Israel, March 21, 2019.  “The economy is the country’s urgent problem, it’s the country’s (most) serious and primary problem,” the Leader  added, mentioning the devaluation of the national currency, the drop in purchasing power, and the fall in production as symptoms of the issue.  Sounds like it is the later, not the former.



“Iran: Who stole Torah scrolls from Tehran’s Jewish ghetto?,” Karmel Melamed, Arutz Sheva, March 24, 2019
“Iran Is One of the Unhappiest Countries In The World – Report,” Zachary Keyser, Jerusalem Post, March 24, 2019



“Syria, Iraq border reopening fuels fears of Iran ‘land corridor’,” Manuel Langendorf, The Arab Weekly, March 24, 2019

Mar. 23, 2019.  How does Iran avoid oil sanctions?  Lots of obfuscation.  Here is one example, revealed thanks to the work of Reuters reporters.  “Exclusive: How Iran fuel oil exports beat U.S. sanctions in tanker odyssey to Asia,” Roslan Khasawneh, Ahmed Rasheed, Ahmed Elumami, Reuters, March 20, 2019.

Mar. 22, 2019.  An Iranian dissident was sentenced to re-write three books word by word after calling the Ayatollah Ali Khamenei a despot and demanding a national protest to end his rule.  Abulfazl Ghadiani, 74, a founding member of the banned reformist Mujahedin of Islamic Revolution Organization, had already served several years for criticism of the Leader, accusing him of betraying the Revolution’s ideals in exchange for power and dictatorial rule.  The books Ghadiani was ordered to read and rewrite by hand are The Story of Winter by Saeed Akeff, and The Story of Sistan Province and How to Identify Your Enemy, both written by Khamenei.  Get out that writing pen and paper!  “Iranian dissident ordered to copy out books by Ayatollah Khamenei after branding Supreme Leader a despot,” Ahmed Vahdat, The Telegraph, March 19, 2019.


“U.S. Says Iran Poised to Resume Work on Nuclear Weapons,” Ian Talley, Wall Street Journal, March 22, 2019



Mar. 21, 2019.  Happy Nowruz!  As the Chaharshanbeh Soori festival was held prior to this year’s Nowruz celebrations, an announcement was made by the government that was not “fake news.”  “[Chaharshanbeh Soori] not only lacks a religious basis, it also brings about harm and misdeed.  It is advised that [the rituals] be refrained from.”  That is the text of a fatwa published by the official website of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in response to a religious question about Chaharshanbeh Soori, the ancient Iranian Festival of Fire held on the evening of the last Wednesday before Nowruz, the start of the Iranian New Year.  The festival is marked with bonfires set up with people gathering to jump over the flames and celebrate the arrival of spring.  It is not known if this fatwa will decrease the celebratory mood of the people ringing in the Iranian new year.  See “Iran’s Islamic authorities slowly embrace ancient Festival of Fire,” Zahra Alipour, Al Monitor, March 19, 2019.



“Is Tehran trying to distance Qasem Soleimani from Iraq?,” Omar Sattar, Al Monitor, March 21, 2019
“Revolutionary Guards drill into Iran’s gas potential,” Monavar Khalaj, Financial Times, March 21, 2019


“Iran turns to crypto to enable easier spending by tourists,” Maziar Motamedi, Al Monitor, March 21, 2019


“Is Tehran trying to distance Qasem Soleimani from Iraq?,” Omar Sattar, Al Monitor, March 21, 2019



Mar. 20, 2019.  Millions of Iranian viewers spent Monday night without “90,” a very popular soccer show hosted by Adel Ferdowsipour.  The debate-oriented program is/was quite different from conventional Iranian TV shows—it has uncovered rampant corruption, nepotism, mafias in the world of Iranian soccer, topics otherwise hidden from the common viewer.  This did put guests in the “hot seat,” making them address accusations and furious fans.  But since the Basij Organization’s Ali Foroughi, the hard-line director of national broadcaster’s Channel 3 took over in 2018, the word began circulating that Ferdowsipour should leave the show he created and ran.  The disagreement between Ferdowsipour and the state-sponsored channel became more apparent after the national broadcaster launched a rating competition for top programs via mobile phone messaging.  Only a few days into the polling, the minister of communications and information technology announced a manipulation of votes by the national broadcaster in favor of a rival show.  Hmm.  Speech (and the freedom to talk about soccer!) under attack in Iran.  “Iran’s state TV kills top-rated show,” Al-Monitor, March 19, 2019.


Mar. 20, 2019.  Iran’s president urged Iranians to put a curse on the U.S., Saudi Arabia, and Israel, repeating his long-standing charge the U.S. and allies are responsible for Iran’s poor economy.  According to “Iran’s Rouhani urges Iranians to ‘put all your curses’ on US,” AP, The News & Observer, March 18, 2019, Hassan Rouhani’s remarks were meant to deflect criticism of his administration’s performance during a spiraling economy after Pres. Trump in 2018 withdrew the U.S. from the JCPOA and re-imposed sanctions on Tehran, targeting the oil sector.  “Put all your curses on those who created the current situation,” adding that “the United States, the Zionists” and Saudi Arabia were to blame.  He did not say what kind of curses the Iranians should invoke.

“Iran Labor Leaders To Stand Trial In Revolutionary Courts,” Radio Farda, March 20, 2019


“Rouhani Promises Wage Increase For Public Servants Amid Protests,” Ilanit Chernick, Jerusalem Post, March 20, 2019








“Houthis Transfer Ballistic Missiles to Hodeidah in Trucks,” Saeed al-Abyad, Asharq Al-Awsat, March 20, 2019

Mar. 19, 2019.  Hezbollah’s weapons “endanger the stability of Lebanon and the region” according to UN Sec. Gen. Guterres.  It is an implicit reference to Iran when Guterres calls on member states to “carry out their duties” to not supply arms and military equipment to entities in Lebanon.  He also asked Lebanon’s government to take “all necessary measures” to disarm Hezbollah (supported by Iran) with the Taif Agreement and international resolutions.  Guterres also urged Hezbollah to “stop interfering in the Syrian war and other conflicts in the region,” and denounced the “movement of fighters and military equipment across the Lebanese-Syrian border.”  It is important that the United Nations and its head clearly call out those responsible for sectarianism and violence in the region.  See “UN Chief: Hezbollah Weapons Threaten Stability,” Ali Barada, Asharq Al-Awsat, March 19, 2019.

“Iranian Media Pushes Dutch, Jewish Spy Conspiracy,” Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, March 19, 2019






“U.S. Pressures Iraq Over Embrace of Militias Linked to Iran,” Edward Wong and Eric Schmitt, New York Times, March 19, 2019


Mar. 18, 2019.  Iran will meet to discuss “ways to combat terrorism” (!) – Reuters is reporting that the military chiefs of staff of Iran, Syria, and Iraq will hold a rare meeting in Damascus.  No further details have been released yet.  “Syrian, Iranian, Iraqi military chiefs to meet in Damascus: paper,” Reuters, March 18, 2019.


“Iran Hints at Using Foreign Militias in Domestic Crackdown,” Mehdi Jedinia and Sirwan Kajjo, VOA, March 18, 2019



“Iran and the future of the Afghanistan peace process,” Mohammed Al-Sulami, Arab News, March 18, 2019

“Iran-Backed Militias Step Up the Battle in Iraq,” Jonathan Spyer, Wall Street Journal, March 18, 2019



“Iran Building Two New Nuclear Plants,” Adam Kredo, Free Beacon, March 18, 2019

Mar. 17, 2019.  “If you were being threatened with a needle of hallucinogenic drugs [hovering] above your arm, you would also confess to whatever they wanted you to confess.”  A quote from Iranian environmentalist Niloufar Bayani in February before Iran’s Revolutionary Court, rejecting charges of “corruption on earth,” a nebulous allegation Iran often uses to prosecute Regime opponents.  “Iranian environmentalists ontrial: Tehran’s latest miscarriage of justice unusually self-defeating,” Tzvi Kahn, The Hill, March 16, 2019.

“Iran’s threats to BBC Persian staff must be confronted,” Roy Greenslade, The Guardian, March 17, 2019




“Hook Says Pressures On Iran Made Lebanese Hezbollah Call For Donations,” Radio Farda, March 16, 2019



“Pakistan Receives Warning From Iran Not To Join Saudi Proxy War,” Micha’el Tanchum, Jerusalem Post, March 16, 2019

Mar. 15, 2019.  Iran wants to continue financing terror groups like Hezbollah and Hamas.  This is most recently seen in the following article, helpful to quote from at length to explain why Iran is hesitating from joining the international body called the Financial Action Task Force.  Being part of FATF would open up the Regime for examination if not even prevent it from funding terror around the world, and would truly impact its strategy of spreading its Islamic Revolution.  “Joining FATF ‘Strategic Mistake,’ Iran Assembly Of Experts Warns,” Radio Farda, March 14, 2019.  “Iran’s Assembly of Experts has warned against Iran joining international financial transparency agreements aimed at curbing money laundering and terrorism funding, the Financial Action Task Force.  …  The bills would also pave the way for Iran to join the United Nations Convention Against Transnational Organized Crime (UNTOC), Combatting the Financing of Terrorism (CFT), and the United Nations Office of Drugs and Crimes.  So far, two of the four bills have been ratified, but the fate of the other two is still in limbo.  …  Adhering to rules for financial transparency would prevent Tehran from funding the Lebanese Hezbollah and Palestinian Hamas militant groups.  The bills have triggered a series of heated debates between parliament and the Guardian Council (GC), as well as the Expediency Discernment Council (EDC), which acts as the referee if a dispute occurs between parliament and the GC.  The AE’s statement joining the chorus of voices against the legislation is unprecedented, as the body’s constitutional mandate is only to supervise the Supreme Leader, not to comment on the particulars of government policy.  Now the fate of the bills is in the hand of the EDC, which has postponed the final decision until its next session in April. Two EDC members told local media March 1 that Khamenei had instructed them they could only pass the bills with a two-thirds majority, a condition that has no precedence.  …  Iran and North Korea are the only countries on the FATF blacklist.  …  Iran’s participation in the agreements has long been demanded by the FATF, which has asked Iran to strengthen its legal framework to guard against money laundering and financing terrorism. If Iran fails to comply with FATF demands, the watchdog can extend a blacklist on Iran, severely restricting its ability to have banking relations with the rest of the world.  …  Last month the FATF extended a February deadline it had given Iran to June.  The Paris-based FATF concluded its February meeting, saying that it “expects Iran to proceed swiftly in the reform path,” according to Reuters.  If the shortcomings are not remedied by June, currently suspended countermeasures would automatically kick in.  …  If countermeasures are reimposed, FATF members worldwide would be required to step up supervision of Iranian bank branches on their territory, including on-site inspections.  …  In the absence of compliance, the FATF called on its members to advise their banks to scrutinize all business with Iran, including obtaining information on reasons for proposed transactions, stepping up controls on sales and identifying patterns of operations for further scrutiny.”

Mar. 15, 2019.  No one is safe from detention under vague Iranian laws.  That is the conclusion of human rights lawyer and Amnesty International researcher on Iran, Raha Bahreini, who spoke about the current situation in Iran.  “There is ‘no light on the horizon’ in Iran,” DW Freedom, March 15, 2019.

“The changing face of Iran,” Walter Posch, International Politics and Society, March 15, 2019


“Pro-Hezbollah and Iran Media Celebrate Rockets Over Tel Aviv,” Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, March 15, 2019

“U.S. Navy veteran held in Iran sentenced to 10 years in prison, lawyers say,” Melissa Etehad, San Diego Union Tribune, March 14, 2019
“Iran Is Mastering the Final Frontier,” Kevijn Lim, Gil Baram, FP, March 14, 2019



Mar. 13, 2019.  Iraq’s main Ayatollah has told Iran to respect Iraq’s sovereignty and not interfere in its internal politics.  It is helpful to quote most of the Reuters story below.  “Iraq’s top Shi’ite cleric tells Rouhani ties must respect sovereignty,” Reuters, March 13, 2019.  “Iraq’s top Shi’ite cleric told Iranian President Hassan Rouhani on Wednesday that Iraqi sovereignty must be respected and weapons kept in state hands, a veiled reference to increasingly influential Iran-backed militias.  It was the first meeting between an Iranian president and the 88-year-old Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, who rarely weighs in on politics but exerts wide influence over Iraqi public opinion.  Sistani welcomed “any steps to strengthen Iraq’s relations with its neighbours … based on respect for the sovereignty of the countries and no interference in domestic affairs”, a statement from his office said.  “The most important challenges facing Iraq are fighting corruption, improving services and keeping weapons in the hands of the state and its security services,” it added.  The meeting came on the third day of a visit by Rouhani to Iraq which aimed to project Iran’s political and economic dominance in Baghdad and expand commercial ties to help offset renewed U.S. sanctions meant to isolate and weaken Tehran.  …  Sistani’s comments will chime with the concerns of many Iraqis that powerful Shi’ite militias, which are increasing their military and political influence after the defeat of Sunni Muslim extremist group Islamic State (IS), remain subservient to their Iranian patrons.  …  Since the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq that toppled dictator Saddam Hussein in 2003, Iran has come to dominate Iraqi politics through allies in the government and parliament and has built up considerable influence over parts of the security forces.  Dozens of mainly Iran-backed paramilitary groups which played a key role in defeating IS in 2017 were brought formally into the security forces last year.  Critics say they have also begun to control parts of the economy. The groups deny this.  Iran is striving to shore up control of a corridor of territory from Tehran through Iraq and Syria to Lebanon where it holds sway through allies including those militias.”

Mar. 13, 2019.  Another sign the Supreme Leader won’t change—he has ensured hardline Iranian cleric Ebrahim Raisi was elected as deputy chief of the Assembly of Experts, responsible for choosing the country’s next Leader.  He won the job less than a week after appointed head of the judiciary, by the Leader.  “Hardline Iranian Cleric Gets Powerful Position Days After He Is Tapped Head of Judiciary,” Reuters, March 12, 2019.


Mar. 13, 2019.  The Supreme Leader will never agree to diplomatic relations with the U.S., according to a new article by a Brookings expert, Kenneth Pollack.  Khomeini and Khamenei and their successors will not allow an end to Iranian-American conflict.  Pollack writes, “Of the seven American presidents to serve since the Iranian revolution, at least four and arguably five wanted an end to the hostilities with Iran and made real efforts to bring that about.  In most cases, they paid a considerable political price to do so.  And while there certainly have been many Iranians, many Iranian officials, and at least three Iranian presidents who seemed to want the same, the Iranian regime as a whole and its two supreme leaders—Iran’s equivalent to the American president—have never shown the least interest.  Instead, they have systematically shut down every effort toward meaningful peace between the two countries.”  What the Brookings article does not say is this—that Iran’s Revolution is partly based on opposing the Great Satan, and to make peace destroys an important underlying rationale for 1979.  See “America’s torch song for Tehran,” Kenneth Pollack, Brookings, March 8, 2019.


Mar. 13, 2019.  The Qods Force commander winning Iran’s most prestigious award, the Order of Zulfiqar, augurs poorly for peace.  Qods/Quds is sworn to take The Revolution to other countries, and retake Jerusalem by force.  In short, the Supreme Leader is not willing to allow his territory and people to act as other countries, not focused on peaceful relations and trade but instead bent on regional dominance.  This we learn from the Fars News Agency, that “Soleimani Receives Iran’s Highest Military Medal From Khamenei,” Radio Farda, March 11, 2019.  The IRGC Qods Force head Qassem Soleimani is the first commander to be awarded Iran’s highest award after the 1979 Islamic Revolution.  That the Leader is willing to resurrect a medal, coined in 1921, associated with the militaristic rule of the Shah, and given to those exhibiting the greatest acts of Patriotism, reveals the Leader will continue the Regime’s push against its neighbors including Saudi Arabia and Israel and against the United States, influential in the Middle East.  Major General Soleimani leads Iran’s military operations in Syria, Iraq, and Yemen—in essence controlling foreign policy for Iran in those countries also.  FM Javad Zarif has now said that Soleimani is the man who made the Middle East safe, further showing how Iran tries to reshape reality.

“IRIAF Commander reportedly fired after he kept secret that Israeli F-35 stealth fighters had violated Iran Airspace,” Dario Leone, The Aviation Geek Club, March 13, 2019.







“Iran’s ‘Road to the Sea’ Exposed on Golan – Analysis,” Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, March 13, 2019

“Iran’s oil tanker fleet being squeezed as sanctions bite,” Jonathan Saul, Parisa Hafezi, Reuters, March 13, 2019

“Expert: N. Korea Summit Shows Need To Stop Iran From Getting Nukes,” Yonah Jeremy Bob, Jerusalem Post, March 13, 2019



“Did Iran ever stop funding Hamas?,” Ahmad Abu Amer, Al Monitor, March 12, 2019


“Fears About Iran Stop Assad Taking More Prominence in Arab World,” Henry Meyer, Ladane Nasseri, and Fiona MacDonald, Bloomberg, March 12, 2019

“Iran Threatens to Use Foreign Fighters against Its Own People,” Raman Ghavami, Fair Observer, March 12, 2019

“UN Expert Slams Iran’s Rights Record in 1st Report to Geneva Council,” Michael Lipin and Ramin Haghjoo, VOA, March 12, 2019








“Iran Tries to Expand Business in Iraq to Blunt U.S. Sanctions,” Alissa Rubin, New York Times, March 11, 2019
“Human rights violations on the rise in Iran,” Majid Rafizadeh, Arab News, March 10, 2019

“Iran-backed Houthis commit 41 violations within 24 hours,” Mohamed Zain Sun, Egypt Today, March 10, 2019


Mar. 8, 2019.  Give credit to Iran for fighting pirates.  Although we don’t know much from public sources, this story based on Iranian media claims that Iranian naval forces shot at and broke up an attack by 11 speedboats on an Iranian oil tanker in the Gulf of Aden.  International law calls on all countries to oppose piracy.  See “Iranian navy thwarts pirate attack on oil tanker: state TV,” Reuters, March 8, 2019.


“Iranian-backed hackers stole data from major U.S. government contractor,” Dan De Luce and Courtney Kube, NBC, March 8, 2019





Mar. 6, 2019.  “Duplicitous” is the word coming to mind when reading what Iran’s Judiciary Chief Ayatollah Sadegh Amoli Larijani said Monday about Syrian President Bashar Assad’s visit to Tehran.  He implied Assad’s trip is symbolic of Middle East countries’ wanting Iran’s government to be active and a leader in regional relations.  “The most significant message of Assad’s meeting with leader of Islamic Revolution was tendency of regional countries and nations, including Iraq, Syria and Lebanon for effective participation of Iran in regional affairs.”  Instead, we must remember that Iran significantly influences political decisions in those very states, and their leaders then coming to visit Tehran is a sign of control.  Countries don’t normally act this way, including countries wanting to make a positive difference, often seen in rising personal income and freedom measurements.  “Assad’s visit to Tehran proof of regional countries’ tendency for Iran’s participation in regional affairs,” March 4, 2019.

“Iran says no chance of negotiations, compromise with US,” AP, Washington Post, March 6, 2019










“Revolutionary Guards commander flexes political muscle,” Babak Dehghanpisheh, Reuters, March 5, 2019

“Dutch Recall Envoy From Iran in Murder Plot Row,” Agence France-Presse, VOA, March 4, 2019


“UAE Slams Iran’s Ongoing Occupation of its 3 Islands,” Asharq al-Awsat, March 4, 2019


Mar. 3, 2019.  “Iran hails chess player who refused to face Israeli.”  The title of the story says it all—and is the latest example of anti-Semitism that extends all the way to the top of Iran’s Regime and is an anchor in its Revolution.  Story recorded by Toi Staff in Times of Israel, March 2, 2019.

Mar. 3, 2019.  Hmmm, blackmail.  “Behavior of Europeans will affect the council’s decision since we are not satisfied with their performance on JCPOA,” said Expediency Council Secretary Mohsen Rezaeihe.  Interpretation—The EU countries won’t/can’t pay Iran enough money or through trade to convince Iran to comply with the nuclear deal.  “Iran: Europe’s Behavior Will Influence Expediency Council’s Decision on FATF,” Adil Al Salmi, Asharq al-Awsat, March 3, 2019.

“Iran, Hezbollah Commanding Forces Located Along Golan Border – Report,” Tzvi Joffre, Jerusalem Post, March 3, 2019


“Iran and Armenia propose gas transit to Georgia,” David O’Byrne, Eurasianet, March 1, 2019

“Islamic Jihad shows off tunnels, rocket workshop on Iran TV,” Toi Staff, Times of Israel, March 1, 2019

“Tracking Iran’s cyberterrorism,” Jennifer Bell, Arab News, March 1, 2019


“UN Urges Iran To End Child Executions,” Radio Farda, February 28, 2019

Feb. 28, 2019.  The Supreme Leader imposed his will and reinstated the Foreign Minister, after FM Zarif had resigned.  It did not matter that President Rouhani had refused to accept the resignation, which would have normally in Iran’s system kept the FM in his position.  The key moment in the drama was the Leader Khamenei’s decision to keep Zarif in his figurehead role as maybe the only person able to maintain Iran’s relationship with Europe.  As reported, the FM had not been included in the recent visit to Tehran by Pres. Assad of Syria, an unusual move by any country to bar its chief diplomat from involvement.  But the Leader ultimately makes all key political decisions in Iran’s Revolutionary and authoritarian system, and in the process protects his power.  The Leader has either direct or indirect control over the executive, legislative, and judicial branches of government, and the military and media.  See “UPDATED:  Iran’s supreme leader rejects resignation of Foreign Minister Javad Zarif,” D. Parvaz, Think Progress, February 25, 2019 and “Iran’s Rouhani rejects resignation of foreign minister Zarif: IRNA,” Reuters, February 27, 2019.

Feb. 28, 2019.  The human rights situation in Iran has “severely deteriorated” according to Amnesty International in a Feb. 26 report titled “Human Rights in The Middle East and North Africa: Review of 2018.”  “AI outlined state restrictions imposed on the freedoms of Iranians, including freedom of expression, assembly, association, and religion.  The report also catalogues instances of the state using excessive violent force against protestors and detainees, suppressing the media, and carrying out arbitrary arrests and inhumane punishments.”  See “Myriad Human Rights Abuses In Iran Highlighted By Amnesty International,” Radio Farda, February 28, 2019.



Feb. 26, 2019.  Mike Pompeo is right—Iran “must behave like a normal country and respect its people.”  He made these comments in response to the news that Iran Minister of Foreign Affairs Javad Zarif announced his resignation yesterday.  The U.S. Secretary of State Pompeo tweeted Monday evening: “We note [Zarif’s] resignation.  We’ll see if it sticks.  Either way, he and [Iran President] @HassanRouhani are just front men for a corrupt religious mafia.  We know [Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei] makes all final decisions.  Our policy is unchanged — the regime must behave like a normal country and respect its people.”  “Iran Foreign MinisterJavad Zarif resigns,” Samuel Chamberlain, Fox News, February 25, 2019.  See also the NYT story, that “Mohammad Javad Zarif, Iran’s Foreign Minister, SaysHe Is Resigning,” Ben Hubbard and David Sanger, New York Times, February 25, 2019.  Here’s what readers of this blog and Iran news should note—the nature of the meeting and who was present, including one of the world’s most dangerous men, Qassim Suleimani, the commander of the Quds Force of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps.  NYT says the following:  “Mr. Zarif’s resignation announcement came the same day as President Bashar al-Assad of Syria met with Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and other top officials during a surprise visit to Tehran.  Iran has played a critical role in supporting Mr. Assad and propping up his government since Syria’s civil war started in 2011.  Along with providing funds to keep Mr. Assad afloat, Iran has provided supplies and militia fighters to back up his troops in battles against rebels seeking his ouster.  The visit was Mr. Assad’s first publicly disclosed trip to the Iranian capital since 2010, and photos released by Iranian and Syrian state news agencies showed him chatting not only with the ayatollah but other Iranian officials, including Qassim Suleimani, the commander of the elite Quds Force of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps.  He also met with Mr. Rouhani.  Mr. Khamenei praised Mr. Assad for strengthening the ties between Iran, Syria and the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah, the largest forces in a regional alliance that opposes the United States and Israel and refers to itself as “the axis of resistance.”  “The Islamic Republic of Iran sees helping Syria’s government and nation as support for the resistance movement and is deeply proud of doing it,” Mr. Khamenei said.”

Feb. 26, 2019.  This picture explains the misery in Syria—Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei gave a warm welcome yesterday to Syrian President Bashar Assad.  During the unannounced trip to Tehran they further discussed the billions of dollars of aid from Iran, reconstruction of certain parts of Syria, Turkey’s efforts to set up a buffer zone in northern Syria, ISIS, and the U.S. troop withdrawal from much of Syria.  This is only the third trip abroad by Assad since the civil war against him broke out in 2011—the other two trips were to Russia.  See “Syria’s Assad visits Iran in rare trip abroad,” Nasser Karimi and Albert Aji, AP, February 25, 2019.

“Rouhani Mounts Strong Defense of FATF Bills,” Financial Tribune, February 26, 2019


“Mystery Surrounds Mohammad Javad Zarif’s ‘Resignation’,” Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, February 26, 2019


“Syria’s Assad Visits Tehran, Looking to Cement Ties,” Aresu Eqbali and Sune Engel Rasmussen, Wall Street Journal, February 25, 2019


 “Rouhani faces calls to resign over Iran’s economic crisis,” Nasser Karimi| Associated Press, The Daily Star, February 25, 2019



“Venezuela Ex-Spy Chief Reveals Maduro’s Ties to Hezbollah, Drugs,” Hagay Hacohen, Jerusalem Post, February 24, 2019


“Iran questions Iraq’s promise to import oil despite sanctions,” Adnan Abu Zeed, Al Monitor, February 24, 2019



“FATF Gives Iran Until June To Comply With Anti-Terror Financial Oversight,” Yonah Jeremy Bob, Jerusalem Post, February 24, 2019

“IRGC General Soleimani Says Roots Of Wahhabism Are Jewish, Linked To ISIS,” Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, February 22, 2019

Feb. 21, 2019.  Iranians are acting against the Supreme Leader’s policies, and today’s news has two such stories.  But at least 271 protests occurred country-wide during January, according to Iran News Wire.  For example, a group attacked a morality police van in the East Tehran neighborhood of Narmak on Feb. 15, ripping off one door of the vehicle to rescue two young women arrested for “improperly” wearing a compulsory headscarf.  Officers fired shots into the air to disperse the crowd, and the state-owned IRNA news agency carried the story.  “Iranians attack police after women detained for wearing hijabs ‘improperly’,” Tamara Qiblawi, CNN, February 20, 2019.  See also “Angry Iranians Tear Down Image Of Iranian Forces Killed In Syria –Report,” Tzvi Joffre, Jerusalem Post, February 19, 2019.





Feb. 20, 2019.  The U.S. is saving Iran’s Embassy in Washington, D.C.—for Iran.  The State Department has been maintaining it 40 years under the Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations and in hopes the two countries will restore diplomatic relations.  It is time for Iran to not act as a revolutionary cause, but like a normal state.  



Feb. 19, 2019.  Iran too quickly blamed its Gulf neighbors and the U.S. after the deadly attack on the IRGC.  This habit needs to stop in order to foster better relations with countries of the region.  Waiting for just a day or two or three to investigate and gather evidence is a wiser foreign policy decision, especially in the high-tension Middle East.  See “Iran Suicide Bombing Kills 27 Revolutionary Guards,” Thomas Erdbrink, New York Times, February 13, 2019, “Iran threatens retaliation against Saudi Arabia and UAE over car bombing that killed 27,” AP, The Japan Times, February 16, 2019, and “Iran points to Pakistan after deadly attack on Guard,” AP, Miami Herald, February 17, 2019.  Shortly, Iran found militants in the cities of Saravan and Khash with the group Jaish al Adl (Army of Justice), which had already claimed responsibility for the IRGC bombing, as recorded in “Iran Arrests Militants Linked to Suicide Bombing Near Pakistan Border,” Reuters, February 18, 2019.



“Chinese and Iranian Hackers Renew Their Attacks on U.S. Companies,” Nicole Perlroth, New York Times, February 18, 2019





“Rouhani to unveil Fateh submarine Sunday,” Mehr News Agency, February 16, 2019


“Iran’s Teachers Denounce Suppression of Rights in Biggest Protests in Months,” Michael Lipin and Arash Sigarchi, VOA, February 15, 2019

“Paraguay Is a Fiscal Paradise for Terrorists,” Emanuele Ottolenghi, FP, February 14, 2019

“Iran-linked terrorist group warns of more attacks in Bahrain,” Ismaeel Naar, Al Arabiya, February 14, 2019


Feb. 12, 2019.  Bloomberg also carries another piece calling for the Regime to change and bring prosperity to the people of Iran.  The first paragraph captures these facts well—“Given how Iran’s economy has fared in the 40 years since the Islamic Revolution, it’s reasonable for Iranians to wonder whether they might be more prosperous had the revolution never taken place.  Iran’s average annual growth in gross domestic product for the years 1961-78 was 8.86 percent, or more than three times higher than the 2.44-percent average for 1980-2017.”  See “Investors Have Always Struggled in Iran:  Whether the ruler in Tehran has worn a turban or a crown, the business climate has remained awful,” Esfandyar Batmanghelidj, Bloomberg, February 12, 2019.



Feb. 11, 2019.  The editorial board of Bloomberg got it right in its “Iran’s 40 Years of Isolation—It’s time leaders of the Islamic Republic looked for ways to rejoin the world,” Bloomberg, February 11, 2019.  The board wrote that “Forty years since the Islamic Revolution toppled Iran’s monarchy, the country has little to celebrate.  The theocracy has endured, but it has failed miserably to live up to the enormous potential of Iran’s resources, human as well as petrochemical.  There’s been little political progress: Voters elect a president and parliament every four years, but real power still rests with a clerical clique led by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.  Iran’s adventurous foreign policy has bought influence in the Middle East from Syria to Yemen, but at great cost in lives and treasure — at a time when the regime can ill afford it. It has also provoked lasting Arab hatred for Tehran.  At the celebrations today, the regime’s leaders will doubtless blame foreign enemies — especially the U.S. — for their isolation.  But the Iranian people have grown increasingly dissatisfied with their rulers’ corruption and mismanagement.  Young Iranians are especially anxious about falling behind the rest of the world.  What’s perhaps most distressing is that they cannot reasonably expect things to get better.  The U.S. and most Arab states have lately become even more hostile, all but ensuring that Iran will remain marooned from the global flow of commercial and social development.  Iran’s leaders should use the anniversary to take a hard look at the dead end into which they’ve led their people, and consider turning toward normal interaction with the world.  They might start by releasing political prisoners and allowing Iranians greater freedom of expression.  Opening negotiations with the U.S. for a new nuclear-arms deal — by accepting restrictions on missile development and renouncing hostile behavior in the region, pledging especially not to threaten Israel’s security — would loosen the economic straitjacket in which Iran finds itself.  Curtailing support for wars in Syria and Yemen would demonstrate a commitment to ending bloodshed in the Middle East.  None of this would be easy.  Lacking any legitimate mandate from their people, Iran’s leaders attach great pride and prestige to what they regard as perseverance.  Perhaps they might draw inspiration from the Islamic Republic’s founding cleric Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, who in 1988 found himself in similar circumstances.  After eight years of a pointless and costly war with Iraq, he realized that the stalemate was damaging his people’s future, and agreed to negotiate a truce.  Famously, he likened it to drinking from a ‘cup of poison.’”

Feb. 10, 2019.  The New York Times is reflecting on the past, present, and future of Iran.  Long-time writer Thomas Erdbrink pens, “Iran’s leaders face a growing dilemma of whether to start translating the social changes into new laws and customs or try to hang on to the 40-year-old ideals of the revolution.”  See “The Iran Revolution at 40: From Theocracy to ‘Normality’,” Thomas Erdbrink, February 10, 2019.

“Zarif In Lebanon Meets Hezbollah Leader Nasrallah. Pledges Support,” Radio Farda, February 11, 2019





“Iran’s Central Bank Announces Unprecedented Budget Deficit,” Radio Farda, Dalga Khatinoglu, Radio Farda, February 11, 2019

“Iran To Boost Nuclear Activities, Uranium Enrichment,” Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, February 11, 2019


“Iran’s Central Bank Announces Unprecedented Budget Deficit,” Dalga Khatinoglu, Radio Farda, February 11, 2019

Feb. 10, 2019.  As Iran turns 40, a grim story appears, indicating again that Iran during its first three decades after the Shah did not turn toward a country at peace with itself or others.  Reported in “Watchdog: Revolutionary Iran jails 1.7 million in 30 years,” by ABC and AP, February 7, 2019, Reporters Without Borders reveals that 1.7 million people, around Tehran alone, were detained in Evin Prison, jailed, and sometimes executed in the first 30 years after the 1979 Iranian Revolution.  These included regime opponents, Baha’is, other religious minorities, and journalists.  RWB said its information was based on a confidential file of judicial proceedings obtained by whistleblowers.


“Iran FM extends support for new Lebanese government,” Zeina Karam, AP, Washington Post, February 10, 2019
“The day that changed Iran forever,” Caline Malek, Arab News, February 10, 2019

Feb. 9, 2018.  The theme of this blog is that Iran’s regime is refusing to join the community of nations, in how it operates and treats its people and the people and leaders of other regional and world countries.  This point comes to the forefront again when Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei called for the literal death of another country’s top political leadership.  Simply put, there is no other country in the world who does such a thing, and not enough other countries are calling him out and holding the Supreme Leader and his regime accountable.  In “‘Death to America’ Means ‘Death to Trump,’ Iran’s Supreme Leader Says,” Thomas Erdbrink, New York Times, February 8, 2019, this is recorded for the world to see.  When Iran uses the slogan “Death to America,” the country’s supreme leader said it is specifically wishing death on President Trump and two of his senior officials.  He said, “‘Death to America’ means death to Trump and John Bolton and Pompeo,” referring to the President, John Bolton, the national security adviser, and Mike Pompeo, secretary of state.  But the Leader went further—he said it means to whomever the president, national security adviser, and secretary of state are in the future—“It means death to American leaders, who happen to be these people at this time,” he added.  And just so we know this will continue as a regular part of Iran’s statements and policies, “Death to America” will remain part of Iran’s official discourse, Khamenei’s website, Khamenei.ir, quoted him as saying, until the United States changed its “evil and mean” ways.

“Iran showcases massive UNDERGROUND missile factory, with new rockets & warheads galore (VIDEOS),” RT, February 9, 2019

Feb. 8, 2019.  In the category of “Are any countries openly threatening sinking other countries’ ships today?”, Iranian state media IRINN released an animated video Feb. 1 showing one of the country’s Ghadir-class submarines sinking an American aircraft carrier and four accompanying ships.  “Iran airs animation showing its submarine sinking a US aircraft carrier,” Toi Staff, Times of Israel, February 6, 2019.

Feb. 8, 2019.  Iran won’t have to worry whether its sponsored terror group Hezbollah will back it in case of war (does Hezbollah have a choice?).  The Associated Press is reporting in “Hezbollah leader says in event of war, Iran won’t be alone,” AP, February 6, 2019, that Hassan Nasrallah says the Islamic Republic is the strongest state in the region, and the so-called axis of resistance led by Iran is the strongest it has ever been.  The axis is comprised of the Syrian government of President Bashar Assad, Shiite militias in Iraq, and Hezbollah.  Nasrallah, the head of Hezbollah, made his comments at a rally marking the 40th Anniversary of the Iranian Revolution.  Hezbollah dominates the politics and military of Lebanon.

“Europe not to be trusted: Iran leader,” AFP, Daily Mail, February 8, 2019
“Iran to Propose Providing Air Defense System to Lebanese Army,” Khalil Fuleihan, Asharq Al-Awsat, February 8, 2019

“Iran Builds New Secret Missile Site In Syria For Hezbollah,” Hagay Hacohen, Jerusalem Post, February 7, 2019

“What does Iran want in Afghanistan?,” Maysam Behravesh, Al Jazeera, February 6, 2019

“Iran to Increase Range of Land-to-Sea Missiles,” Anna Ahronheim, Jerusalem Post, February 6, 2019

“Iran ready to help rebuild Syria: Zarif,” The Daily Star, February 5, 2019



“Iranian Lawyers Condemn Tehran’s Jailing of Colleague, Demand Release,” Michael Lipin and Shahram Bahraminejad, VOA, February 5, 2019


“Iran’s first president says Khomeini betrayed 1979 Islamic revolution,” John Irish and Michaela Cabrera, Reuters, February 4, 2019


“Yemen: Triple Terrorist Threat under Iranian Cover,” Emile Amin, Asharq al-Awsat, February 4, 2019


“President: Iran Ready to Invest in Africa,” Tasnim News Agency, February 2, 2019

“Iran displays new long-range missile,” The Week, February 2, 2019


“Could Iran’s Missiles Do the Unthinkable: Sink a U.S. Navy Aircraft Carrier?,” Sebastien Roblin, National Interest, February 2, 2019

“Maduro’s Bid to Fly Gold Out of Venezuela Is Blocked,” Patricia Laya, Bloomberg, February 1, 2019

“Iran begins marking 40th anniversary of Islamic Revolution,” Nasser Karimi, AP, The Spokesman-Review, February 1, 2019

“Iran Slams U.S. Over Venezuela. Secretly, Some May Be Relieved,” Golnar Motevalli  and Ladane Nasseri, Bloomberg, January 31, 2019

“Nearly All Of Iran’s Advanced Nuke Centrifuges Failing, Top Expert Reveals,” Yonah Jeremy Bob, Jerusalem Post, January 30, 2019

“Iran bans dogs from riding in cars and public walks in Tehran,” Shirzad Bozormehr and Eliza Mackintosh, CNN, January 30, 2019
“Iran Wants to Improve its Missile Accuracy, Not Range,” Adil Al-Salmi, Asharq Al-Awsat, January 30, 2019



Jan. 29, 2019.  Someone needs to tell FM Zarif that it has happened again—another Iranian official has declared their country will destroy Israel.  Javad Zarif recently gave an interview in December with the French magazine Le Point in which he claimed that no officials in Iran have ever made such threats.  “When did we ever say that we were going to destroy Israel?  Show me one person who made such a statement.  No one said such things.”  See “Zarif: We never said Israel should be destroyed,” Elad Benari, Arutz Sheva, December 24, 2018.  However, on January 21, 2019, the latest such comment was reported.  The commander of Iran’s air force, Brigadier Aziz Nasirzadeh, said Iran will “eliminate Israel from the Earth” in a fiery statement to the Young Journalist Club.  “The young people are impatient and fully ready to battle the Zionist regime and make them vanish from the Earth,” Nasirzadeh said.  “Our next generation with the knowledge necessary to learn their strengths are the promised ones who will destroy Israel.”  See “Iran air force chief threatens to make Israel ‘vanish from earth’,” Al-Arabiya January 21, 2019.

“Houthis Attack UN Demining Team in Hodeidah,” Asharq Al-Awsat, January 29, 2019

“Iran’s Cyber Spies Looking to Get Personal,” Jeff Seldin, VOA, January 29, 2019

“How Bitcoin Could Help Iran Undermine U.S. Sanctions,” Thomas Erdbrink, New York Times, January 29, 2019

“U.S. Ramps Up Huawei Fight With Iran, Trade-Secret Charges,” Patricia Hurtado  and Chris Strohm, Bloomberg, January 28, 2019


“Iran inches closer to unveiling state-backed cryptocurrency,” Maziar Motamedi, Al Jazeera, January 27, 2019


“Iran Publicly Hangs Man On Homosexuality Charges,” Benjamin Weinthal, Jerusalem Post, January 26, 2019




“The Cold War between Iran and the Arab World,” Kourosh Ziabari and Nader Hashemi, Fair Observer, January 25, 2019



“Iran Regime Divided Over Bill To Combat Terror Financing,” Iran News Update, Poorang Novak, January 25, 2019

“Rouhani’s Comments On Hijab, Censorship Draw Ire Of Ayatollahs,” Radio Farda, January 25, 2019

Jan. 24, 2019.  Interesting and telling comparison.  It is not good to detain and imprison persons for political views.  Amnesty International tells us 113 persons had this happen to them in 2018 in Egypt.  See “Amnesty says Egypt detained 113 in 2018 for their views, Hamza Hendawi, AP, Washington Post, January 24, 2019.   In contrast “Iran arrested 7,000 dissidents in ‘year of shame’, says Amnesty,” Mattha Busby, The Guardian, January 23, 2019.


Jan. 24, 2019.  In the past, Iran has used the anniversary of the country’s founding, Feb. 11, 1979 for controversial acts such as ballistic missile tests and satellite launches as reminder of the power (if not threat) of the Revolution.  The timing of these launch attempts this year in 2019 is likely also tied to negotiations with Europe regarding continued purchases of Iranian oil.  And this year will be the 40th anniversary of the Islamic Revolution on Feb. 11.  For example, see “Rouhani Pressures Europe to Continue Oil Trade with Iran,” Critical Threats.org, January 23, 2019.

“Iran and the headscarf protests,” Suzanne Maloney and Eliora Katz, Brookings, January 24, 2019










“Iran Funds Homes in Gaza,” Asharq Al-Awsat, January 18, 2019



“Iran: Unrelenting Repression,” Human Rights Watch, January 17, 2019

“Iranian ambassador claims Free Nazanin campaign is ‘unhelpful’,” Patrick Wintour, The Guardian, January 16, 2019

“New research shows how Iranian hackers have collaborated to become one of the world’s most fearsome hacking forces,” Kate Fazzini, NBC, January 16, 2019

“Rocket failure dooms Iranian satellite launch,” AP, NBC, January 15, 2019

Jan. 14, 2019.  Just after the news of the latest American hostage (Michael White) being taken by Iran (See “Iran is at it again: Another American has been taken by the regime,” Jason Rezaian, Washington Post, January 14, 2019), Lebanon’s PM-designate Hariri sent a message to Iran Pres. Rouhani calling for the release of Nizar Zakka, a Lebanese citizen detained in Iran.  More countries around the world simply must insist that Iran give up its long practice of taking hostages, and tie their foreign policy decisions to such.  See “Hariri demands Zakka’s release in message to Rouhani,” Daily Star, January 15, 2019.


“Death of an electrician: how luck run out for dissident who fled Iran in 1981,” Daniel Boffey, Martin Chulov, The Guardian, January 14, 2019


“Navy veteran from San Diego has been imprisoned in Iran, authorities there confirm,” Melissa Etehad, Herald-Mail, Los Angeles Times, January 10, 2019

Jan. 10, 2019.  Iran’s refusal to join the community of nations, international law, human rights, etc., is seen a recent strong statement by the main diplomat of Iran.  In response to Secretary of State Pompeo’s speech in Cairo, Foreign Minister of Iran Javad Zarif tweeted that, “The day Iran … become[s] a ‘normal’ country is the day hell freezes over.”  The quote and related story can be found at “Iran Slams Pompeo’s Middle East Speech, Says It Will ‘Mimic’ U.S. Human Rights Model ‘When Hell Freezes Over,” Jason Lemon, Newsweek, January 10, 2019.  Secretary Pompeo’s speech is at “Full Text:  Mike Pompeo’s Cairo Speech on Mideast Policy and Obama,” Haaretz, January 11, 2019.

“Iran Judge Says Going To Islamic Prison Reduces Punishment ‘In Afterlife’,” Radio Farda, January 9, 2019

“Exclusive: New documents link Huawei to suspected front companies in Iran, Syria,” Steve Stecklow, Babak Dehghanpisheh, James Pomfret, Reuters, January 8, 2019

“E.U. Imposes Sanctions on Iran Over Assassination Plots,” Michael Schwirtz and Ronen Bergman, New York Times, January 8, 2019


“Iran arrests demographers, the latest target amid an escalating crackdown on academics and activists,” Melissa Etehad and Ramin Mostaghim, Los Angeles Times, January 7, 2019


“Ebrahim Raisi: The cleric who could end Iranian hopes for change,” Saeid Golkar op-ed, Al Jazeera, January 5, 2019

“Iran’s boat people — and why they’re coming to Britain,” Sohrab Ahmari, The Spectator, January 5, 2019


“Tehran the master of fake news in Mideast,” Hussain Abdul-Hussain, Asia Times, January 4, 2019



Jan. 4, 2019.  This op-ed in Al Arabiya discusses a recent seminar at Westminster University in London advocating the return of Iran in the role of a nation-state as an important need for Middle East stability and peace.  Iran’s actions since 1979, instead as a revolutionary state, are harming the region and relations among states and prosperity.  It was also noted that, compared to other 20th Century revolutions, the Khomeinist Revolution can be considered a failure across a number of measures of “successful” revolutions.  The article is at “Iran’s schizophrenia heats up the debate,” Amir Taheri, Al Arabiya, January 4, 2019.

Jan. 3, 2019.  Using their banking sector to support terrorism and Hezbollah and crime and money laundering would be at risk if Iran adopts transparent international financial standards.  So it is no surprise the Guardian Council has again refused to meet the standards of the international Financial Action Task Force (FATF).  See “Iran Banking Reform Blocked for Second Time by Clerical Council,” Golnar Motevalli, Bloomberg, January 1, 2019.








“Iran bans Instagram – where the president has 2 million followers,” James Titcomb, Technology Intelligence, The Telegraph, January 2, 2019

“Rouhani: Palestinians Must Resist The Israeli Regime,” Yevette J. Deane, Jerusalem Post, January 2, 2019


“Iran Banking Reform Blocked for Second Time by Clerical Council,” Golnar Motevalli, Bloomberg, January 1, 2019