We will see how Tehran reacts. “Israel took out primary Iranian air defenses, left it ‘essentially naked’ – report,” Times of Israel, 10-30-24. “Sources tell Fox News airstrikes destroyed remaining three S-300 batteries; Israeli official says ‘majority of Iran’s air defense was taken out’. … The four Russian-made S-300 air defense systems that Israel has reportedly destroyed in strikes on Iran this year — one in April, and three this past weekend — had been the only such systems possessed by the Islamic Republic as of the beginning of this year. … The tally matched that of a Wall Street Journal report on Sunday that said all of Iran’s S-300s are now out of action. … US President Joe Biden’s senior Mideast adviser Amos Hochstein was also cited as saying on an internal call that “Iran is essentially naked” and vulnerable to potential future aerial attacks. Israel has previously been reported to have also taken out other air defenses surrounding key energy facilities, as well as hitting drone-production sites and key long-range missile-production facilities containing solid fuel mixers that will take at least a year to replace, hampering Iran’s ability to repeat its two missile attacks on Israel this year. However, Iran has attempted to downplay the damage caused by the airstrikes, and on Wednesday local media cited Defense Minister Aziz Nasirzadeh as saying missile production has not been disrupted. “The enemy has sought to hurt both our defensive and offensive systems but was not very successful because we had made arrangements and were in the know,” he said. … Two American researchers told Reuters last week that Israeli airstrikes hit buildings that Iran used for mixing solid fuel for ballistic missiles and that this “may have significantly hampered Iran’s ability to mass produce missiles.” The attacks on the air defenses caused “deep alarm” in Iran, The New York Times has reported, citing three unnamed Iranian officials — one from the country’s oil ministry — since it rendered defenseless Khuzestan Province’s Abadan oil refinery, Bandar Imam Khomeini petrochemical complex and an adjacent major port, as well as the Tange Bijar gas field in the Ilam Province. The S-300 has a range of up to 200 kilometers (125 miles) and the capability to track down and strike multiple targets simultaneously. It is considered one of the most potent air defense weapons in the world and can be used to shoot down missiles as well as aircraft. Israel’s retaliatory strikes on Iranian military facilities came weeks after an October 1 attack in which Iran launched 200 ballistic missiles at Israel, sending most of the population rushing to bomb shelters and safe rooms. It caused relatively minor damage to military bases and some residential areas, and killed a Palestinian man in the West Bank. The Iranian attack came days after an Israeli airstrike in Beirut killed Hassan Nasrallah, the longtime Hezbollah leader. Iran said the missiles were also a response to the killing of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in an explosion in Tehran in July widely attributed to Israel.”
“Corruption on Earth” is the catch-all. “Iran executes German-Iranian dissident,” BBC, 10-30-24.
“How Israel Could Be Changing Iran’s Nuclear Calculus,” The Atlantic, 10-30-24.
