Remember, for years Iran has said it has no program, or materials, or scientists dedicated to such.  But their path has been like North Korea’s and Pakistan’s, and no is about to cross the threshold into a dangerous place.  It cannot be known if deterrence would work.  “Iran’s Attack on Israel Has Deepened Concerns About Its Nuclear Program,” AP, 4-28-24.  “Iran’s decision to launch more than 300 missiles and drones in its first direct attack on Israeli soil earlier this month showed an appetite for risk that is putting renewed focus on Tehran’s nuclear program and whether it will continue to refrain from developing a bomb.”

Illicit trade, proliferation included in deal.  “Iran, Cuba agree to establish sister ports to facilitate trade,” Hellenic Shipping News, 4-28-24.