“Turkey could join nuclear arms race if Iran acquires bomb, Hakan Fidan warns,” JPost, 2-10-26.  “”If Iran gets a nuclear weapon, it will not be possible for others to remain indifferent,” [FM] Fidan said in the interview. He added that the outcome would not be limited to Iran, warning of a chain reaction across the Middle East driven by deterrence logic and heightened threat perceptions.”

“Iran strikes coming? US vessels warned to stay away from territorial waters,” The Hill, 2-10-26.  Most of these maritime warnings were already in place to protect shipping from IRGC hostage taking throughout the year.  Similar, see “Satellite images show Iran sealing off nuclear site,” i-24, 2-10-26.

“Iran arrests leading reformists close to president amid crackdown on protest critics,” i24, 2-9-26.  Azar Mansouri, Ebrahim Asgharzadeh, Mohsen Aminzadeh, and others are ordered to turn themselves in at police stations.  “Iranian prosecutors accused those arrested of “targeting national unity, taking a stance against the constitution, promoting surrender, perverting political groups, and creating secret subversive mechanisms.” Judiciary head Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Ejei added that critics within Iran were acting in agreement with “the Zionist regime and America” and warned they would “suffer losses.”  The arrests appear aimed at preventing the spread of criticism over the handling of the protests, which followed reports of thousands killed. … These detentions come amid a wider crackdown on human rights defenders. … Human rights groups have condemned the crackdown as part of a broader effort by Tehran to silence dissent and suppress accountability for the violent response to nationwide demonstrations, highlighting ongoing concerns over political freedoms in Iran.”  Further proof that the Regime will not reform.  The people are left with only one choice.

“This is the largest mass killing in contemporary Iranian history and one of the largest in the world,” Payam Akhavan, an Iranian Canadian former UN prosecutor at the International Criminal Court, in The Hague, told BBC News Persian.  See “Machine guns to machetes: Weapons that massacred thousands in Iran,” BBC, 2-9-26.

“Iran Detains Prominent Political Figures, Expanding Crackdown on Dissent,” NYT, 2-9-26.

“Iran defies US threats to insist on right to enrich uranium,” CAN, 2-9-26.

So true.  “Iran’s persistent claims that these weapons are purely for defense or deterrence are contradicted by its use of them against Iraqi Kurdistan in particular. In reality, it’s hard to think of any other country that relies so heavily on ballistic missiles in lieu of other, more conventional military capabilities and has shown such a willingness to use them at the slightest provocation.”  See “Iran’s Ballistic Missiles Were Never Wholly For Defense Or Deterrence,” Forbes, 2-9-26.

Every cause/people/subjugated group by Iran’s definition and help (really to make them proxies, such as Hezbollah, the Iraqi groups, the Alawites, Houthis, Hamas, Palestinians, etc.) has failed in the last 45 years.  Other countries, dozens, have had to push back by Iran’s attempts to revolutionize the region and grow the Shia Crescent.  So for the Leader and Araghchi to make these arguments against Israel (which are not consistent with history and state actions) is the pot calling the kettle black.  See “Hitting out at Israel’s ‘expansionist project,’ Iran’s Araghchi says region ‘must not be reshaped by force’,” i-24, 2-7-26.

“Satellite images may reveal Iran trying to recover material from bombed nuclear sites,” CBC, 2-7-26.

“NYT: Satellite imagery shows Iran repaired ballistic missiles sites hit in 12-day war,” i24, 2-6-26.  But the NYT’s satellite analysis is 7 months after the June strikes by the U.S.  Instead, almost daily intelligence has been watching, and not reported.  But the NYT does say “Experts say that despite some visible work, Iran’s three main enrichment facilities — Isfahan, Natanz and Fordo — appear inoperative.”  See “Iran Is at Work on Missile and Nuclear Sites, Satellite Images Show,” NYT, 2-6-26.

“Iranian spokesperson says U.S.-Iran talks over ‘for now’ | LIVE BLOG,” i24, 2-26.

Calculated, rational, but still wrong.  See “Why Tehran sees war as a survival strategy,” Iran International, 2-6-26.  In part—“Iran’s leadership is edging toward a war scenario not because diplomacy is necessarily collapsing, but because confrontation is increasingly seen as the least damaging option for a ruling system under intense internal and external pressure. While Iran’s foreign minister is right now visiting Oman for bilateral talks with the United States, in Tehran’s calculus, negotiations now promise steady erosion. War, by contrast, offers a chance – however risky – to reset the balance. This marks a shift from the Islamic Republic’s long-standing view of war as an existential threat. Today, senior decision-makers appear to believe that controlled confrontation may preserve the system in ways diplomacy no longer can. That belief explains why war is no longer unthinkable in Tehran, but increasingly framed as a viable instrument of rule. At the core of this shift lies a stark assessment: the negotiating table has become a losing field. This is not because an agreement with Washington is impossible. It is because the framework imposed by the United States and its allies has turned diplomacy into a process of cumulative concession. When nuclear limits, missile restrictions, regional influence, and even domestic conduct are treated as interlinked files, Iranian leaders see talks not as pressure relief, but as strategic retreat without credible guarantees of survival. From Tehran’s perspective, diplomacy no longer buys time. It entrenches vulnerability. In that context, confrontation begins to look less like recklessness and more like a way out of a narrowing corridor.”

“Iran Refuses to End Nuclear Enrichment in Talks With U.S.,” WSJ, 2-6-26.

“Trump calls U.S. and Iran talks in Oman ‘very good’ and says there will be another meeting,” NBC, 2-6-26.

The question is will the U.S. allow this to happen.  “Iran Returns to Its Negotiating Stall,” WSJ, 2-6-26.

“Iran signals major nuclear concessions in bid to ease tensions,” i24, 2-3-26.

“Iranian gunboats try to stop a US-flagged tanker in the Strait of Hormuz – report,” i24, 2-3-26.  Also of note, this story reports what we have observed seemingly forever, the Iranians say one thing day, another the next, then a third thing.  Delay, delay, delay to stay in power.  “Iranian officials reportedly threatened to withdraw from talks with US special envoy Steve Witkoff and President Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner, scheduled for Friday in Turkey, according to people familiar with the matter.”

“Iran’s President Backs ‘Fair’ Talks With U.S. as Confrontation Looms,” NYT, 2-3-26.  Thank you U.S. Navy.  “A Navy fighter jet shot down an Iranian drone on Tuesday after it aggressively approached a U.S. aircraft carrier that was transiting the Arabian Sea, about 500 miles from Iran’s southern coast.”

“U.S.-Iran nuclear talks planned for Friday amid military buildup,” Axios, 2-2-26.  “White House envoy Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi are expected to meet on Friday in Istanbul together with representatives of several Arab and Muslim countries to discuss a possible nuclear deal, according to two sources with knowledge and a U.S. official.”

Well put.  Regime change is the order of the day.  “The ‘Deal’ in Iran Is Regime Change,” WSJ, 2-2-26.  Does the Leader want to stay, probably for most of the rest of his life, underground?  He can’t go out in public, they will stone him.  (How ironic).

“After US warning, Iran says no plans to carry out live-fire exercises in Strait of Hormuz,” Times of Israel, 2-1-26.  This is the result of standing firm on the cargo ship and the approaching drone.

“Iranian-US nuclear negotiations expected to take place on Friday in Istanbul | LIVE BLOG,” Times of Israel, 2-1-26.

“Iran’s Gen Z Helped Propel the Protests. They Paid With Their Lives,” WSJ, 2-1-26.  I hope they remain engaged with Iran’s future.