This blog focuses on the actions and decisions of the Iranian Government, including the Supreme Leader and the IRGC.  The story below reminds us that the people of Iran have aspirations and yearn for freedom.  They are not only hoping U.S. Pres. Trump can recover, they do not mind U.S. sanctions because they want Iran to change.  That being said, this professor is mighty brave to say these things publicly.  See “Iran university professor and government advisor says ‘ordinary Iranians’ are praying for Trump’s recovery,” Hollie McKay, Fox News, October 5, 2020.

235 died Sunday.  But the overall Covid news is worse.  “I ran reported its highest daily Covid-19 death toll and its largest single-day rise in infections on Monday, as the country imposed a second lockdown of its capital to contain a resurgent outbreak.”  See “Iran Sets Coronavirus Record as Capital Returns to Lockdown,” Aresu Eqbali and Sune Engel Rasmussen, Wall Street Journal, October 5, 2020.

“Has Iran Deployed 200 Heavy Armor Tanks To Help Armenia Take On Azerbaijan?,” EurAsian Times, October 5, 2020.

“Iran: Father of political prisoner sentenced to death commits suicide,” Benjamin Weinthal, Jerusalem Post, October 5, 2020.

I include this as a notice/reminder of a source/author not impartial.  “Iran’s New Doctrine: Pivot to the East,” Seyed Hossein Mousavian, The Diplomat, October 5, 2020.

A surprise.  But the State is listening.  “Iranian Inmates Can Now Meet Their Families Online,” IFP, October 5, 2020.

North Korea’s official newspaper on Monday ran an article on Iran’s upgraded submarine-launched missile and other weapons systems amid speculation that Pyongyang could unveil its own “new strategic weapon” during a military parade to mark this week’s key national anniversary. Quoting recent state media reports in Teheran, the Rodong Sinmun said that Iran succeeded in improving the range of Jask-II cruise missiles that can be launched from the Middle East country’s homegrown Fateh submarine. The paper also mentioned Iran’s new homegrown radar systems dubbed Soroush and Misaq. It is not rare for North Korean media to carry articles about Iran’s new weapons. North Korea and Iran are presumed to have maintained close ties in missile development since the 1980s.  “N. Korean paper carries article on Iran’s new weapons,” Yonhap, The Korea Herald, October 5, 2020.

“Prisoner In NW Iran Sentenced To Amputation Of Four Fingers For Theft,” Eurasia Review, October 5, 2020.

This begs the question, whether the S-300 has been used in Iran (the Russians control it), and whether the S-400 would fall in the same question.  “Russian ambassador says ‘no problem’ selling S-400 to Iran when arms ban expires,” Times of Israel, October 4, 2020.

“A Tripartite Arrangement in Lebanon under Iranian Conditions,” Eyad Abu Shakra, Asharq al-Awsat, October 4, 2020.

“According to Northern German Broadcasting, roughly 150 demonstrators called on the city government to end its contract with the Islamic Center of Hamburg and close the controversial institution, which is controlled by Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran Ali Khamenei.Local Green Party politician Gudrun Schittek spoke at the rally, saying: “This is not a normal mosque here: It is the propaganda headquarters of the regime in Tehran and we have to protest against this mullah regime. We have to protest against the fact that the Islamic Center Hamburg, as part of the Shura, is a member and contractual partner in state agreements with the city of Hamburg that should not be allowed – and we have to clearly define ourselves as a democracy.””  See “Demonstrators seek Merkel’s support for democratic forces in Iran and to join US sanctions against Iran’s regime,” Benjamin Weinthal, Jerusalem Post, October 4, 2020.

So, something is behind this.  Iran does not release a hostage without a reason.  “Fariba Adelkhah: French-Iranian academic temporarily released in Iran,” BBC, October 3, 2020.

“Police seize over 1 ton of opium in SE Iran,” Mehr News Agency, October 3, 2020.

“Khamenei Representatives Declare Support For Azerbaijan In Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict,” Radio Farda, October 3, 2020.

“Protestors In Northern Iran Demand Closure Of Border With Armenia Over Arms Transfer To Yerevan,” Orkhan Jalilov, Caspian News, October 3, 2020.

“The Islamic Republic of Iran deployed beefed-up patrols of the notoriously brutal Basij forces in Tehran and in the Khuzestan province following the regime’s September 12 execution of the wrestling champion Navid Afkari.”  See “Iranian regime security forces expanded after execution of wrestler,” Benjamin Weinthal, Jerusalem Post, October 3, 2020.

“Iran busts sanctions by using other nations to get WMD – German intel,” Benjamin Weinthal, Jerusalem Post, October 2, 2020.

“Protests Erupt In Iran Backing Azerbaijan In Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict,” RFE/RL, October 2, 2020.

“Iran’s refusal to fully cooperate has resulted in this.  “Canada forms own probe into Iran downing of Ukraine plane,” AP, October 2, 2020.

“Second Hendijan platform in place offshore Iran,” Offshore, October 2, 2020.

“Sugar workers in Iran striking for wages and public ownership,” People’s World, October 2, 2020.

FM Zarif again reminds the world where Iran is going for protection and support, which does not bode well for Iran acting as a normal country.  “Ambassador: Iran-China ties accelerating,” Tehran Times, October 2, 2020.

“Hussein Amir-Abdollahian, the special aide to the speaker of the Iranian Parliament on international affairs, told al-Alam news network in early September. Amir-Abdollahian said Israel’s main goal in normalizing relations with Arab countries was to gain broad access to Arab and Muslim countries to disintegrate the region’s countries including the UAE itself. The Israelis want to carry out their “big Zionists plot,” which aims to disintegrate the region as soon as possible. “Saudi Arabia will conclude from its relationship with the Zionist entity that the U.S.-Zionist plots to disintegrate Saudi Arabia will be implemented faster, and there is a similar view about the UAE as well. You might say that the UAE is not a big country, but the Zionists want, through their secret plots, to divide the UAE into seven separate states or regions, and this is what they have sought to achieve in recent years against Iran, Iraq, Syria, and even Egypt and Turkey,” the special aide warned.”  See “Israel plotting to partition Saudi Arabia: Iran,” Tehran Times, October 2, 2020.

“Lawyer Says Iran Transferring Political Prisoners To Mental Asylum In ‘New Project’,” Iran News Wire, October 2, 2020.

“France looks to restore influence in Lebanon, but Iran isn’t budging,” Israel Kasnett, JNS, Israel Hayom, October 2, 2020.  Note the long excerpt.  “David Wurmser, director of the Project on Global anti-Semitism and the US-Israel Relationship at the Center for Security Policy, said that “the real government of Lebanon is Iran right now, which rules through Syria and Hezbollah.” “Lebanon is perhaps one of the most important assets that Iran still has left beyond Iraq,” he said. “It serves a critical strategic role, as well as financial [one].” For this reason, according to Wurmser, “the effort to reshape the Lebanese government broke down because the key players in it cannot afford to meaningfully surrender power.” “Strategically, Lebanon is the anchor to Iran’s attempt to turn the fertile crescent into a contiguous swath of territory from the Gulf to the Mediterranean,” he said. “Without Lebanon, it cannot effectively threaten Israel, and thus loses its ability to exploit the Arab-Israeli conflict to assert some claim to leadership over the broader Islamist world, let alone purchase status in the global third-world ‘liberation’ camp.” In his recorded speech to the annual UN General Assembly on Tuesday, Netanyahu dropped a bombshell when he exposed Hezbollah rocket warehouses ensconced in civilian neighborhoods and situated near gas-storage facilities. His point: Iran’s threat to Israel is real, and the Islamic regime will even destroy Lebanon to maintain the threat. According to Wurmser, Lebanon’s importance to Tehran “extends far beyond the geostrategic: the Shi’ites of Lebanon threaten Tehran if left to their own will.” “Iran lives every day in fear of delegitimization of its regime by Shi’ite clerics,” he said, “which is why control of all major Shi’ite population centers is existentially important for the regime.” Wurmser noted that “Lebanon has become of the main, if not the main, funding structure still nourishing not only Iran’s external terror structure – Hezbollah, the Iraqi militias and the other parts of the IRGC’s Al Quds Force – but increasingly is also a funnel of money to Iran itself to circumvent sanctions.” Not only does the regime need to control the global structure of Lebanese Shi’ite funding networks, according to Wurmser, “but also the bank structure, including the central bank of Lebanon and all the government institutions of Lebanon.” “These have become one of the last bastions compromising the tightening financial noose closing in on Iran,” he said. “Losing control of Lebanon’s government thus is an absolute red line for Tehran. It can under no circumstance genuinely surrender control of it.” “In short,” he said, “Iran cannot afford to lose full control of Lebanon, and whether invisible or overt, it must retain uncompromised power over all its governmental and banking institutions – let alone over its territory and the Shi’ite community. It will fight to the last Lebanese to maintain its dominance.” Wurmser said the Lebanese people “only want their country back, and to exit the dangerous and destructive morass of Iranian regional strategic aggression.” But until Western nations address Iran’s complete domination of Lebanon, he warned, “any effort at Lebanese reform is doomed since it crosses Tehran’s red line.” He said Lebanon’s reconstruction must start “with the complete expulsion of Iran and its minions from any structure of power or finance; the eradication of all Iranian financial presence and influence; and the removal of all armed militias who answer to Iran. And then to ensure the void is not filled by the other great regional threat: militias answering to Ankara and the neo-Sultan Erdoğan of Turkey, which over the long run intends just as dark a future of Lebanon as the one Iran had thus far imposed on it.”

The main Iran-sponsored groups in Iraq are Kataib Hezbollah, Hashd al-Shaabi, Asaib Ahl al-Haq, Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba, and the Badr Corps.  See “Rockets fired by pro-Iranian group target Kurdistan region Iraq,” Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, October 1, 2020.

“Russia is responsible for most nation-state cyberattacks, followed by Iran, North Korea, and China, according to a new Microsoft report,” Ben Gilbert, Business Insider, October 1, 2020.

“Honour killings and violence against women in Iran during the COVID-19 pandemic,” Bijan Pirnia, Fariborz Pirnia, and Kambiz Pirnia, The Lancet, October 1, 2020.  There were 8,000 honor killings between 2010 and 2014.

“US election 2020: Twitter removes Iranian accounts disrupting debate,” Shayan Sardarizadeh, BBC, October 1, 2020.

These stories are easy to corroborate, unless the Regime blocks journalists from border crossings and roads leading to such. “Tehran Denies Sending Russian Arms To Armenia Via Iran,” Radio Farda, October 1, 2020.

“Iran’s rial weakened to a new low, breaching 300,000 to a dollar for the first time on the unregulated market in Tehran, three currency traders said. It has now lost more than 46% of its value since January as the Middle East’s worst coronavirus outbreak compounded the impact of U.S. sanctions on critical oil exports. The deteriorating outlook triggered panic buying of euros and dollars on the open market.” See “Iran’s Rial Weakens to New Record Low Against the Dollar,” Golnar Motevalli, Bloomberg, October 1, 2020.

“Turkey’s Halkbank must face U.S. indictment over Iran sanctions violations, judge rules,” Jonathan Stempel, Reuters, October 1, 2020.

Look at what appears in this story’s photograph to be a 3-D geographic map of Kurdish positions used for targeting by Iran.  “Turkey, Iran deploy ‘game-changing’ drones in north Iraq,” Shwan Mohammed with Maya Gebeily, AFP, October 1, 2020.

“Iranian terror in Bahrain to rise to stop deal with Israel – intel center,” Yonah Jeremy Bob, Jerusalem Post, October 1, 2020.

“Two Iranian fuel tankers reach Venezuelan territory,” Al Monitor, October 1, 2020.

“Iran-backed militias reportedly launch rockets targeting US troops in Iraq,” Ali Sultan and Jamal Badrani, Reuters, October 1, 2020.

“Revealed: How Iran smuggles weapons to the Houthis,” Saeed Al-Batati, Arab News, October 1, 2020.

Iran and the U.S. can cooperate, although this is a minor issue described in this story.  “NASA Invites Iran to Join Online Observation of Moon,” IFP, October 1, 2020.

Every once in awhile I’ll mention the historical four regions in the Middle East who dominate over the centuries—Egypt, Turkey, Iraq, and Iran.  As Iran considers if it will change its policies practiced since 1979, it may or may not have that long-range thinking in mind, but instead the current.  For example, we are reminded that “Historical enmity between the Ottomans and the Persians, and rivalry for control in various hot spots across the region, make it difficult for Turkey and Iran to create a lasting partnership.”  See “Analysis:  Netanyahu and Erdogan in Unlikely Alliance Against Iran in Nagorno-Karabakh?,” Anshel Pfeffer, Haaretz, September 30, 2020.

“UN nuclear watchdog inspects second Iran site,” Al Jazeera, September 30, 2020.

“Iran’s regime secluded witness to brutal torture of champion wrestler,” Benjamin Weinthal, Jerusalem Post, September 30, 2020.

“Iran Rejects UAE Claims, Reasserts Sovereignty over Trio Persian Gulf Islands,” IFP, September 30, 2020.

“Twitter removed 130 accounts linked to Iran during first US presidential debate,” Steven Musil, CNET, September 30, 2020.

It is rare to get numbers, even ballpark numbers, out of Iran’s government.  Here is one of those times.  Iran says it spent $19.6 billion on the 1980-1988 War with Iraq.  (But the second ranking IRGC commander in the IRGC said those billions were insignificant compared to what Iran had gained financially in the region.)  As much as $30 billion just on its involvement in Syria backing up Assad since 2011.  The State Department reported in 2018 that the Regime had by then spent “$16 billion propping up the Assad regime and supporting its other partners and proxies in Syria, Iraq, and Yemen since 2012.”  “The report also said Iran funds Hizballah to the tune of $700 million annually and gives a further $100 million a year to Palestinian groups such as Hamas and Islamic Jihad.”  See “Revolutionary Guards Commander Gives Rare Estimate Of Money Iran Spent On Proxies, Military Aid In Region,” Golnaz Esfandiari, RFE/RL, September 30, 2020.

Iran officially has a superpower in its corner, another reason it won’t easily change its pattern of behavior.  “With the 25-year deal with China now moving ahead at pace, Iran has a buyer for all of the crude oil it can produce, albeit at discounted level, so Tehran is pushing oil field development across the board.”  See “China Is Ready To Give Iran’s Oil Industry A Major Boost,” Simon Watkins, OilPrice.com, September 30, 2020.

“The Islamic Republic of Iran seeks friendly and brotherly relations with Tajikistan based on mutual respect, but the continuation of such behavior by the Tajik government is against the rules of friendly relations and the Tajik government must be aware of the consequences of such behavior,” the ministry was quoted as saying by Mehr news agency.”  That term, “mutual respect,” is often used by Iran’s government in these contexts, to say they aren’t getting what they insist upon.  See “Tajikistan revives on-off dispute with Iran,” Eurasia Net, September 30, 2020.

“What’s Iran’s role in the Armenia-Azerbaijan clash?,” Murat Sofuoglu, TRT World, September 30, 2020.  A good article on this subject.  “Increasing Turkish nationalism [among the Azeri Turks] in Iran has been seen as a serious political problem by Iran. Connections and relations between the country’s north [where a sizable Azeri Turkish population lives] and Azerbaijan have been an important factor in Tehran’s political problems with Azerbaijan. Some Azeris believe that Iran’s Turkic-origin population, which includes Turkmen, Qashgais and other Turkish-speaking groups, might amount to nearly 40 percent. Many Azeris call Iran’s north as southern Azerbaijan, where nearly 20 million Azeris live according to different estimates. Some Azeri nationalists and intellectuals have long defined both northern and southern parts as culturally and socially identical, arguing that they should be joined under a political union. “In Iran, due to the enormous Turkish population, there has historically been a political fear that two Azerbaijans, Baku [the capital of northern Azerbaijan] and Tabriz [the capital of southern Azerbaijan] might join at some point,” says Esref Yalinkilicli, a Moscow-based Eurasia political analyst. The political argument of Greater Azerbaijan has long been a threat for the Iranian establishment, which has used its support of Armenia as a counter-measure to minimise Azeri aspirations in Iran and across the region, says Yalinkilicli. “Iran’s traditional Armenia policy has long been a balancing act against both Azerbaijan and Turkey across southern Caucasia. As a result, behind-the-scenes, Iran backs Armenia,” Yalinkilicli tells TRT World. While Iran has a Shia majority and Azeris are overwhelmingly Shia, Azeris speak a Turkish dialect, which is very close to Turkey’s Turkish, and have established close connections with Ankara since the collapse of the communist Soviet Union.”

Notice the opposite nature of these two stories.  First, “Iran’s foreign ministry on Tuesday denied reports about transferring weapons and military equipment to Armenia.”  Reassuring since Iran says it is not in the business of arms dealing.  See “Iran denies transferring military equipment to Armenia,” AA, September 29, 2020.  Second, “Iran denies allowing passage of weapons into Armenia after video emerges on social media,” bne IntelIiNews, September 29, 2020.  The video showed “tanks and military personnel carriers apparently heading for, or being transferred over, the Norduz border crossing.”

Not just cooperation, but cooperation against the West and against the U.S.  See “Iran Sees ‘Bright Prospect’ for Strategic Cooperation with China: Zarif,” IFP, September 29, 2020.

“Iran-trained ‘terrorist cell’ dismantled in Saudi Arabia,” The Arab Weekly, September 29, 2020.  Three of ten detained members received training in Iran by the IRGC in October 2017 on manufacturing explosives.

An opportunity for Iran, if only the Regime will.  “US invites Iran to Afghan peace talks,” Anwar Iqbal, Dawn, September 29, 2020.

“Fire bomb hits Iranian court where wrestler was sentenced to death,” Benjamin Weinthal, Jerusalem Post, September 29, 2020.

“Top female chess referee who fled Iran reveals her Jewish roots,” Lee Harpin, The JC, September 29, 2020.

“Iranian Media Warns Over Uprising,” Jubin Katiraie, Iran Focus, September 29, 2020.  Iranian state-run media on Sunday warned officials of looming protests by people in poverty.  It was also a warning to the people not to protest.

“Caucasus crisis puts Iran on high alert,” Kaveh Afrasiabi, Asia Times, September 29, 2020.

“Iran state media: Gunmen kill 3 Revolutionary Guard members,” AP, The Star, September 29, 2020.

“[D]ue to the horrific conditions they are subjected to in prison” at the Urmia Central Prison.  See “Twenty Iranian Inmates Attempt Suicide in Only Two Weeks,” Iran Focus, September 28, 2020.

“Iran’s Revolutionary Guards on Sunday unveiled a new naval ballistic missile with a potential range of over 700 kilometres (430 miles), local media reported, following months of tensions with the arch-enemy United States. The missile, dubbed “Zolfaghar Basir”, is a naval variant of the surface-to-surface Zolfaghar ballistic missile, according to Tasnim news agency.”  See “Iran Unveils New Naval Ballistic Missile,” Kashmir Observer, September 28, 2020.

Don’t let the title of this story fool you.  It’s about Iran.  Thanks to Iran’s powerful Shi’ite armed movements in Iraq, “Rockets regularly fly across the Tigris towards the heavily fortified U.S. diplomatic compound, constructed to be the biggest U.S. embassy in the world in central Baghdad’s so-called Green Zone during the U.S. occupation after a 2003 invasion. In recent weeks rocket attacks near the embassy have increased and roadside bombs targeted convoys carrying equipment to the U.S.-led military coalition.”  See  “US threatens to close its massive embassy in Baghdad,” John Davison, Reuters, September 28, 2020.

And in the process not just violate internationally recognized authorities, but also support the use of terror.  “Iran Admits To Forging Oil Documents To Skirt U.S. Sanctions,” Josh Owens, OilPrice.com, September 28, 2020.

First the honor killing, then the math textbook cover.  “In Iran, outrage over patriarchy spurs change,” Scott Peterson, Christian Science Monitor, September 28, 2020.

A wide-ranging story.  “[W]orkers cannot afford things like mobile phones or laptops, which would allow their children to access online learning made essential because of the coronavirus pandemic, but that’s far from the only barrier between Iranian children and education. Hamidreza Imam Gholi Tabar, Inspector of the Supreme Assembly of Workers’ Representatives, told the state-run Tasnim news agency on Friday: “In recent years, the people, especially the workers, have been affected by the most severe economic pressures such as rampant inflation, declining incomes, and declining purchasing power, increasing poverty, and recently, coronavirus, an uninvited guest has been added to this list. These problems have overshadowed the management and normal life of the workers and have led them to a dead-end in covering their daily expenses.” Indeed, the cost of tuition fees, registration fees, uniforms, accessories, and stationery, all adds up, even in normal times, and the people can barely afford to pay for food and bills, let alone schooling when 80% of the population live below the poverty line.”  See “Iran Children Cannot Afford School,” Iran Focus, September 28, 2020.

Iran has not yet reigned in its proxy gangsters/militas in Iraq.  “U.S. weighs closing embassy in Iraq as threats raise spectre of Benghazi,” Nahal Toosi, Lara Seligman, and Natasha Bertrand, Politico, September 28, 2020.

“Iran won’t negotiate with U.S.: spokesman,” Tehran Times, September 28, 2020.

“Iran has obtained gold from Caracas in return for the fuel loads it sent to Venezuela, Iranian chief commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) announced yesterday. Yahya Safavi explained that the gold was transferred to Tehran by “airplanes to prevent any accident during transit”.”  See “Iran received ‘gold bullion’ from Venezuela in return for oil, says official,” Middle East Monitor, September 28, 2020.

“Iran Welcomes Kuwait’s Proposal for Regional Dialogue,” Tasnim News Agency, September, 28, 2020.

Where were the items stolen from?  “Ancient Gold Antiquities Seized in Western Iran,” IFP, September 28, 2020.

“Concerns mount as Iran gripped by third major COVID-19 wave,” Maziar Motamedi, Al Jazeera, September 27, 2020.

Keep the masses at bay?  “Iran Gov’t to Continue Supply of Subsidized Essential Goods,” Financial Tribune, September 27, 2020.

“Dollar On The Verge of Record High in Iran,” Radio Farda, September 27, 2020.

“Iran Guards unveil new naval ballistic missile AFP,” DH, September 27, 2020.

“Iran calls for immediate end to the conflict between Armenia, Azerbaijan,” Reuters, Jerusalem Post, September 27, 2020.

“Iran’s strategy and tactical shift until the US elections,” Majid Rafizadeh, op-ed, Arab News, September 27, 2020.

Because Iran is key to instigating the conflict, it is ironic that on the tail end it shows that it wants to help negotiate the conflict (according to what is in its interests).  “Iran’s Zarif offers help to end Nagorno-Karabakh violence,” Tehran Times, September 27, 2020.

“Iran in turmoil as rial goes into free fall,” Kourosh Ziabari, Asia Times, September 26, 2020.  The rial has lost 49% of its value this year, the annual inflation rate to date is 34.4%, and the average prices of basic foodstuffs, drinking water, beverages, and tobacco increased by 25.8% in the 12-months ending Aug. 21.  The IMF projects Iran’s GDP will contract 6% while unemployment reaches 16.3% in 2020.

The nature of this story is that it is not new.  It is hard to list it as News since these, to the best of my knowledge, are already announced and under construction projects.  “Iran constructing 100,000 houses for less privileged people,” Tehran Times, September 26, 2020.

“Nuclear armed Israel remains biggest threat to peace in West Asia: Tehran,” Tehran Times, September 26, 2020.