Great article about the balancing of Iran—when should it attack, when should it not.  The article is also a reminder of why Hezbollah hasn’t fully attacked Israel yet after the Oct. 7 Hamas attacks.  Nasrallah doesn’t want Israel to invade Lebanon and openly war against Hezbollah, and Nasrallah doesn’t want to die.  “Iran’s ‘Axis of Resistance’ Faces Moment of Truth After Attacks on Israel, U.S. Base,” WSJ, 1-30-24.

If KH did the attack on Tower 22, this is an attempt to beg for a ceasefire.  “Powerful Iran-backed militia in Iraq to suspend military ops against US forces in region,” CNN, 1-30-24.  “[T]he most powerful Iran-backed militia in Iraq, Kataib Hezbollah, announced on Tuesday the suspension of its military operations against US forces in the region two days after a drone attack killed three US service members and wounded dozens of others.”

“Iran Update,” Institute for the Study of War, 1-30-24.

“Iraq’s Kataib Hezbollah says it suspends attacks on US forces,” Reuters, 1-30-24.