Yes, a strong argument can be made that the turning point was the removal of Soleimani.  “Khamenei comes up short in rhetorical duel with Trump,” Iran International, 9-25-25.

“Iran likely carried out undeclared missile test, satellite photos analyzed by AP show,” PBS, AP, 9-25-25.  PBS jumps on the bandwagon.

“Iran Hits 1000 Execution Mark, Highest Total in Three Decades,” DPIC, 9-25-25.

Thank you FDD.  “Iran Rebuilding Missile Sites Targeted by Israel During Extensive Air Strikes,” FDD, 9-25-25.

No one accused Mohammad Eslami of finishing an advanced degree in discreetness.  “Iran’s vice president says it won’t waver from its nuclear programme,” Reuters, 9-25-25.