Articles like this would be comical if they weren’t about such a deadly topic—the threatened extermination of a people or country.  Is CNN willing to accept the Regime’s repeated disclaimers that it is not working on a nuclear bomb?  If so, they shouldn’t run this story.  If they are unsure, CNN needs to ask why would Israel (or someone) risk retaliation by killing this important nuclear scientist?  If not, CNN needs to fully explore Iran’s program.  Last, as CNN continues to examine its reporting, the reader is drawn to the last line in the article—“There are just over 40 days until Biden can begin to negotiate, and during which diplomacy’s adversaries can stop talks dead.”  What?!  Here, and from the context of the article, CNN (this is not an op-ed) is saying that the U.S. and Iran neither want diplomacy.  CNN needs to ponder the actions of both the U.S. and Iran—is it CNN’s position that both the current Administration and Iran are equally bad actors?  See “As Iran mulls retaliation for nuclear scientist’s death, a riddle remains. What exactly was he working on?,” Nick Paton Walsh, Jo Shelley, Ramin Mostaghim, and Scott McWhinnie, CNN, December 7, 2020.

It is not normal for a country to snatch one of its citizens (who has dual citizenship) and hold them hostage, waiting to see what she can be traded for.  And this is an elderly woman.  “I don’t know what Iran wants’: Mariam Claren’s fight to free her mother,” Patrick Wintour, Guardian, December 7, 2020.

Gives new meaning to the term habeas corpus.  “An official at the office of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on Monday denied the rumor about the top leader’s health, Iran’s semi-official Fars news agency reported.”  But the Leader has not been seen publicly.  And this is a Chinese source—remember the disappearance for weeks by NK Leader Kim?  The Chinese do.  See “Iran’s top leader office denies rumors about bad health,” Xinhua, December 7, 2020.

“Why does the Iranian regime keep taking foreigners hostage as political leverage? The simple answer is that this tactic always works. Starting from the U.S. Embassy hostage crisis in 1979, the regime has inevitably got something in return for releasing captive foreigners, be it some form of financial gain, repatriation of Iranian prisoners detained overseas or other political concessions from foreign governments. Inevitably, too, these swaps have been described as “diplomacy.” But when the old hostages are sent home, the regime simply arrests new ones to replenish its stock of political pawns. The vicious circle is repeated. The irony here is that the regime’s hostage-taking is in fact a manifestation of its anti-diplomacy orientation. The Islamic Republic, from its formation in 1979, has consistently defied international norms, and frequently rejected the use of diplomacy and dialog as means of mitigating its differences with other countries. This is because of its revolutionary outlook and a unique, divine-sanctioned sense of hubris. No other state actor in the contemporary world has so frequently encouraged or tolerated the seizure and ransacking of foreign diplomatic representations. These are gross violations of the most basic diplomatic principles, but they are perfectly justifiable in the regime’s rhetoric of “revolution” and “quashing the global arrogance.””  See this well-reasoned article by Wang Xiyue, Ph.D. candidate in history at Princeton and an incoming Jeane Kirkpatrick fellow at American Enterprise Institute in D.C.—he was imprisoned in Iran from Aug. 7, 2016, to Dec. 7, 2019—at “Don’t Let Iran Get Away With Hostage-Taking,” Wang Xiyue, op-ed, Bloomberg, December 7, 2020.

About 10 ships so far announced in the media.  “The ‘Biggest Ever’ Flotilla Of Iranian Tankers Is En Route To Venezuela,” OilPrice.com, December 7, 2020.

He’s aiming to win friends, not enemies?  FM spokesman Saeed Khatibzadeh sure knows how to wow the Saudis and the Europeans.  See “Iran Dismisses Saudi Call for Inclusion in Nuclear Talks,” Naharnet, December 7, 2020.

“No official confirmation has been made regarding any potential transfer of power, and media outlets have been unable to confirm it.” “In addition, it is unclear if the succession would be permanent, as it goes against the constitution’s rules regarding appointing a new supreme leader. According to Article 111 of Iran’s constitution, the supreme leader’s successor is to be chosen by the Assembly of Experts, which currently consists of 88 ayatollahs. In the interim, the country would be administered by a provisional leadership council, which would consist of Iran’s president, chief justice and a member of the guardian council. However, according to articles from prestigious think-tank the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, it may not be as simple as that, with outside pressures such as the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) likely a role in the process, due to the military body’s influence on the Assembly of Experts.” And you have the power of the Leader himself—he is not constrained by the IRI Constitution.  See “Iran Supreme Leader Khamenei hands power to son due to health – report,” Aaron Reich, Jerusalem Post, December 6, 2020.

Another wild theory—do they really have an idea what happened?  “Iran Says Scientist Was Killed Using Satellite-Controlled Gun,” Arsalan Shahla and Golnar Motevalli, Bloomberg, December 6, 2020.

“Iran’s ex-VP for women, accused of sharing classified info, gets jail sentence,” AFP, December 6, 2020.

Oh my, it’s finally happening.  After years of denial of poor health and cancer, the Supreme Leader Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei prepares for his departure.  But note that he gave power to his son and not another clerical figure. “Iranian journalist Mohamad Ahwaze reported the major political move on Twitter, citing sources in the country. Writing in Arabic, Ahwaze said Khamenei had handed power over to his son, Mojtaba Khamenei.”  The Assembly of Experts, supposedly charged with overseeing the Supreme Leader and selecting his successor, is not mentioned in this article.  It has been rumored that they were slowing considering replacement options for Khamenei but none of the open sources said what Khamenei or the Assembly would do if the Leader were incapacitated.  See “Iran’s Supreme Leader Transfers Power to Son as Health Deteriorates,” Darragh Roche, Newsweek, December 5, 2020.

“Iran Supreme Court To Retry Three Men Sentenced To Death Over 2019 Protests,” RFE/RL, December 5, 2020.

Amazing.  Israel had a spy that was remained close to Fakhrizadeh, who recorded that Iran was working on five warheads.  In 2008.  That spy must be somewhere else now, in a safe place.  The Times of Israel says, “Report says ex-PM Olmert played top-secret recording of Fakhrizadeh for President Bush in decisive 2008 meeting that boosted US-Israel cooperation against Iran’s nuclear program.”  Here’s the amazing story—“‘Israel has tape of slain Iran nuke chief talking about building five warheads’,” Times of Israel, December 4, 2020.

“Iran tells IAEA it will accelerate underground uranium enrichment,” Francois Murphy, Reuters, December 4, 2020.

“Iran says won’t recognise Belgium verdict for diplomat,” Barron’s, AFP, December 4, 2020.“Belgian court to give verdict in Iran diplomat case on Jan 22,” France 24, December 4, 2020.

“Iran to accelerate underground uranium enrichment: IAEA,” Al Jazeera, December 4, 2020.

So let’s look at this from the point of Israel, whose very existence remains challenged by the growing number of missiles in Lebanon, controlled by Iran and Nasrallah, and the growing nuclear weapons program inside Iran.  And then let’s look at from the point of Hezbollah’s leader, Nasrallah, who practically lives underground most of the time.  He is apparently smart to move to Iran, but Iran has also shown it cannot protect persons living above ground, so he will stay undercover there—or underground.  See “Hezbollah’s Nasrallah to move to Iran amid regional tensions – report,” Tzvi Joffre, Jerusalem Post, December 3, 2020.

“Iran says it has identified suspects in Fakhrizadeh assassination,” Tobias Siegal, Jerusalem Post, December 3, 2020.

“Iran’s Zarif Rules Out Renegotiating Nuclear Deal With Biden,” John Follain, Golnar Motevalli, and Patrick Sykes, Bloomberg, December 3, 2020.

“Iran Rights Lawyer Sent Back to Prison,” Michael Lipin and Ramin Haghjoo, VOA, December 03, 2020.

So this turns into an important story, not yet spotlighted by the media or governments.  I wrote a couple of days ago on this blog that Iran would probably execute the Swedish scientist in retaliation for the killing of the nuclear scientist.  But here the Leader has made an exception, perhaps an opening.  Iran is under much pressure because it can’t explain the infiltration and escape of the Absard killers, nor protect its nuclear scientists or its IRGC kingpins.  The Leader may be looking to see now if the West will give something in exchange.  See “Iran reprieves scientist facing execution for espionage,” Patrick Wintour, Guardian, December 2, 2020.

“Iranian Arms, Fighters Bolster Maduro Government in Venezuela, U.S. Says,” Michael Gordon and Ian Talley, Wall Street Journal, December 2, 2020.

A very long but informative article about the reach of the Quds Force and IRGC into Iraq.  See “Special Report: Iran expands shrines and influence in Iraq,” WHBL, December 2, 2020.

“Iranian Arms, Fighters Bolster Maduro Government in Venezuela, U.S. Says,” Michael Gordon and Ian Talley, Wall Street Journal, December 2, 2020.

I suppose the Iran is also asking the IAEA to comment on whether Fakhrizadeh was working on nuclear weapons.  “Iran criticizes silence of IAEA on assassination nuclear scientist,” Prensa Latina, December 1, 2020.

“More Reported Attacks on Iranian Military, Intelligence Officials as Parliament Reacts,” Edward Yeranian, VOA, December 1, 2020.

“Iran opposition suspected alongside Israel in scientist’s killing,” Jerusalem Post, Reuters, December 1, 2020.

“Iran’s Supreme Leader urged to release Iranian lawyer and activist Nasrin Sotoudeh,” Robert Fife, The Globe and Mail, December 1, 2020.

Another Quote of the Day:  Ali Shamkhani, the secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, told state TV, “Unfortunately, the operation was a very complicated operation and was carried out by using electronic devices.  No individual was present at the site.”  His remarks drastically change the story, as Iran authorities have so far said a truck exploded and then gunmen opened fire on the scientist.  See “Iranian official accuses Israel of using ‘electronic devices’ to remotely kill nuclear scientist,” AP, Fox, November 30, 2020.

“Report: Iran Commander Visited Lebanon, Asked Nasrallah Not to Provoke Israel,” Naharne, November 30, 2020.

“Belgium’s court spokesperson announced the verdict saying: “For the Iranian diplomat suspect in this case, a 20-year prison term. For the couple found in possession of the bomb, an 18-year prison term, and for the fourth suspect, a 15-year prison term. For these last three suspects, the federal prosecutor requested also the withdrawal of their Belgian nationality.””  See “Belgium: Iran diplomat receives 20-year prison term for terrorism,” Middle East Monitor, November 30, 2020.

“Belgium’s court spokesperson announced the verdict saying: “For the Iranian diplomat suspect in this case, a 20-year prison term. For the couple found in possession of the bomb, an 18-year prison term, and for the fourth suspect, a 15-year prison term. For these last three suspects, the federal prosecutor requested also the withdrawal of their Belgian nationality.””  See “Belgium: Iran diplomat receives 20-year prison term for terrorism,” Middle East Monitor, November 30, 2020.

“If Rouhani is serious about improving relations with the West and having sanctions removed on Iran, then he must immediately free the foreign nationals held unjustly in Iranian prisons. The world is watching.”  See “We must refuse to be pawns in Iran’s hostage game,” Editorial Board, Sydney Morning Herald, November 29, 2020.

“Iran newspaper: Strike Haifa if Israel killed scientist,” Politico, November 29, 2020.

“Iran’s Foreign Ministry Spokesman, Saeed Khatibzadeh, said “Unfortunately, the Swedish authorities’ information on the situation of Mr. Ahmadreza Djalali, who is in prison due to security crimes, is incomplete and incorrect.  As Dr. Zarif … explained to Ms. Linde, Iran’s judiciary is independent and any meddling in the issuance or execution of judicial rulings is unacceptable.””  And Djalali will almost certainly not be spared after the killing of Iran’s main nuclear scientist two days ago.  See “Execution Of Iranian-Swedish Specialist Imminent,” Iran News Wire, November 29, 2020.

“Iran parliament demands end of nuclear inspections after murder,” Maziar Motamedi, Al Jazeera, November 29, 2020.

Outstanding, and good for the people of Iran, if true.  “Iran Internet Penetration Rate Reaches 94 Percent,” Financial Tribune, November 29, 2020.

“Iran’s Foreign Ministry Spokesman, Saeed Khatibzadeh, said “Unfortunately, the Swedish authorities’ information on the situation of Mr. Ahmadreza Djalali, who is in prison due to security crimes, is incomplete and incorrect.  As Dr. Zarif … explained to Ms. Linde, Iran’s judiciary is independent and any meddling in the issuance or execution of judicial rulings is unacceptable.””  And Djalali will almost certainly not be spared after the killing of Iran’s main nuclear scientist two days ago.  See “Execution Of Iranian-Swedish Specialist Imminent,” Iran News Wire, November 29, 2020.

“How Mossad executed Iran’s nuclear chief: Power to the entire region was cut as gun and bomb attack blasted his convoy before he was dragged from car and finished off… then the 12 assassins melted away,” Daily Mail, November 29, 2020.

World Physicians appeal to Iran against doctor’s execution,” Vanguard, November 28, 2020.

The Iranian Football Federation General Assembly has met and removed the nation’s Sports Minister from its governing council, trying to meet FIFA’s requirement that the national government control the team. Their decisions will be sent to FIFA for review. “Iran football’s newly amended statutes approved,” Tehran Times, November 28, 2020.

Another Quote of the Day, and thoughts.  “Fakhrizadeh’s widow appeared unnamed on state television in a black chador, saying his death would spark a thousand others to take up his work. “He wanted to get martyred and his wish came true,” she said.”  Second, Absard is not a big town, and the 3? 4? 5? gunmen (on motorcycles?) had little time to escape.  But no one has caught them yet.  This is another case where Iran cannot make adequate security or investigation, maybe perhaps because they focus their national efforts and funding on missiles and terrorism instead of normal state activities such as policing and crime investigation.  See “Iran’s supreme leader vows revenge over slain scientist,” Amir Vahdat and Jon Gambrell, AP, November 28, 2020.  Last thought for now, the three Iranian prisoners in Thailand who were exchanged for the Australian professor hostage in Iran was just two days prior to the killing of Fakhrizadeh–whoever was involved in the shooting most likely waited until that transaction was completed.

The IRI has graduated from the theory of Israel responsibility to mercenaries hired by Israel, so most likely Iranian internal dissidents.  “Iran: President Rouhani accuses ‘Israeli mercenaries’ of scientist assassination,” DW, November 28, 2020.

“Iran: Pistachio exports increase 131 percent,” MENAFN, November 28, 2020.

“Iran tells regional countries not to establish relations with Israel,” MENAFN, November 28, 2020.

“COVID-19 Outbreak in Iran: New Fatalities Continue to Decline,” IFP, November 28, 2020.